Chronik Fatigue
Ex-Bluelighter
- Joined
- Sep 23, 2005
- Messages
- 5,735
I just can't wait for Julia to pull out her Chairman Mao suit just as soon as Kevin gives his victory speech (which can be livestreamed here btw)
Labor wins
Staff reporters
November 24, 2007 - 8:54PM
* National swing of 6.12% to Labor
* ALP wins bellwether seat of Eden-Monaro
* Lindsay falls to Labor
* Maxine McKew wins Bennelong
* Labor to win Deakin, Corangamite
* Swings to Labor in Braddon and Bass
Counting in the federal election shows a swing to Labor of more than 6% — enough to secure the 16 seats it needs to form government.
Labor now appears to have secured 78 seats, the number it needed to defeat the Coalition.
At 8.30pm, counting showed a 6.12% swing towards Labor on a two-party preferred basis.
Deputy Labor leader Julia Gillard says it looks clear that Labor has won the federal election.
'Labor is going to form government'
"I'd say on the numbers we're seeing tonight Labor is going to form government,'' Ms Gillard told ABC TV, over the cheers of Labor supporters.
Former prime minister Bob Hawke has also called a Labor win, telling SkyNews: "I think Labor's won. It's a question by how much.
"I think they'll probably end up winning 20 odd seats.''
Labor does not look like losing a seat in Victoria.
Early voting figures in Victoria indicate the Coalition is likely to lose at least the seats of Deakin and Corangamite.
ABC election analyst Antony Green tentatively called the federal election for Labor.
Mr Green made the call at 7.50pm (AEDT), based on computer predictions of substantial swings to Labor in early results in from Queensland.
Expert calls it for Labor
"The swing is over 6% at the moment in Queensland,'' he told ABC television.
"I've got Labor up to 78 seats at the moment as a prediction which gets them into government.
"It's a cautious prediction.''
By 7.30pm, with 17% of the vote counted, Labor was ahead nationally by 51.67% to 48.33%.
Victorian marginals to fall
With 56% of the votes counted in the eastern Melbourne seat of Deakin, Labor's candidate Mike Symon had 51.82% of the vote, while Liberal Phil Barresi, who has held the seat for 11 years, had 48.18%.
Mr Symon needed a 5% swing to take the seat and at
8pm (AEDT) had secured a 6.79% shift.
In Corangamite, veteran member Stewart McArthur, who has held the seat since 1984, had a greater share of the primary vote but Greens preferences were giving the ALP's Darren Cheeseman 51.27% of the vote after 62% was counted.
Other marginal Liberal seats La Trobe and McEwen were swinging Labor's way but not enough by 8pm to topple the sitting Coalition members Jason Wood and Fran Bailey respectively.
Another Liberal seat which was expected to be under threat, McMillan is comfortably heading the government's way with member Russell Broadbent securing 54.97% of the vote after 40% was counted.
Bellwether seat changes
Labor candidate Mike Kelly is declaring victory in the bellwether seat of Eden-Monaro.
Mr Kelly is delivering his victory speech in the NSW seat — which has changed along with the government at every election since 1972 —appears to have to unseat Liberal minister Gary Nairn.
Eden-Monaro has traditionally gone to the party which wins government.
Mr Kelly, a former army lawyer, had polled 12,089 votes and Mr Nairn 12,142, while Greens candidate Keith Hughes had polled almost
2,100. Almost all Greens preferences could be expected to go to Labor.
Mr Kelly arrived to cheers from supporters at the Queanbeyan Leagues Club but said the seat was too close to call.
Early counting had Labor marginally ahead of incumbent Special Minister of State Gary Nairn, but Dr Kelly said Eden-Monaro was always a cliffhanger.
Labor wins Lindsay
Labor candidate in the NSW seat of Lindsay, David Bradbury, has declared victory.
Mr Bradbury said Labor had shown it understood the needs of working families.
"We have won today because we have shown that we understand that these are things that matter to people,'' Mr Bradbury said.
"Tonight we reclaim that enduring Australian value of a fair go for all.''
Mr Bradbury said the Liberals had taken Lindsay for granted under MP Jackie Kelly.
"To the Liberal Party, the electorate of Lindsay has always been a political trophy,'' Mr Bradbury said.
"Some people said it was the prime minister's good luck.
"Tonight, the Liberal Party's luck has run out.''
Close contest in Wentworth
Environment Minister Malcolm Turnbull's seat of Wentworth is shaping up to be a very close contest.
After 1.4% of the vote was allocated on a two-party preferred basis, Mr Turnbull had recorded a swing of almost 2% against him but was just hanging on with 50.55% of the vote.
First voting figures for Queensland in the federal election show a 5% swing to Labor, but the Government's vote is holding up.
The AEC first figures posted on its official website show a 5% swing to the ALP and a 3% swing to the Liberals.
The Wentworth seat became a hot topic during the election campaign after Mr Turnbull's controversial approval of the Tasmanian Gunns pulp mill, and the resulting Greens flow of preferences against him.
Mr Turnbull is facing strong competition from human rights lawyer George Newhouse.
Sturt sways against Minister
Minister for Ageing Christopher Pyne appears in danger of losing his seat of Sturt, after 0.9% of the vote had been allocated on a two-party preferred basis.
Mr Pyne has recorded a swing of more than 10% against him in the South Australian seat, and is currently tracking at
46.7%.
The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) estimates around 13.6 million voters cast their votes by the close of polls.
with AAP
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2007/11/24/1195753358232.html
Wacky said:Labor has NOT been declared winning: YET.