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  • LAVA Moderator: streaM Freak

the market: stocks, bonds, options, whatever

You gotta buy into trials that could be the next thing in areas that have a large TAM. Fat related stuff, diabetes, etc. Herpes, Hep, inflammations. Sure if you hit an oncology trial then you make a bunch, but cancer drug trials are super risky to invest in. You can invest in the hardware like diagnostic equipment but that's not really biotech imo
 
Most biotech trials do fail tho. You can mostly win by shorting companies under ~$500M market cap that posted good phase 3 data but haven't had their PDUFA date with the FDA
 
I didn't know about all that so it's good to hear your guys perspective.

I'm mostly thinking what specific tech think is not yet mainstream but soon (year or two or three) may be - I won't change my mind. And throwing 50 bucks on them (specific ones). Not really monitoring them until they multiply. And yes, most will not.

Did the same thing with aerospace / defence last winter/spring. Some did like 5x, but I think regenerative med and electromagnetic + portable image scanning will do more than 5x, but it probably will take a lot longer. Because, like you mentioned there are stages and trials.
 
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ChatGPT told me that it is possible for the market to continue growing exponentially if the growth and spending keep moving in that direction.

So it could be possible with for example AI, to just make many sectors more efficient and available for people to use.

Make me look stupid and debate that: Go.
 
the problem with this so called growth (cancer is a growth) and spending is that the purchasing power of the dollar is much lower than before 1913 (advent of the Fed).
Saw a report that Trump wants his face on a 250 dollar bill. Which is only worth 7 dollars and change dating back before the Federal Reserve existed.
 
It's not that things are gaining value. It's that the dollar is losing value.
In biblical times you could buy roughly 400 loaves of bread with an ounce of gold. and that generally still holds true.
 
yeah, returns in S&P 500 now are driven largely by expansion of M2. Every time they dump more money into the economy, stock market goes up, but purchasing power is eroded.

that is why it's worth being a degenerate gambler and trying to grab some of the growing pie, because so much of it is being pumped into the stock market. buy the winners when they're on a slight discount and try to secure gains periodically so you don't end up a bagholder.
 
Something's happening down trend in the markets. Silver below $70/oz. BTC at $60k.
It's the elites get rich quick manipulation. I think it's going to trend significant the other direction after a downspike.
 
you-know-what-to-do-v0-4kv1oyclw1te1.jpg
 
i'm praying for another week of correction, i cashed out some tech equity just in time but need the funds to hit my broker so i can go long on all the things

the bulk of the negative gamma on SPX is at $7300 so we may have already reached the bottom
 
My liquid assets are split between Canadian bills, global bonds, and prediction markets right now. I have more confidence in my ability to make money in prediction markets than I do in the equity market at current valuations. It's kind of like junk bonds but with a better rate of interest.
 
Bitcoin at the 200W moving average :Sherlock:

www.coinglass.com

Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average Heatmap (200WMA) | CoinGlass

The CoinGlass Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average Heatmap (200WMA) visually illustrates Bitcoin’s price performance relative to its 200-week moving average. Using color gradients to show deviations from the long-term mean, red tones indicate overvaluation while green tones highlight undervalued...
www.coinglass.com www.coinglass.com
 
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