BecomingJulie
Bluelight Crew
RON's the One .....
Except we're not at university anymore, there's no "Re-Open Nominations" and no transferrable voting.
The Liberal Democrats haven't got a chance. The Conservatives managed to stitch them up good and proper 2010-2015. It's going to have to be Labour. Even then, there is a non-zero probability of leaving the EU; but at least it's not a certainty.
Imagine a game of Blackjack. You have two "tens" (including picture cards), the dealer also has two tens. Out of the remaining 48 cards in the stack on the table, 44 will bust you; and if you do draw an ace, the dealer still has 3 chances in 47 to draw another. But if you don't take a card, you lose anyway. That's (4 / 48 ) * (47-3) / 47
= 176 / 2256
= 0.08
= still the only chance you've got.
Except we're not at university anymore, there's no "Re-Open Nominations" and no transferrable voting.
The Liberal Democrats haven't got a chance. The Conservatives managed to stitch them up good and proper 2010-2015. It's going to have to be Labour. Even then, there is a non-zero probability of leaving the EU; but at least it's not a certainty.
Imagine a game of Blackjack. You have two "tens" (including picture cards), the dealer also has two tens. Out of the remaining 48 cards in the stack on the table, 44 will bust you; and if you do draw an ace, the dealer still has 3 chances in 47 to draw another. But if you don't take a card, you lose anyway. That's (4 / 48 ) * (47-3) / 47
= 176 / 2256
= 0.08
= still the only chance you've got.