Sorry for replying in an out-of-sync thought stream, but the above was yesterday on conference strengths whereas this was something I worked up on a UF site where people are debating the Big10+1 expansion possibilities....and I see this thread as a general catch-all during our off-season, and the subject of (super)conference realignments would indeed effect which conference is stronger, IMO.
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The expansion talk is not predominately about competition, it is about:
1. Money - Getting NEB & MIZZ into the Big10+1 increases their marketing of the Big10 Network to more homes. More viewers is more money. Period. The same goes for offers to RUT or possibly SYR, it is to gain a larger market share for their network.
2. Fan base (more money) - RUT, while being historically not a great team (except in recent years, a bit), *is* the state school of NJ = a large population that buys school gear, and would support conference play in general (bowl game attendance, viewership on TV, etc)...well, as best the generally non-college-following citizens of NJ could muster. Same story for SYR, in that it is 'the state school' with a decent following. NEB has a die hard fan base, and while they'd be a bit upset at breaking ties with their historical home of the Big12, they would quickly get upbeat about making a name for themselves in the Big10+1 (and given their coaching and talent, compare to the Big10+1, they'd have a better shot at that than winning the Big12). MIZZ would bring them that state's fan base, though I don't believe that really amounts to much. ND? Well, gaining market share in Indiana isn't a big factor since IND is already in the conference, but you gain the NBC level of TV and bowl swag for the conference, what is supposedly one of the strongest fan bases for bowl attendance and tv viewership nationwide 8) and a lot of alumni that, if forced to give up their independence, would love to see their golden coneheads winning the conference they've historically played the most with.
3. Competition - this is a distant third, but they are looking at teams that would not upset the power atop their conference immediately, to preserve their (delusional) image of being a power conference already....but these teams have the 'potential' to become strong in coming years and represent the conference well. Not an immediate black eye for all the over-ranking of tOSU and PSU from the past years, as they'll still get those pre-season over-hyped rankings for a few years....until the likes of NEB and MIZZ start teaching them that the BIG12 was indeed more competitive than the Big10+1. It's a matter of bringing in 'names' with 'potential' but not immediate kings of the conference.
4. Recruiting - The Big10+1 cannot recruit all that well in TX, CAL, FL (SE in general), as schools like TX, USCw, and FL are already taking the top talent from those regions...and starting to take the top talent from other areas like NJ, NY, etc. For the Big10+1, gaining NEB and MIZZ feeds them lineman for their style of play; gaining RUT or SYR gains them some of the speed and talent from those regions that is currently migrating elsewhere for better schools. Gaining ND brings its own swag for the recruiting trails (either playing for ND, or playing against them and all the tv exposure).
All the conferences looking to expand (Big10+1, Punk10, and SEC) are talking about TX being a candidate for obvious reasons - they have a HUGE fan base, recruiting base, viewing audience, etc. That's the gem everyone wants, but you don't see them listed so much for the Big10+1 wish list as you do for SEC and Punk10, because TX most likely wouldn't really be up for that....but they might join the SEC or Punk10 (more likely, given a better chance to win championships and less competition for recruiting base in the area they join) if they see the Big12 get torn apart.
ND...ND....really, what they would most likely do, IMO, is watch the Big10+1 grab some mid-level teams like NEB, MIZZ, RUT, etc...then see which conference provides them the best chance of a good future. I do not believe they can maintain their independence if the superconferences come to fruition and realignment shakes out. ND has been waning in popularity with fans and players across the country, and I sincerely believe that to get back to being a 'big name school' they will have to join a conference and dominate it. Now, what gives them the best opportunity to do that? Big10+1 is a natural geographic (and academic) fit, but as much as we like to put down the quality level in the Big10+1 the simple fact is ND can't compete there on a regular basis. The only likely choices for ND would be the Punk10 who isn't really offering, based solely on a recurring match up with USCw....and the BigEasy which has been weak and-or declining for years, is likely to lose some of it's strength if RUT jumps to the Big10+1, and has been their 'conference home' for other sports for so long. The BigEasy presents ND with a BCS level conference affiliation, an opportunity to step in immediately and compete for the championship, and a good situation to become the long running conference king. Additionally, I have the impression a good portion of the ND faithful (outside of IND and the surrounding states) is in BigEasy territory, so they easily become the flagship program for the conference.
The SEC? FSU and UM are not going to leave the ACC where they have a shot at winning, and trade it for harder competition in the SEC. They would be trading away some of the territory they currently compete in for fans and recruiting, it doesn't make sense. Would they make more money? In football, probably. In basketball, probably not. Overall, yes....but bringing them into the SEC does nothing for them or the SEC. That, Captain Kirk, is illogical. CLEM or GT? Maybe....maybe...but I don't personally think so given we already have UGA and USCe. The teams that make the most sense for the SEC are the likes of TX (and TT), if they (TX) would do it. Beyond that, I'd be asking what schools can gain us viewership, fan base, and recruiting....which leaves slim pickings from the ACC and BigEasy.