^I live in Texas. Back in the day people here used to go to Mexico all the time, everyone went whenever they had enough of a break. Mexico is awesome. But more recently, few people go, even a lot of Mexicans I know with close family in Mexico have stopped going. I was there around some border towns a bit over a year ago and it was crazy, the drug wars have turned entire cities into ghost towns. It's not the drugs that are new, we used to get drugs in Mexico most times we went. It's the government interference with the cartels that's causing the violence.
What you say about America having to legalize seems logical to me, but US drug policy has never been built on logic. I posted a link to more recent Mexican drug laws and it shows that they are on a road to decriminalizing, regardless of what the US does. The US is influential, but Mexico is not a puppet state. Mexico legalizing without America doing so, would, like you point out, not stop them trafficking to the US, which I guess would still be illegal. Definitely a dilemma.
Man, I had a good reply typed up last night but then I got high and forgot and turned my comp off before posting it.
First off, about the DEA. The DEA does fall under the executive branch. That doesn't mean the president has the power to dissolve it. And the DEA does not fall under the control of any branch of government (they are under the Department of Justice technically, which is executive branch). Obama told the DEA to stop doing raids dispensaries in states with medical marijuana. And they didn't stop. This is because the DEA, iirc, doesn't require presidential approval for anything it does. They don't even answer to the president, they have to get approval for major things from Congress but not until after they do them so basically the DEA does whatever it wants and then asks congress if it was cool. I'm pretty sure only Congress has the authority to end the DEA because Congress created the DEA.
Here are reasons the next president will not legalize or even decriminalize drugs (marijuana is a possibility). The American voters support prohibition. Many very powerful aspects of the American economy support prohibition (tobacco, alcohol and pharm companies, the US military, the vast majority of US police, and the private prison "industry" to name a few of the bigger ones). There is not enough public support for anyone to end prohibition at this time.
Ron Paul is crazy and I'm not terribly interested in debating about him. If you guys don't get why shutting down the federal reserve, going back to the gold standard, closing most important social services or shrinking them to a ridiculous size and pursuing a policy of isolation are bad ideas, it's probably not worth me explaining. He's not fiscally conservative, he's crazy. If he was fiscally conservative he would support the government limiting spending by spending money in areas that will bring down overall costs. For instance, government provided healthcare is significantly cheaper for the government then letting healthcare be run by private interests. I also hate how he gets branded as supporting individual liberties even though he's anti-abortion (he would even cut funding to Planned Parenthood), anti-union and even against the Civil Rights Act, made to protect basic human rights. He would fuck this country up to an incredible level. Luckily, he won't win.
Back to public interest in ending prohibition. Representative democracy is supposed to see the politician who was elected represent the interests of their constituents. The majority of voters in America would be very against legalizing drugs. Shit, in California, the state most likely to legalize marijuana, the voters voted not to legalize. And that's just weed, very, very few people support legalizing anything other then weed.
You mentioned earlier (or someone did) the idea that it's bad for a candidate to change their views to try and get reelected, but that's kinda how representative democracy is bound to work. The candidates try to get votes by appealing to as many people as they can.
What numbers guy said about a president unilaterally de-scheduling a drug seems possible to me, he's a smart dude. But I don't see it happening. The main reasons are- 99% of everyone in Congress would be against it, the majority of American voters would be against it and every private interest would either be against it or not care. So there's really just no support for legalizing drugs in this country.
Like I mentioned earlier, it's much more likely in Mexico, they already legalized possession of small quantities. If you know Spanish (a translator will allow you to at least get the drift if you don't), the difference in their drug policy found here are fairly interesting-
http://www.mind-surf.net/drogas/legislacionmexicana.htm
This part sheds some light onto where Mexico is going- "En Injustificabilidad de la prohibición legal de las drogas (Tesis, ITAM, México, 1996), Muñoz Nava demuestra que la legislación penal en materia de delitos contra la salud presenta serias dificultades desde el punto de vista dogmático, ya que:..."
In the next paragraph there are bullet points and they explain some problems with drug enforcement.
They basically are talking about how the dogmatic way of viewing drug laws clearly doesn't work. They call drug trafficking a "crime of abstract danger." They go on to say that possession and use do not constitute a endangerment or cause significant harm.
"También resultan violados por la legislación antidrogas los principios de racionalidad de la pena (el cual estipula que la sanción equivale al daño causado), de humanidad (que protege los derechos humanos de los infractores), de idoneidad (que exige se demuestre que la criminalización es un medio útil para el control de un problema social) y de subsidiariedad (que impone la previa comprobación de que no existen alternativas adecuadas a la criminalización)."
Here it talks about how many anti-drug laws defy principles of rationality with regards to sentencing.
Anyway, this thread got pretty off topic with the Ron Paul stuff but I just wanted to throw in here that America doesn't control Mexico's drug policy and they've been headed towards legalizing for several years now.
In the US I don't think drugs will be legalized anytime soon, regardless of the politician, simply because there's not even close to enough support. Ron Paul won't win partially because most GOP voters are against his stances on drug legalization and everyone else can see how crazy the rest of the man's ideas are, plus most non-GOP voters also support prohibition. I also agree with the "voting for someone based on one of their ideas is stupid" sentiment expressed earlier. Single issue voting is silly.
In Mexico it might happen because the people of Mexico are beginning to demand change on a large scale. Politicians can't completely ignore their constituents and still get elected.
Lastly, I'd like to address this-
Obama kept most of his campaign promises and he's been quite an active president actually. I'll refer you to this
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/promises/obameter/ if you want specifics. And no, I don't remember Bush having a modest and restrained foreign policy, because he didn't. Bush was crazy and he seemed crazy to me when he was running. Obama is a moderate who's pretty good for an American politician and leaps and bounds more reasonable, intelligent and sane then any GOP candidate, including Ron Paul.
Someone keeping their promises doesn't matter much to me when 95% of their promises are stupid, bad for the country and just wrong.