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the 2010 NBA playoffs!

L O V E L I F E said:
. . . or the KNICKS!

Keep LeBron in Cleveland - get Wade *AND* (Amare *OR* Bosh) to NY and the Knicks will be hoisting the trophy by 2014.

I hope!
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but as you should very well know the Knicks have won a championship. the last one was in the 70s I believe.

keeping LBJ in Cleveland would be a great idea.

also I can't wait for the Brooklyn nets. Brooklyn is by far the best borough in NYC and Jay-Z is by far the best resident for boning Beyonce

Brooklyn Nets > Knicks
 
THE MAGIC are NOT dead yet!

Two home wins, and another road steal like last night, and all Boston sports fans (ESPECIALLY The Sports Guy With A 110 IQ) will be treated to karma for all of their celebrating the 2004 Red Sox comeback from 0-3 to 4-3 as a "miracle."

It's NOT a miracle, or anything NEAR a miracle.

In fact, when two teams are APPROXIAMTELY equal, the approximate odds of one team (the one who WAS trailing 3-0) winning the next four games is somewhere in between 15 to 1 and MAYBE 40-1 or 50-1, at the absolute maximum, depending on the circumstances.

That's why the Red Sox comeback wasn't anything APPROACHING a miracle, and neither would a Magic comeback from 0-3 be a miracle.

I *HATE* it when someone who professes to be an EXPERT on a subject (like Simmons regularly does when it comes to numbers, odds, and gambling) and actually has ABSOLUTELY NO CLUE ABOUT WHAT HE'S TALKING ABOUT.

I'll debate him in public anytime, anyplace, anywhere.

Someone make this happen.
 
Orlando deserved that game. Glad poopie gets to go to game 5. Despite how well the Celtics have been playing I'm too superstitious to say they are gonna win. Shit does happen and in the ultimately cheesy words of KG "anything is possible"
 
L O V E L I F E said:
THE MAGIC are NOT dead yet!

Two home wins, and another road steal like last night, and all Boston sports fans (ESPECIALLY The Sports Guy With A 110 IQ) will be treated to karma for all of their celebrating the 2004 Red Sox comeback from 0-3 to 4-3 as a "miracle."

It's NOT a miracle, or anything NEAR a miracle.

In fact, when two teams are APPROXIAMTELY equal, the approximate odds of one team (the one who WAS trailing 3-0) winning the next four games is somewhere in between 15 to 1 and MAYBE 40-1 or 50-1, at the absolute maximum, depending on the circumstances.

That's why the Red Sox comeback wasn't anything APPROACHING a miracle, and neither would a Magic comeback from 0-3 be a miracle.

I *HATE* it when someone who professes to be an EXPERT on a subject (like Simmons regularly does when it comes to numbers, odds, and gambling) and actually has ABSOLUTELY NO CLUE ABOUT WHAT HE'S TALKING ABOUT.

I'll debate him in public anytime, anyplace, anywhere.

Someone make this happen.
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basketball is different than baseball, its never happened in the entire history of the nba. if the magic come back which they wont, it will be historically possibly the biggest upset of all time in the nba. even though im really praying they do because i think the lakers matchup against the magic insanelyyyyyy well
 
so, i must retract my earlier post. no, not the part about my disgust for the magic after 3 straight losses, but about game 5.

bf has become quite cynical and "sees no point in going, b/c we're not gonna make it to the finals". what a fan, huh?

ah well.

but, if that snowball's chance in hell does actually happen, we'll make his rich daddy take us to a finals game for sure!

tonight's game (lakers/suns) was great. i've never really watched the suns play before. great team. makes me happy. plus, i love how they interviewed "the bench" after their win, as opposed to nash.

GO MAGIC!
 
poopie said:

bf has become quite cynical and "sees no point in going, b/c we're not gonna make it to the finals".
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Take me to the game!

I'm not even a Magic fan - but I do like them, and I *DO* honestly believe they have a reasonable (30-ish percent) chance to win this series - and would LOVE to see this game!

With poopie!

I'll even give your BF my BF's autographed white-Colorado-slut-cum-stained-Kobe- jersey in exchange for the ticket!

Make it happen, Poops!
 
grimble crumble said:

basketball is different than baseball, its never happened in the entire history of the nba.
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Wrong.

Wrong.

Wrong.

Yes, basketball is different than baseball, but you're missing the point.

The reason that teams who go up 3-0 win 99-ish percent of all series all time in EVERY sport is mainly . . .

. . . because the team who goes up 3-0 is USUALLY the CLEARLY superior team!

So, YES - when a #1 seed goes UP 3-0 against a #8 seed (or even against a #5 seed), sure, the chances that the inferior team will win four straight are approximately:

(.25 in Game 4 at HOME) x (.15 in Game 5 on ROAD GIVEN A GAME 4 WIN) x (.40 in Game 6 at HOME, given they've cut it to 3-2) x (.20 in GAME 7 on ROAD GOVEN they've tied it at 3-3) = approximately 300 to 1 odds against this happening!

There haven't even been 300 series which have gone 3-0 in the history of the NBA!

The sample size is WAY too small.

It will happen EVENTUALLY.

BUT . . .

. . . this is NOT your typical 3-0 starting series.

This is MUCH like Yankees-Red Sox.

Where the teams were considered to be relatively equal - (IN FACT, THE MAGIC WERE PROHIBITIVE FAVORITES entering the series!).

So HERE, the oddsmakers (who base the odds on the marketplace, which is almost always CLOSE to being accurate) have installed ORL in GAME 5 as a 2-1 favorite (67% even though they're DOWN 3-1!). If they win THAT, they be MAXIMUM 2-1 underdogs (33%) in Game 6 - perhaps (40%). AND . . . if the string together a third straight win, they'll be favored approximately 3-1 (75%) in Game 7.

That makes it (67%) x (33 -40 %) x (75%) = 17 to 20 percent.

And whaddaya know?!

Vegas odds have Orlando to win the series at between 4-1 and 6-1, depending on where you look.

Statistics don't lie.

It's the unethical people who mislead those who don't fully understand statistics who are the liars.
 
^^^ just think about how much literal magic and grit it took just for them to scrape by with one overtime win. the celtics have outplayed the magic 12 quaters, the magic have out played the celtics one overtime
 
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grimble crumble said:
basketball is different than baseball, its never happened in the entire history of the nba. if the magic come back which they wont, it will be historically possibly the biggest upset of all time in the nba. even though im really praying they do because i think the lakers matchup against the magic insanelyyyyyy well
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i know this is conference finals, not THE finals but do you remember the Dallas Miami series a few years back

I DO

i thought a team wouldnt come back from bein down 3-0 but low n behold the Heat did and my team got J-bagged on a championship,

So it has happened

EDIT: Damn, shoulda read a couple posts down, looks like LL pointed somethings out, i didnt actually read it but, yea, The Mavs fuckin chocked, surprise, surprise
 
Orlando looks damn good right now. If they keep this up they will be winning. Poopie, if you aren't at this game you should dump your bf for being a dumbass.

Are you fucking kidding me for ejecting Kendrick Perkins?! I thought we were gonna lose anyways. I'm not saying that will cause us to lose in fact as I post this it just happened. That was just a bullshit call and even Vangundy"s brother is saying so. Just fucking let them play the game. The ref should be shit canned
 
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Perk, how long have you been in the league and you are still not able to control your emotions? Just play ball instead of bitching about every play. You are a beast when you do!
 
yeah, about perkins, i don't think he should've been ejected either. but, he's also racked up a srs amount of technical fouls throughout the play-offs.

and ll, how can someone *not* like the magic?! :D
i don't think he would like that jersey too much. he's kinda pissed that the one magic jersey he has is a freakin' hedo jersey. sonofa...

i am currently harassing my boyfriend (via text) about our absence at this game. yeah, ll and i should have gone together!

and FUCK rasheed wallace! so not a fan.

srsly though, if soemhow pull this outta our ass, i will be going to the finals!

on a side note: even though big baby davis knocked down some little kid last year on the sidelines, i hope he's okay. brother's got heart trying to get up and play when he couldn't even stand!

live and die by the 3's, y0!
 
Ya as it stands right now Perkins is suspended a game. We'll see if they take the last one away.

I still think the magic were the better team last night. If it was about that game only then fine but, we can't afford to lose the guy that basically shut down Howard the first 3 games over some ridiculous call.
 
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