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euro cup final, france vs portugal

Whosajiggawaaa

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france is even money fav to win - porto at just over 3/1

17/10 for over 2.5 goals and 0.45 under 2.5 goals.

porto is clearly the value bet as I feel they could cause a shock tonight. so my main bet is for them to lift the cup.

France were lucky against Germany and could have easily got a hiding on another day. Portugal are very tough to beat and will make it tough again. They will attack on the counter and use set pieces to their advantage. But still my gut feels to stick with france even at a price of even money or maybe a draw at 19/10.

17/10 for over 2.5 goals just seems too good to be true, has drifted out from 14/10 too which clearly shoes the bookies think it'll be a low scoring match.

any thoughts ?

needa make up my mind.

Edit: decided to go with value and go porto 3way odds win at 3.05 and porto to lift the cup at 3/1 .

and have taken over 2.5 goals at 17/10.

If i lose i'll live, aka not going big.

edit: bigger inrunning coverbet on france, so if porto win (unlikely) i will make money if they win and there are over 2.5 goals i will make the most money - if france wins and there are over 2,5 goals i will now make some money, if france wins , period i will now break even.

edit: BOOOM!

but those side bets ate up a lot of my profit when i thought france would win and such....also i shoulda gone str8 to lift the cup, that ate more of my profit too.

but i'll take it
 
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