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  • LAVA Moderator: Shinji Ikari

the market: stocks, bonds, options, whatever

Lmao. What the actual fuck is this. Can't post a picture of other human beings?

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Electrum1 said:
The stock went down with the market going down. Tesla (TSLA) is down 24% in the last month while Reddit (RDDT) is down 30% in the same time. $1.4B is almost nothing for Tesla which is $780B, when reddit is $20B, and Tesla had 50x the revenue as reddit last quarter but is less than 40x the reddit valuation

So, would you short or long reddit here? What trade would you make if forced to make a trade?
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I know reddit is moving towards paid content and premium subscription in the near future. What I don't actually know is what the appetite is for such things in our current market, though reddit seems to believe that there is enough regular use from users who may be willing to pay a bit for superior products, my inclination is to trust that they'd see some profit in the near term but may also face long term uncertainty as tech competes for AI content models with human customers. Reddit has a broad user base with IIRC from a survey you posted, a relatively equal political spread (though progressive heavy for sure) and tends to have people with college degrees young-to-middle age, who may have income they'd be willing to spend. I don't recall if the survey looked at career or income.
 
Electrum1 said:
This guy a few days ago:



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Question about how puts function:

As I understand it they are betting on a price drop in value of the asset to below a certain value, so you're paying to sell during a period of time at a price which would theoretically be higher than that rate you're anticipating the price will drop below. So you make money on the cost you're petting on vs. the value it drops to.

In this case, I believe there was a target date of June 25th or something - this would be the length of the contract (3 months) and it would be able to be sold at any point during this time. Obviously a 20% increase in value is the wrong direction for this scheme at least at the outset.

Does buying put options do anything to the stock value itself?
 
JahBeeuS said:
@Electrum1 you see this shit?

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JahBeeuS said:
You should definitely be selling these contracts to these people. The premiums on them are almost certainly rising as more and more "protesters" try and sink the musk ship.

If you look through the x replies it's definitely exactly what you state here.
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JahBeeuS said:
Agree there.



In this case I do think the initial tweet is kind of a misrepresentation albeit a funny one.
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Following up the original post on reddit: Post was deleted by mods and there's a mod thread noting that the poster on X has been active in conservative groups talking about TSLA Musk drama (typically siding with Musk) and he uses a combination online forums and telegram groups to pump risky stock moves that aren't good advice but generate him commissions which he then goes back to delete unfavorable discussions/bans users. He has numerous alts that he uses to create favorable reviews etc. The post on reddit was trying to use the anti-elon stuff of late to expand the grift. A bunch of folks have mentioned that it was a very bad move to make and advised against any of this stuff.

Robinhood really does make this stuff much more streamlined in ways that allow people who should be talking with financial advisors with fiduciary interests rather than guy on X.

It is interesting to see how the new landscape has impacted so much of this stuff. When you mentioned gamestop Jah I got the sense that you're a part of connected with that community. I had a patient a couple of years ago who had been pretty involved and talked about his experiences early on - as I mentioned I don't have the disposable income to do that stuff, nor much of a stomach for gambling, but I enjoy looking at human social behaviors online, as well as in my clinical work.
 
There we go

GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) (“GameStop” or the “Company”) today announced that its board has unanimously approved an update to its investment policy to add Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset
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www.globenewswire.com

GameStop Announces Update to its Investment Policy to Add Bitcoin as a Treasury Reserve Asset

GRAPEVINE, Texas, March 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) (“GameStop” or the “Company”) today announced that its board has...
www.globenewswire.com www.globenewswire.com
 
They should've done this. ROOT was $44 that day and is $168 now

Electrum1 said:
They should shut down their most unprofitable stores and then use some of that cash they have to buy something not even related to gaming like ROOT insurance that is close to being profitable. Or do like MSTR did and buy some bitcoin
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tryptakid said:
Does buying put options do anything to the stock value itself?
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Not necessarily, but some of the huge players (banks, hedge funds, etc.) will monitor the options market and a massive (multimillion $) options trade one way or the other may influence their buying and selling of the stock.
 
It's been obvious for months to not own stuff that will be negatively impacted by tariffs. Gotta own stuff that has revenue growth and isn't impacted by tariffs, like MDGL, which is why it has held up
 
Imagine owning apparal companies the entire time that it's been obvious tariffs were coming against the countries where those clothes and shoes are made. People who still owned Nike, Columbia, and so on, deserve the losses
 
Electrum1 said:
Imagine owning apparal companies the entire time that it's been obvious tariffs were coming against the countries where those clothes and shoes are made. People who still owned Nike, Columbia, and so on, deserve the losses
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Should have had a system setup to prevent/punish/tax/prevent exploitative industries.
 
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