Like Mike, ohh, if I could be like Mike...
L O V E L I F E said:
. . . Bryant is on pace to eventually retire as the greatest player of all time?
Yes it is.
First off, let's get one thing out of the way. I'll freely admit that I am a Kobe detractor (one wonders how much of the "Kobe greatness" view is inspired by those who have a similar "MJ detractor" stance, but that's another issue). But let's remove the personal biases and look at the comparative stats/accolades/accomplishments of Kobe vs. Michael Jordan through the same periods of their careers to date (age 22-27, I'm removing Kobe's NBA stats/MJ's college stats for the purpose of objectivity...Kobe's first several NBA years really wouldn't help him in this discussion anyway, and mind you, remember Jordan sat out practically his entire second season due to injury):
MJ's Cumulative Stats, age 21-27 ('84-'85-'90)*
32.8 ppg 6.3 rpg 6.0 apg 2.78 spg 1.09 bpg 51.6% fgm 84.8% ftm 28.2% 3pm 3.27 topg
Kobe's Cumulative Stats, age 21-27 ('99-'00-present)*
27.8 ppg 5.9 rpg 5.3 apg 1.70 spg 0.63 bpg 45.4% fgm 83.8% ftm 33.6% 3pm 3.16 topg
*MJ's frame of reference only includes 6 seasons, Kobe's 7 because of birthdate issue/I couldn't break down MJ's midpoint season. If MJ's 7th season ('90-91) were included, the disparity would only worsen.
a) MJ was a better, more prolific and far more efficient scorer than Kobe during the compared periods. I might also add that despite the relevant period including ~70 less games for MJ than Kobe, he only shot 83 less free throws (MJ 4195 fta, KB 4278 fta, MJ also converted a higher % of them), indicating he was a more difficult player to guard despite double/triple teams with no Shaq to draw away pressure, and this was in the period
before MJ began getting the "MJ benefit of the doubt" on the calls.
b) MJ was clearly a better defender during the period compared, averaging over 1 steal pg more and almost half a block pg more than Kobe, despite not having the defensive lane presence of a Shaq in his prime allowing him to gamble more defensively.
c) MJ was a better passer/had better all-around "basketball IQ" court awareness as evidenced by his averaging almost 1 assist pg more than KB during the period compared, again despite not having the offensive presence of a Shaq in his prime for much of Kobe's relevant period and therefore having to carry a heavier scoring burden.
d) MJ's turnovers are only negligibly higher than KB's during the relevant period (0.1 topg more), despite drawing greater defensive pressure due to no Shaq-like wingman presence for much of that time.
e) MJ was just as clutch as KB (if not moreso) in playoffs, sinking game-winning, series-clinching shot in Game 5 against Cavaliers in 1989 (I
would add his game-winning shot in the '82 NCAA finals as a
freshman, but I said I wouldn't consider MJ's college career).
Accolades:
MJ:
1 NBA MVP
1 Championship as the acknowledged #1 player on his team
4-time league leading scorer (consecutive seasons)
'87-'88 Defensive Player of Year (4th season in league)
3 consecutive years NBA All-Defensive 1st Team
63 points in a playoff game against the Celtics Dynasty in his 3rd season while being guarded by one of the other two acknowledged titans in the game at the time, Larry Bird, leading Bird to remark afterwards that it was "God disguised as Michael Jordan"
Kobe:
0 NBA MVP
3 Championships as an uber "Scottie Pippen" to Shaq's "Jordan", 0 Championships as the #1 player on his team
2 NBA All-Defensive 1st Team, 1 NBA All-Defensive 2nd Team
81 points in a regular season game against the Raptors, a non-playoff caliber Eastern Conference team
Moreover, Kobe has an additional self-imposed hurdle which only reduces the already infinitesimal chance that he will ever be considered "the greatest player ever": his public image is tarnished to the degree that almost no matter what he ever does to rehabilitate it, he will always be considered dislikeable. Despite any off-court troubles (some infidelity, gambling debts are rumored), MJ was (and still is) almost universally revered, as evidenced by his vast endorsement portfolio. If MJ could be called "His Airness", Kobe could perhaps best be called "His Primadonnaness". It's not even necessary to go into the rape/adultery smear to realize that for Kobe to be considered the greatest ever, merely equaling MJ's accomplishments (which as we've seen above, he's not even currently on pace to do) isn't even close to enough...he'd have to SUBSTANTIALLY exceed them, which ain't happening. Kobe's case for "the greatest" has been even more tainted and self-obstructed than Barry Bonds'.
The thing is, with some greats you just KNOW from watching them that they're the best ever. Take Tiger Woods. Despite my petty dislike of him initially because "he just made it look too easy", there's no doubt in my mind that he will eventually be considered the greatest ever in golf for a long time. Say what you want about Tiger not facing the caliber of competition that Jack faced (Palmer, Player, Trevino, Miller, Watson), the real reason is that Tiger just came out of the blocks and blew the entire field completely out of the water. He had no peers. It took 4-5 YEARS for a few other players, Vijay and now finally perhaps Mickelson, to ratchet their games up SEVERAL notches to provide Tiger legitimate competition.
Or Roger Federer. Barring career-threatening injury, there's no doubt in my mind that he will be considered the greatest tennis player ever for an appreciable period of time when his career is said and done. Much as I loved Pete, Federer is now better than Pete was at his best. Federer's game (his backhand in particular) is so beautiful that you almost forget how lethal it is until you're reminded as you watch how it devastates his opponents.
When I watch Kobe, do I get that feeling, that I'm seeing something special I've never seen before? Nope. He's great, no doubt, but I've seen his repertoire before, and I've never gotten the feeling after watching him that "wow, he's even improved on MJ". And I say that from the perspective of having disliked MJ for the majority of his career, having only come to admire his greatness near the very end of his run.
I would note this also. With greats such as Tiger, Federer and MJ, why have we not seen the degree of "offcourt" troubles that we've seen with Kobe? My take on it is this: because even from the very outset of their careers, they KNEW- not just "wanted to be", they KNEW-they were very likely one of a kind. Look at how they interact(ed) with their fellow competitors/teammates. Tiger is well-liked by the majority of his fellow competitors on tour, as is Federer. In defeat both almost always acknowledge the great efforts of their opponents, because they know both that their opponents have elevated their games to beat them, and also that THAT elevation will only drive THEM. Their praise is engineered to ENCOURAGE their opponents because they know it will bring out the best in THEM. MJ was also usually deferential in defeat to his defenders, acknowledging their efforts to stop him, and he was well-liked by and interacted well with his teammates.
What can we say about Kobe? If I may borrow a kindergarten report card phrase, it's probably best described as "Doesn't play well with others". When asked about the efforts of his defenders, Kobe is just as likely to trash them (ala Raja Bell) as he is praise them, or often at best just offer short, sullen remarks confined to how HE didn't execute. And we all know how well Kobe interacted with his own teammates even during the salad years of the Laker run...he was well-known for his aloofness, undoubtedly perceived by many of his teammates as an "I'm better than thou" attitude. He
publicly trashed his own teammate Shaq, an integral reason for his 3 rings to date, and publicly feuded with Zenmaster Phil, Lord of the 9 Rings, for God's sake (sure, MJ feuded with Phil over the triangle offense too, but that was BEFORE it was proven to work...I guess Kobe just wanted to be like Mike in that instance too...

). It's yet another sign that Kobe is just a "great pretender", imo. Or "Michael(k)obe Ultra", if you prefer.
Sure, you can chalk most of Kobe's problems up to some psychological introversion or something, but hey, no excuses are acceptable when you're evaluating the issue of "the greatest". "The greatest" requires near-"perfect storm" execution of ALL qualities (aside: which gives rise to the personal observation, thank God I'm not the greatest in
anything, cuz Lord knows what I would do without my repertoire of excuses

).
So in summary, is it still ridiculous to argue that Kobe is on pace to become the greatest player of all time? When he
is not and to date never has been on pace to be even the greatest player of all time
at his own position, yes. It's actually more correct to say that from what we've seen from him to date, both on the court and off, it has NEVER been NOT ridiculous to argue that Kobe is currently on pace to become the greatest basketball player of all time.
The closer question imo is whether Kobe will be considered as good as Lebron when all is said and done. Imo, there IS a legitimate question as to whether Lebron has taken the Magic mold and stepped it up a notch with a hint of "MJ finisher" crossover, and at 21 yo Lebron has also begun to showcase the "killer instinct" in the Washington series. If all that turns out to be the case, Kobe won't even be considered the greatest player of his era, let alone of all time.
Michael(k)obe Ultra. Lose the All-Time Greatness. Not the Drama. :D