HouseFever
Bluelighter
It's a simple issue of supply and demand. If you have something like a poppy blight the aggregate supply curve will shift to the left because input prices for making heroin will have risen, raising prices of heroin for everyone on the wholesale market. Why go to the effort of bringing it here if you can sell everything you have elsewhere without incurring the extra risk? Some people will choose to incur the extra risk meaning a small amount of product will get through, but between the shift in aggregate supply caused by the poppy blight and then a further shift to the left cause by people's unwillingness to bring it here when they can shift it elsewhere much more easily the wholesale price becomes vastly inflated. At a street level people still want to pay the same price they've always paid so we see exactly what happened, a massive drop in purity so the business is still profitable. There's fuck all about so people end up paying for shit if they like it or not. Your assumptions are based on an infinite supply in the factors of production, which obviously isn't the case. If the situation had have continued we probably would have seen the retail price of heroin rise sharply and become very expensive, as it is in Australia.
On a more philosophical note, ask yourself in whose interest it is to cut off supply to the UK on purpose? ....and perhaps more pertinently, if law enforcement have been failing at it for so many years how do you think anyone else is going to be able to instantly have such massive success at doing so?
As far as I'm aware the poppy production that year, was still large, and growing each year, I don't think it dropped, just didn't rise like the constant of previous years. I think there was enough Heroin to go around for sure. Well enough for the rest of the world not to have a drought anyway. When you say risk of selling here, and the fact that they can shift it else where kinda seems like you're saying there was heroin but not for UK market? Risk has already been made for years previous, I'm just curious to why it was just the UK. I'm in different on opinion. I think it just boils down to these Turkish gangs are actually shit criminals, who haven't a clue what there doing. Its coming from a few people at the top, one little slip and they all fail like the pussies they are.