pmoseman
Bluelighter
The Code of Federal Regulations of the United States of America p.238-242 states, "Continuity rates are are defined as the yearly average of the ratios derived by dividing (a) the number of employees working in a given month who also worked in the next succeeding month by (6) the total number who worked in the first of the first of the 2 months."
So you take the number of users who used a drug in both of those months, so people used in April and May that is your numerator. Next you divide that by the number of users in the first month only.
I see two reasons this may have decreased. The first is addiction treatment. So addicts are getting treated and discontinuing use. The other is that new users are merely experimenting. You get different users each month, one would assume.
Since new use increased by a factor of (12/7.8) 1.5 and the rate of continuity decreased by a factor of (44/31) 1.4, I would guess it's the new users experimenting and excess factor of 0.1, is 12% of experimenters continuing.
This model is further supported by evidence that month to month drug use rates have remained constant at 2.4%. Same number of people each month, just different people, adding to lifetime use.
But you would also have to factor in how successful treatment had been. What percent of total of people matching the criteria for substance dependence have been treated? You would have to remove former continuous users stopping from any decrease by decriminalization.
There is a good chance of this, but I don't know. Since 2001 how many month to month users in Portugal have quit?
So you take the number of users who used a drug in both of those months, so people used in April and May that is your numerator. Next you divide that by the number of users in the first month only.
I see two reasons this may have decreased. The first is addiction treatment. So addicts are getting treated and discontinuing use. The other is that new users are merely experimenting. You get different users each month, one would assume.
Since new use increased by a factor of (12/7.8) 1.5 and the rate of continuity decreased by a factor of (44/31) 1.4, I would guess it's the new users experimenting and excess factor of 0.1, is 12% of experimenters continuing.
This model is further supported by evidence that month to month drug use rates have remained constant at 2.4%. Same number of people each month, just different people, adding to lifetime use.
But you would also have to factor in how successful treatment had been. What percent of total of people matching the criteria for substance dependence have been treated? You would have to remove former continuous users stopping from any decrease by decriminalization.
There is a good chance of this, but I don't know. Since 2001 how many month to month users in Portugal have quit?
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