Your friend has it mostly right. There is going to be civil war in the USA, or there will be martial law with the sheeple keeping on being sheeple. Either way, things are going to change drastically. Why else is DHC and FEMA buying all the guns and ammo?
The economic collapse of the USA is complete. The only thing disguising it is the international support of the currency, which is generously provided by other nations, to give the US government time to "get its house in order", ie buff up its FEMA camps, and get all the guns and ammo possible. At some point the IMF will say, enough, we're not artificially supporting the US dollar anymore, the US dollar will crash and come to represent its true value: pretty much nothing. Imports into the US will become well-nigh impossible due to the currency being mostly worthless. For this reason oil prices will skyrocket, making transportation of both people and goods extremely expensive. Cities will become paralyzed. Food will get very, very expensive, and a huge part of the population will have to be on "food stamps", and to be fed they will have to move to government facilities... FEMA camps.
For sure, some part of the population will try to take down the government, or secede from the union of states. This will create armed conflict, which won't make living any easier for anyone. Basically you will have militias AND the federal government both trying to seize the food source of the nation, the farm land, and fighting over it. I cannot see any end to this fighting. Maybe after a huge chunk of the US population has died, either from starvation or from the continuous fighting. But only after there are enough resources being produced internally for the amount of population. Now, given that a lot of people will stop working due to the problems, the US GPD is going to take a major nosedive. So we are talking about an economy that can only support a fraction of the current population. If I lived in the US, I'd get out real quick.
