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Gambling Thread (No flames plz)

I used to play the Fixed Odds football coupons, which at least you can predict with a reasonable degree of confidence based on past form -- wins are easier to predict than draws, and home wins are easier to predict than away wins. Avoid teams with recent changes, avoid derby matches and certain bogey fixtures and ignore the "sections", because one of them is invariably full of all the hardest-to-call matches. I had a perming system for covering against my predictions going wrong: based on the odds, I would bet on a whole set of extra perms with one of my "home" picks or one or two of my "away" picks as a draw; such that if any line came up, I would win the same amount. I wrote a computer program to help me work out the perms, after doing it all on paper the first time.

Spookily enough, it only ever "worked" on my initial dry runs apart from one time I forgot to go to the bookies and hand in my coupon! If I actually placed the bets, I invariably lost ..... Make of that what you will.

After that didn't work out, I tried betting on horses, again picking winners based on past form, and I thought I was doing well. I didn't bet any massive amounts, but I got a few curries, a few scores and a new pair of boots out of it. Unbeknownst to me, there was a great betting scam going on at the time, with jockeys deliberately reining in horses to lengthen the odds against them. When the details eventually came to light, I recognised more than a few of the names of the horses involved as ones I'd been betting on .....
 
anyone with a laddies account check their emails for a free £30 bet offer, just MBed and easy £25 profit
 
I'll have a look but don't really have any cash to lay it off nor any to deposit with so prob won't be able to take advantage!
 
TheSpade said:
You've just won £5k or are you just hoping to?
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Naw, his bet fell when Swansea scored their third. At least he had the nuts to post his bets in advance, which is more than anyone else on this thread has done yet.

Here's a hopeful of mine for next weekend to set the ball rolling. Bertoliver each way in the Investec Dash at Epsom, available at 16/1. He was a shock winner of the same race last year and led till the final furlong last time out at Newmarket.

Look forward to seeing BLers future selections rather than their reminiscences of past glories. :)
 
currently playing a "Rush Poker" tournament on Full Tilt, I deposited $20 on there, is a $11 tournament, doing pretty well so far, am sitting in 10th place with 70 players left, 911 players started, top prize would be $2,095.30, 2nd would be $1,320.95, 3rd would be $979.33

Looking good to get a half decent result from this game, not even a big fan of Rush Poker to be honest, that might change if I get a big win here though :D
 
Never played any rush poker tournaments but the cash games are great fun, constant action and no sitting around waiting for the rest of the table to act. It's genius! How can you not like? Just means less time sitting around between hands and more playing.

At least he had the nuts to post his bets in advance, which is more than anyone else on this thread has done yet
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Hardly very ballsy like, if I had any bets on I'd post them, but I don't.
 
Derby next week.
One of the few Classics that i 'm definatley in profit from over the years.
Who's going for what. Carlton house looks like the favourite.
 
Never played any rush poker tournaments but the cash games are great fun, constant action and no sitting around waiting for the rest of the table to act. It's genius! How can you not like? Just means less time sitting around between hands and more playing.
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Finished in 27th in the end, prize money only $35 for that position though :( Got donked out by some lucky bugger, nevermind, still a win :)

I don't really like rush poker because you don't ever get to get a feel for the table dynamics, and it is harder to get to know the opponents and their betting styles.
 
parttime crackhead said:
I'm gonna take Willy Hill for £5k the day. I want a new telly.

Swansea v Reading - Correct Score
Swansea 2-1 @ 9/1

Derry v Galway - Correct Score
Derry 3-0 @ 11/2

Drogheda v Bray - Correct Score
Bray 1-0 @ 13/2

Stake : £10.00
Returns: £4875.00
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derry will prolly stuff galway but very hard too see drogheda getting anything they are awful.
 
I'm suprised that none of you have mentioned goals galore at betfred, 10 matchs multiplies up 20 about 330-1 so a tenner on all the premiership games pays £3300 - which happened teice this season, i'm expecting them to change in next year but if they don't that's gonna be a regular bet for me.

There's been quite a few fixed serie a games over the last few months too, if you spot that early they can be good to back and then lay it off on betfair closer to the game for a guarenteed profit. I'm quite keen on doing the same thing with golf as there's massive disparities between opening odds and odds after the cut - picking a few of the favourites to back and then lay can be a great option.
 
bogman said:
got a tip for a horse running this evening

EL Mcglynn

5.30 Tipperary.
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Wouldn't write off that tipster just yet, just out of the money at 20-1.

Horseracing s a murky business. I was in Newmarket earlier and the town is awash with rumours that Carlton House, the favourite for Saturday's Derby, is injured and may be withdrawn..the price, I believe has drifted from 7/4 this morning to 4/1 on Betfair in consequence.

But some remember the same stable put it about Workforce needed the run and think it's just bollocks to push the price out. If the horse was really fucked, they say, it'd be 50-1 by now as everyone scrambles to lay it. Best to await the official announcement.

And, while everyone chatters about bent or incompetent jockeys, trainers who order apprentices and stable-retained riders to lose and bookies dictating the results in advance, nobody mentions a subject close to every BLers heart. Cyclists do it, athletes do it, but horses doped on ingenious chemical mixtures that fool the testers? Shhh, it never happens, ok?

3 well fancied favourites went in at Nottingham today, seemed half the town had them in yankees with the 2nd fav to Godolphin/Dettori's latest joke their fourth selection. You look at the cars lining the High Street, they don't come from dungy's wages or 15% of a £2500 prizemoney. One drunken Scottish dwarf touched his broken nose after his second toke of the cheese and advised Frequency ew at Hamilton tomorrow. No idea who he was or of his connections but the size of his wad merited a little respect.
 
charlie clean said:
Wouldn't write off that tipster just yet, just out of the money at 20-1.

Horseracing s a murky business. I was in Newmarket earlier and the town is awash with rumours that Carlton House, the favourite for Saturday's Derby, is injured and may be withdrawn..the price, I believe has drifted from 7/4 this morning to 4/1 on Betfair in consequence.

But some remember the same stable put it about Workforce needed the run and think it's just bollocks to push the price out. If the horse was really fucked, they say, it'd be 50-1 by now as everyone scrambles to lay it. Best to await the official announcement.

And, while everyone chatters about bent or incompetent jockeys, trainers who order apprentices and stable-retained riders to lose and bookies dictating the results in advance, nobody mentions a subject close to every BLers heart. Cyclists do it, athletes do it, but horses doped on ingenious chemical mixtures that fool the testers? Shhh, it never happens, ok?

3 well fancied favourites went in at Nottingham today, seemed half the town had them in yankees with the 2nd fav to Godolphin/Dettori's latest joke their fourth selection. You look at the cars lining the High Street, they don't come from dungy's wages or 15% of a £2500 prizemoney. One drunken Scottish dwarf touched his broken nose after his second toke of the cheese and advised Frequency ew at Hamilton tomorrow. No idea who he was or of his connections but the size of his wad merited a little respect.
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Conspiracies, conspiracies Stoute won't conspire with the Queens horse to diddle the Derby market on Betfair; he said the 'Orse had a knock on his knee, that is all.

Had a wee look at Betoliver in the dash, ok race last time, stiffer 5 than epsom, worse race than tomorrow, and also may just have got the course better than anything else last year. Captain Dunne (I think) ran a nice race at Longchamp in a G3 last time and looks the beating. That said the 5 at Longchamp is as funny as the Epsom 5.
 
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