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the nfl 11-12 prediction thread

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^ Well college is incredibly imbalanced between the good and bad teams so IDK if I agree with that. Depends on the matchup I guess.
 
it's tough for me because the WTF upsets seem more WTF

for example, Purdue besting tOSU. there was no reason that game should have went that way (blocked point-after kick). I'm just trying to say that on the pro level, there aren't any teams quite on the Purdue Boilermakers kinda level
 
week 13
3,4-dihydro 14-2
alasdairm 13-3
axl blaze 11-5
China Rider 11-5
Methadone84 10-6
Pander Bear 10-6
Pegasus 10-6
Tommyboy 10-6
Kenickie 9-7
suburu 9-7
Care 8-8
ChickenScratch 8-8
home team 8-8
GenericMind 7-9

cumulative scores through week 13
Code:
Pander Bear     132  60  0.688
Care            128  64  0.667
3,4-dihydro     118  61  0.659
axl blaze       126  66  0.656
suburu           84  44  0.656
ChickenScratch  114  62  0.648
Kenickie        123  68  0.644
DrinksWithEvil   54  30  0.643
alasdairm       121  71  0.630
China Rider     121  71  0.630
Tommyboy        120  72  0.625
Pegasus         119  72  0.623
Methadone84     117  75  0.609
GenericMind      97  63  0.606
home team       107  85  0.557

week 14
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea

alasdair
 
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cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea
 
week 14
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea
 
i think the general standard of picking is pretty high. for comparison, the percentages for the yahoo experts are mike silver at 0.708, jason cole at 0.630, les carpenter at 0.682 and yahoo users at 0.672.

none of those picked seattle to bet philly this week :)

alasdair
 
yeah, I've always been amazed at how well we do picks here year in and year out

most of us are constantly above and beyond ESPN "experts"
 
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea

another big week for the home teams
 
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea
 
since i'm dead even with him

all i care about is beating alasdair'um


cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea

i'm not picking the rams any more this year, because the schedule is brutal and i don't want them to win

2nd or 3rd draft pick looks cool on paper
 
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea
 
is this the week that gb loses?

it's not as crazy as it sounds. if oakland had mcfadden, i'd say it was more likely but even wiht bush, if they pound the ball against green bay's average run defense they'll keep the offense on the side. even more surprisingly, gb has the 31st-ranked (that's second worst in football) pass defense. the oakland receiving corp. is injured but heyward-bey and schillens are picking up the slack.

i'm sticking with my green bay pick but, if gb has to lose a game, i'm rooting for oakland to do it this week.

alasdair
 
GB's defense is pretty sloppy this year. they are lucky to have a pretty easy regular season schedule, but I'm thinking their porous defense will hopefully cause them to lose a game in the playoffs this year
 
^ I am also hoping they lose early in the playoffs so the niners can cruise to the superbowl with homefield advantage!
 
cle @ pit
hou @ cin
min @ det
ne @ was
kc @ nyj
no @ ten
ind @ bal
phi @ mia
atl @ car
tb @ jac
chi @ den
sf @ ari
oak @ gb
buf @ sd
nyg @ dal
stl @ sea
 
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