.
This is actually not necessarily true, in fact, I would argue the opposite is true because the piece of the equation that is missing is the number and size of events. If all else were held equal, ie, the number and size of shows was the same ten years ago vs today, then yes, I would definitely expect a higher % of people at a given show to be rolling, however, as Im sure you are aware, with the astronomical explosion of edm shows and festivals in the past decade, I would certainly expect a smaller % as that growth has more than likely outpaced the growth in MDMA users.
If you think about it, lets say back in the day there was only a show to go to once every three months. Everyone is going to gear up and roll at that one event. Now there are shows, festivals, clubs, and concerts available way more often. Most people are not going to roll at all of them and a lot of when someone rolls will be dispersed across all the offerings so now at the other shows one might choose to drink or do k or trip, etc. Its also duration, there are tons of festivals that have expanded to 2 or even 3 days, even that extension will chop up the rolling crowd. Do i roll on day 1 and drink on day 2? Do i trip on day 1 and roll on day 2?
This means on average, any given show you go to will have a much smaller % of people rolling.
The 660k last-month users vs the 450k decade prior is a 50% increase. I would bet the house that there are well above 100% more show-days than a decade prior.
So, based on that data, we should see an increase in MDMA use at live music events in the United States rather than a decrease
This is actually not necessarily true, in fact, I would argue the opposite is true because the piece of the equation that is missing is the number and size of events. If all else were held equal, ie, the number and size of shows was the same ten years ago vs today, then yes, I would definitely expect a higher % of people at a given show to be rolling, however, as Im sure you are aware, with the astronomical explosion of edm shows and festivals in the past decade, I would certainly expect a smaller % as that growth has more than likely outpaced the growth in MDMA users.
If you think about it, lets say back in the day there was only a show to go to once every three months. Everyone is going to gear up and roll at that one event. Now there are shows, festivals, clubs, and concerts available way more often. Most people are not going to roll at all of them and a lot of when someone rolls will be dispersed across all the offerings so now at the other shows one might choose to drink or do k or trip, etc. Its also duration, there are tons of festivals that have expanded to 2 or even 3 days, even that extension will chop up the rolling crowd. Do i roll on day 1 and drink on day 2? Do i trip on day 1 and roll on day 2?
This means on average, any given show you go to will have a much smaller % of people rolling.
The 660k last-month users vs the 450k decade prior is a 50% increase. I would bet the house that there are well above 100% more show-days than a decade prior.
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