No it was me that mentioned conditional probability, which it clearly is. The harm arises from a chain with boolian logic. which in turn leads to a conditional probability chain. Failure estimates for nuclear reactors is based on conditional probability chains too, so are rocket failures or any complex engineering. If something is true or false then it is boolian. therefore boolian conditional probability is more than adequate to describe the chance of a risk becoming extant, no need to invoke anything more complex.
that is your naive understanding and in broad strokes you are roughly correct, but there is more to it than that- as i said in my previous post, this branch of logic would not exist if boolean logic and probability were sufficient. the decisions about how to react when complex safety critical systems behave unexpectedly apply non standard logic because of their inherent fuzziness and the need to take into account counterfactuals, something that standard predicate calculus cannot do.
I stated that I was unhappy that you claimed medical interventions were carried out without your consent and that should not happen, feel free to revisit what I wrote. If you were sectioned then by definition you were deemed generally incapable of consent, though I am very uncomfortable with what that approach implies regarding agency and choice. I was taught medical ethics.
you stated that in emergency situations (i.e. urgent surgery) consent is assumed and that's ok.
the thing is, i'm fucking glad i was treated without my consent. ime it is not really possible for an anorexic to consent to treatment and starving to death is fucking brutal, by the time i got to hospital my blood pressure was so low that the doctors couldn't explain why i wasn't in a coma and your brain doesn't function properly in that state. i was convinced i was right and the world was wrong. i'm so glad i got a chance at life instead of having to wait until i died in a horrifically slow and painful way. ditto being forced to go to rehab.
so i am comfortable with the idea of medical treatment without consent because i have benefited massively from it, i think this is probably why i'm more open to medical interventions being made without consent than you.
One concern here.
We don't allow them to have unvaccinated kids in school.... But we also require them to have their kids educated.
Which means the only way for them in practice not to have their kids vaccinated is to have their kids home schooled. And these kinds of parents are the last people who should be educating anyone since they're usually extremist whack jobs.
In truth that probably describes 90% of parents home schooling their children in America.
yep completely agree. its very concerning. i had an ex boyfriend who was 'home schooled' and he got 0 gcses or qualifications ever despite being reasonably bright. i think there should be consequences for deciding not to vaccinate your children but i also think the children shouldn't suffer for their parents actions, any more than they do due to the medical neglect. its basically an impossible situation and i just find it unbelievably sad.
In the country you live in there is no such policy, because it is pragmatically recognized that the risk of infection that children who cannot be vaccinated are carrying is due to their status the risk arises from themselves.
i was referring to australia. i have no idea why there is no such policy in britain but i suspect that if the number of unvaccinated children reached a certain threshold and kids start dying as a result, then the policy regarding this would be revised. not necessarily by excluding unvaccinated children from school, ideally by getting them vaccinated.
Mandating or coercing compliance is also recognised to be highly counter-productive and is a minority view in the medical and public health sphere. Appealing to enlightened self interest is much more effective.
i do agree with this and i don't think i've actually said anywhere that people should be coerced. just that people who go against medical advice despite having no psycholoigcal condition impairing their ability to decide should take responsibility for their actions, instead of expecting an over stretched medical system to take on that responsibility, especially when right now that means some people might not get the treatment they need to survive.
i fully respect people's decisions to be fucking idiots and die as a result but i don't respect their expectation that anyone should look after them if their idiotic decisions land them in trouble.
the notorious anti-vax leaders appeal to enlightened self interest, they are just wrong. but the level of distrust they create in medical science means that the more accurate enlightened self interest argument 'i.e. you will be protected from awful, potentially deadly diseases and the risk of side effects is very low' falls on deaf ears. or they produce reams and reams of easily debunked arguments and move the goal posts or accuse you of being a sheep each time you address one of their points. so i completely agree with you in theory i'm just at a loss as to how to put it in practise.