Well, the law of averages would hopefully indicate that a contrarian bet would eventually pay off. Do we see Carolina going undefeated the whole season? (or New England for that matter (hi, ali!) can the Broncos do it Sunday?) I was having an animated discussion about this with a friend regarding the Golden State Warriors although obviously an undefeated season in football is a different animal than football (i.e. never happened but the Bulls won 72 that one year) ... talking about putting a smallish contrarian bet on the money line whenever the Warriors play a good team, I don't even bet basketball but strictly on technical/statistical/structuring grounds this strategy would have a goods chance to eventually at least break even quite possibly being modestly profitable. Football is a different matter entirely though.