Fjones
Bluelighter
- Joined
- Dec 5, 2008
- Messages
- 3,326
I actually think the decision whether to fold AA is often an interesting discussion.
In a DON SNG, here is how I would decide, on the bubble.
I would ask myself the following question --
"Does my making the top 5 depend entirely on whether the short stack wins his all in?"
In other words, if my stack is so small that I am assured of finishing 6th IF the Short stack wins his all in, I would just add my chips to the pile and increase the chances that I beat him with my AA (This assumes my stack is equal or larger to his so that I can actually bust him).
As an example, if there are 6 left and the short stack and I each have 400 at the 100 200 level, and the other players have 3175 each, and the short stack pushes, everyone calls, and I have AA, I am calling.
I see no value in folding. If the short stack wins his all in, I am going to bubble. If he loses the all in, he bubbles and I win. So why not get in with the AA and increase the chances that the short stack actually does lose?
Regarding the last question you asked, if I am short stack on the bubble and there three all ins in front of me and I have AA in the big blind, I might consider folding. But again, it depends on how likely I think I am to survive if no one gets knocked out. What it the short stack holds up, possibly because we folded our AA? Now we are still a short stack with no guarantee of getting a good hand.
As an extreme example though, if 4 people are all in for EXACTLY 2500 on the bubble and I have less than 2500, I am folding every time with AA, because surely SOMEONE is getting knocked out since they all have the same stack and can all knock each other out. But if I stick it in, and multiple people lose, I get 6th by reason of starting the hand with fewer chips.
I like discussing poker with you. I am glad this thread has drawn interest.
In a DON SNG, here is how I would decide, on the bubble.
I would ask myself the following question --
"Does my making the top 5 depend entirely on whether the short stack wins his all in?"
In other words, if my stack is so small that I am assured of finishing 6th IF the Short stack wins his all in, I would just add my chips to the pile and increase the chances that I beat him with my AA (This assumes my stack is equal or larger to his so that I can actually bust him).
As an example, if there are 6 left and the short stack and I each have 400 at the 100 200 level, and the other players have 3175 each, and the short stack pushes, everyone calls, and I have AA, I am calling.
I see no value in folding. If the short stack wins his all in, I am going to bubble. If he loses the all in, he bubbles and I win. So why not get in with the AA and increase the chances that the short stack actually does lose?
Regarding the last question you asked, if I am short stack on the bubble and there three all ins in front of me and I have AA in the big blind, I might consider folding. But again, it depends on how likely I think I am to survive if no one gets knocked out. What it the short stack holds up, possibly because we folded our AA? Now we are still a short stack with no guarantee of getting a good hand.
As an extreme example though, if 4 people are all in for EXACTLY 2500 on the bubble and I have less than 2500, I am folding every time with AA, because surely SOMEONE is getting knocked out since they all have the same stack and can all knock each other out. But if I stick it in, and multiple people lose, I get 6th by reason of starting the hand with fewer chips.
I like discussing poker with you. I am glad this thread has drawn interest.