4DQSAR
Bluelighter
- Joined
- Feb 3, 2025
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Experts believe breakthrough in US fentanyl crisis may have started in China
US overdose deaths have plunged, but experts warn the ‘supply shock’ from Chinese precursors may only be a temporary fix
Long ago China banned the immediate fentanyl precursors and the result was simply semi-legitimate chemical companies in Mexico were buying pre-precursors from China and converting them INTO the original precursors. In fact, I can imagine a similar ecosystem to the Gong Kai digital arena with middle-men who are comfortable with 10-15% profit to undertake legitimate work.
So it is no surprise to me that in light of the Don's visit to China, the Chinese have indicated to suppliers that leading up to the visit, selling to Mexico (and India - a trans-shipment point) were out. But the market remains and to the best of my knowledge, precursors to nitazenes and possibly even some finished product is not controlled in China or Mexico.
Then add to this the fact that Carfentanil is now appearing.
In short, every time a chemical is legally controlled, people either find the most potent analogue to make precursor purchaces hard to spot and/or simply swap to the next class on the list.
I still cannot explain why 4-phenyl phenapromide or even more potent derivatives have yet to turn up. Not as well explored BUT we know of several modifications to the phenapromide scaffold that comfortably puts them into the same potency bracket as fentanyl. After all, those derivatives OVERLAY fentanyl and the final step, the formation of that amide - that is likely IDENTICAL to the last step of fentanyl synthesis.
None of the above is secret. It would be nice to think that someone put some thought into POTENTIAL fentanyl alternatives and had those phenapromide precursors controlled, but so far, law enforcement has always been reactive, not proactive.
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