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  • Sports & Gaming Moderators: ghostfreak

fantasy football 2015/2016 v. not the bl league

redskins will not score more than one offensive touchdown, cousins will be sacked at least 5 times and picked off 2+
surely there will be a combination of fumble recoveries and defensive TDs as well
 
Having the better lineup has an advantage in every single scenario. If I were to do it, besides the multi entry tournaments, I'd get a computed line up and enter EVERYTHING. 50/50, head to head, single entry, etc. All you're doing is playing the odds, that are in your favor. Why would you not employ that strategy?

So you're assuming that because they generated their lineup with some algorithm, which is based off fantasy point projections.. they have the better lineup? What you're saying is that they are able to predict the future results based off their projections. Which is impossible. There are so many algorithm lineup creators available to the public, everyone can use them.. and I don't think anyone really cares if they are playing h2h against a lineup that was built by an algorithm. For you guys that play season long fantasy football, I'm sure you don't auto draft your team. I would much rather play against some auto generated lineup based off projections, than play against a lineup built by someone that really understands football.

Projections are not always right, but they are a good base to start with and then you can make some changes to the lineup. I guarantee you would lose more often than not if you entered a SINGLE entry based off projections without actually making any non calculated decisions.

The algorithms work when you put in hundreds or even thousands of different lineup combinations because you're covering all your bases. To think someone could develop any type of software the could break it all down and make a winning lineup every time with just one lineup is crazy. They would have developed something so complex that could literally predict the future.
 
They make their choices based on more than just fantasy point projects that are available to the public. They get into retarded minor variables and the top players have custom software that they continuously tweak. And it works for them. They put in 40-60 hours per week, from what I've read, into this. It's their full time job. Their take home is over $100k a year and they have the bankroll to grind that profit out.

I don't know how much you'd like to make with this, wether it's 50 a week or 2k, but even to make just 50 *consistently* week after week, it'll take a bit more effort than the standard player puts in. Sure anyone can get lucky, but we're talking consistent weekly winnings. I'm not saying that you can't do it, or that you're not good enough to, but the odds aren't in your favor at all. Try it out, though, put in 100 and let us know what you have left at the end of the season.
 
Im gonna try it myself and see what happens
Ive been trying to get a bunch of guys in a sports group on FB to try to come together and see if we can do something together but i dont know if theyre willing
they claim to be doing very well in baseball so far, and football recently

The dude who told me he made a few ground a month though said he did it doing 50/50 on basketball.
 
Scandal Erupts in Unregulated World of Fantasy Sports

The data that DraftKings acknowledged was released by its employee, Ethan Haskell, showed which particular players were most used in all lineups submitted to the site’s Millionaire Maker contests. Usually, that data is not released until the lineups for all games are finalized. Getting it early, however, is of great advantage in making tactical decisions, especially when an entrant’s opponents do not have the information at all.
That employee then went on to win $350k at FanDuel, their competitor. Both companies acknowledged that employees have won big jackpots at their competitor's sites. Employees at those two companies are now banned from playing daily fantasy anywhere.

The interesting part is that the data used to win was about who other players had and had not chosen, not some sort of insider info on the athletes or advanced head to head player statistics. If you connect this to the previous articles, which state that very few with algorithms and large bankrolls win the vast majority of the prize money, you can get an idea of what those algorithms most likely focus on. It all adds up to the same conclusion from before, even if you're good at fantasy and analyzing player talent, you're not likely to win much unless you go way above that.
 
I talked to someone about this yesterday cause i dont exactly understand how this works considering I really feel no matter what its like

But he explained to me that they had % of which players were used the most, so basically the lineups are made around commonly not used players who stand the best chance to have a break out week(i guess this is where the skill comes in?) assuming the fact that large numbers of people start say tom brady and he has a bad week youre technically ahead of the entire league considering its handicapped because the mast majority of people own the dud
 
i needed a streaming qb this week as my main guy - andrew luck - is out. i dropped derek carr and started josh mccown and endured a couple of days of aggressive smack talk from my league.

sure shut them up today :)

alasdair
 
i needed a streaming qb this week as my main guy - andrew luck - is out. i dropped derek carr and started josh mccown and endured a couple of days of aggressive smack talk from my league.

sure shut them up today :)

alasdair

Yeah thats a smooth 30+
Im sure whoever won the big money on fan duel mysteriously started him this week lol
 
i got fed up with jordan matthews' lukewarm performance so i benched him and started willie snead tonight. after a 2-week target-fest, for snead, brees is throwing it to everybody but snead tonight. such a lottery sometimes...

alasdair
 
I am 1-4 in my money league going into today. I got Antonio Gates back from suspension last week and Jeremy Maclin should come into his own With Jamal Charles done for the year. Its basically do or die time. If I lose today my season is over.
 
4-1 in my work league so far. Gotta make up for the shitty showing I had last season.

It's pretty funny because we had a a coworker leave for a different company so we had to get someone else to take his spot. This dude doesn't watch football, doesn't know anything about the players, and he's the only undefeated person in the league right now. LOL
 
I am 1-4 in my money league going into today. I got Antonio Gates back from suspension last week and Jeremy Maclin should come into his own With Jamal Charles done for the year. Its basically do or die time. If I lose today my season is over.
you didn't grab west? maclin should benefit too...

alasdair
 
i have both tight ends in the game tonight... who to start?

barnidge has been killing it but manziel's at qb and they've not show much chemistry. still, his record is amazing.

but eifert has been my guy all year and i can see dalton slinging it like crazy against this brown's d...

i am leaning eifert. what would you do?

alasdair
 
Man I BARELY squeaked into the playoffs in my work league this year. There were 4 teams of the 12 ended with the same record for the last wildcard spot. Our first tiebreaker is "Points scored" which I had more of. =D
 
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