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  • LAVA Moderator: streaM Freak

the market: stocks, bonds, options, whatever

not a bad idea

financelesson-n.jpg
 
It's a good goal. Make enough to where you just park it in treasury bonds and make $500k or more a year

Imagine being a 1980's Wall Street guy that could put his bonus check into the 10 year paying 15%. Even by the end of the 80's it was still near 10%
 
i continue to maintain the position that deflation is the only way out

i would short all the things if i had even an inkling of when this clown show is gonna run aground
 
that was unexpected

because nothing changed about the inflation situation since last meeting

it really looked like they were ready to just let it run hot

(which it's going to keep doing)
 
i know a lot of people talking about real estate again now that prices have come down somewhat but i think in the context of the inflation picture this is just a bull trap before the big show

Stages_of_a_bubble.png
 

In a very simplistic way, bond prices are falling these days because investors are mainly concerned about two things. First, that rising inflation is making the bonds they are holding worth less. And second, that the U.S. government, under successive presidents, has had a habit of spending more money than it collects in taxes. Imagine suffering a pay cut without trimming back your expenses.

One of President Trump's first major legislative victories in his second term, for example, was signing a megabill that extended tax cuts that were implemented during his first administration — while also raising spending in areas such as border security.

Trump imposed a new set of sweeping tariffs this week, arguing they will benefit the U.S. economy — and American workers. But there is plenty of signs tariffs will end up hurting many households.

As a result of actions by Trump and past presidents, the U.S. debt pile is growing: In fact, on Wednesday the U.S. Treasury Department said federal debt hit a record-shattering $40 trillion for the first time.
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Electrum1 said:
Do I buy the No now? It's a couple percent gain if so
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Yes, no.

Kidding aside - can you actually imagine him freeing up the resources needed to do it with the quagmire in the middle east? Frankly, nothing would surprise me, but trying to operationalize a takeover in Greenland as we head into winter while dealing with Iran and with the midterm elections coming in 6 weeks (which he seems pretty busy stumping for) - just seems like a lot of reasons not to for very few reasons to do it - especially given that they have a strategic defense initiative signed.
 
oil dropped and unleashed an epic rally today

tech is back, mag 7 is back, bitcoin is back!

$AMD also joined the $1T club today
 
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