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US Politics The Mueller Investigation - report is out

I think he's toast, and while I've never expected trump to get in actual trouble (our justice system still respects his office, at least) I still hope manafort disembowels a few colleagues as he tries to claw a flotation device.
 
Fortunately, everyone is fairly blasé about the news in Washington DC.

•Roger Stone, Trump's sort-of-friend, had his Twitter account suspended for attacking CNN;

•defense attorneys are running from cameras like cockroaches;

• Mueller's tight ship is afloat despite rumors that his salary of less than 200k was excessive!!

•the White House is unhinged (moreso than usual);

•and Donald Trump Jr., who no longer has Secret Service protection, is reportedly in Nambia hunting the endangered water zippo, long prized by Nambians for the mystical hand size increasing properties of its fin.

Oh and HILLARY emailed uranium using an unsecured server to a Ukrainian who bought a Haitian time share for the Clinton Foundation with a refrigerator containing only ketchup!
 
Paul Manafort, Who Once Ran Trump Campaign, Surrenders to F.B.I.

Breaking News: First Scalps Taken

Mr. Manafort had been under investigation for violations of federal tax law, money laundering and whether he appropriately disclosed his foreign lobbying.

The charges against Mr. Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign chairman, were not immediately clear but represent a significant escalation in a special counsel investigation that has cast a shadow over the president’s first year in office.

Also charged was Mr. Manafort’s former business associate Rick Gates, who was also told to surrender on Monday, the person said.
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Mr. Gates is a longtime protégé and junior partner of Mr. Manafort. His name appears on documents linked to companies that Mr. Manafort’s firm set up in Cyprus to receive payments from politicians and businesspeople in Eastern Europe, records reviewed by The New York Times show.

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Roger Stone, who is a close Trump associate who was banned from Twitter this weekend after melting down over news of pending charges. Stone convinced Trump to hire Manafort, his longtime friend and associate as a campaign manager.

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Mueller's investigation is now expected to focus more closely on White House officials and work towards HILLARY Trump and family.
Stay tuned!!
 
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Fantastic!

This is going to be interesting. I read earlier that trump reportedly had his "most epic meltdown to date" when he heard of manafort's arrest.
I need to go to bed, but i'm going to make some popcorn :)


Lock him up! etc etc
 
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Come right over here...
 
Miss Duggles, the charges are here, can't you share? Something about conspiracies and foreign governments and money laundering and being a secret agent of a foreign power, all against the interests of your country, you know, like a common traitorous shitweasel?

Foregin Policy

So the count is +3 preparing for criminal trial.
 
Why yes, I would!!

Some of this will touch on things mentioned in the Trump thread by spacejunk (first for acknowledging my breaking news ;)), alisdairm, Scrofula, cj, EbowThatLetter, mal3volent, or JessFR in the Trump thread.

I'm trying not to be redundant but in-depth and comprehensive.

Strap in...
 
Flipping Flynn

MICHAEL FLYNN HAS SOMETHING ON TRUMP IF HE IS COOPERATING WITH MUELLER, SAY LAWYERS

BY GRAHAM LANKTREE
ON 11/24/17 AT 5:46 AM

Lawyers for former national security adviser Michael Flynn have stopped talking to President Donald Trump’s legal team about special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation, according to reports Thursday. That could mean Flynn is working out a deal that could implicate a senior Trump official, say legal experts.

On Thursday, The New York Times reported Flynn’s lawyers have stopped coordinating their defense with the president. The Washington Post confirmed Trump’s former national security adviser’s legal team ended the deal Wednesday night.

“I negotiated a cooperation deal for a target with Mueller's office when he was U.S. Atty and lemme tell ya, he's not gonna give one to Flynn unless he implicates someone up the ladder. That means Kushner, Don Jr., or Big Daddy,” wrote Norm Eisner, a former White House Special Counsel for Ethics on Twitter.

“Prosecutors accept cooperation only if you can provide ‘substantial assistance.’ Higher up in the food chain. Stay tuned…,” wrote Preet Bharara?, the former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, whom Trump fired early this year after he refused to resign.

Mueller’s investigation is probing whether the Trump campaign worked with Russia to hurt Hillary Clinton’s campaign. It is also investigating whether Trump obstructed justice when he fired FBI Director James Comey who was investigating those matters.

An end to communication does not mean that a cooperation deal has been reached, but it does indicate negotiations are underway. “No one should draw the conclusion that this means anything about General Flynn cooperating against the president,” Trump attorney Jay Sekulow told the Post. “It’s important to remember that General Flynn received his security clearance under the previous administration.”
...

Former federal prosecutor Renato Mariotti? called the fact that Flynn’s lawyers are no longer coordinating with the president’s “a shocking development.”

“It means that Flynn does not expect Trump to pardon him or his son, or he believes that him or his son could be convicted of unpardonable state offenses,” Mariotti wrote on Twitter.

“The fact that Flynn's lawyers aren't sharing information with Trump's lawyers means that they believe it is no longer in Flynn's interest to do so. It is highly likely that it means Flynn is pursuing a cooperation deal with Mueller,” Mariotti wrote.

“To get a deal, Flynn would need to prove testimony that helped the government make a chargeable case against someone else,” Mariotti added. “It's not enough for Flynn to try hard, although even his attempt to cooperate could be considered by the judge at sentencing.”
 
The Kids

'Keep coming at me guys!!!’: Donald Trump Jr. meets Russia scrutiny with defiance

By Drew Harwell
November 23 at 3:24 PM

Donald Trump Jr. had just posted a batch of private messages he exchanged with WikiLeaks during last year’s campaign, confirming reports that he communicated with the website that published stolen Democratic emails obtained by Russian military intelligence.

"More nothing burgers from the media and others desperately trying to create a false narrative,” the president’s oldest son wrote on Instagram. “Keep coming at me guys!!!"

Over the course of the week, Trump Jr. went on to tweet or retweet criticism of his father’s 2016 Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton; actor George Takei; Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.); and former vice president Joe Biden, sharing unsubstantiated claims about him from an anonymously sourced blog post.

Faced with deepening scrutiny of contacts he had in 2016 with people tied to Russia, the 39-year-old has adopted a provocative response: defiance.

In public appearances and on Twitter, Trump Jr. has taken an increasingly caustic tone, mocking critics and shoving himself into the scrum of the country’s most polarizing debates.

It’s an unorthodox legal strategy for someone under scrutiny by congressional investigators, whose every word could be used against him. But the approach fits with the real estate executive’s growing public persona as a right-wing provocateur and ardent defender of Trumpism.

“He’s very smart to be in the spotlight,” said Charlie Kirk, a friend and the founder of the conservative college and high school group Turning Point USA. “Would they stop the investigation if he stopped tweeting? He’s in a situation where either you defend yourself, reassure the base, reassure the supporters, or stay silent. And if you’re totally silent, it only increases suspicion.”

The Trump base is with him, Kirk added: “Most people can’t even keep up with this stuff, anyway.”
...
 
Ability to Charge Flynn Strengthens Case of Obstruction of Justice against Trump
By Ryan Goodman
Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 11:35 AM

Note: This was written prior to Flynn's lawyers ceasing to cooperate with Trump's legal team, suggesting that Flynn is now cooperating with the Mueller investigation.

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Special Counsel Bob Mueller has now gathered sufficient evidence to indict Michael Flynn and Flynn’s son, according to NBC News. An indictment of Flynn—and even simply having sufficient evidence to indict him—greatly strengthens the case of obstruction of justice against the President.

Why? Former federal prosecutor and Just Security’s Alex Whiting explained this summer in a piece, “As Collusion Evidence Emerges, Obstruction Allegations Begin to Look More Damaging.” Here’s Professor Whiting’s point:

Despite the old adage that “the cover-up is always worse than the crime,” obstruction charges will be harder to prove if in fact there were no improprieties to hide.

Read Whiting’s article for his full analysis including how prosecutors generally think about tactical choices in such cases. In his piece, Alex focuses more on the “collusion” charges as the potential underlying cover up. But who could have anticipated the avalanche of legal problems that Flynn would face, as outlined in the NBC news story—plus recent reporting by the Wall Street Journal’s Shane Harris on Flynn’s potential role in seeking Hillary Clinton’s emails from Russians and Harris’s subsequent report that Mueller directly turned his investigation’s attention to Flynn’s potential role in those efforts.

What’s more, as the NBC story explains, an indictment of Flynn would implicate the President more directly. NBC’s Julia Ainsley, Carol E. Lee, and Ken Dilanian write:

So far, the probe has only ensnared campaign officials, and the White House has argued that the connection to the president is minimal. An indictment of the president’s former national security adviser and his son would scramble that dynamic.

This is the scenario that Whiting outlined back in July. The final two paragraphs of Whiting’s article are exceptionally prescient:

When Trump engaged in his alleged acts of obstruction, did he have a sense that the investigation would ultimately unravel this story that is now emerging? With regard to Flynn, did he know that Flynn’s story was an important piece in the larger picture, one that he did not want revealed? Or did he know that the FBI’s pressure on Flynn could force him to give up other incriminating evidence? Far from simply acting to shield a former subordinate and ally, was Trump actually just trying to protect himself, and those close to him?

If the answer to any of these questions is yes, then Trump’s actions will have a very different feel to them, and his potential defenses much harder, if not impossible, to swallow. Doubts about whether Trump’s actions merit serious consequences could be effectively mitigated. For this reason, it is important to keep an eye on both parts of the investigations, and how they are related. There is no question that the investigators will.

[Editor’s Note: For more analysis, readers may be interested in: “A Round-Up of Just Security’s Obstruction of Justice Coverage,” and “Timeline of Trump and Obstruction of Justice: Key Dates and Events”]

Great site, great links, and great legal analysis.
 
Jeff Sessions threw cold water on calls for a 2nd special counsel to investigate Clinton

Allan Smith
Nov. 14, 2017, 1:52 PM

Attorney General Jeff Sessions threw some cold water on increasing calls from the right for a second special counsel to investigate 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

During testimony before the House Judiciary Committee on Tuesday, Sessions told Republican Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio that something that "looks like" it is worthy of the appointment of a special counsel "is not enough basis to appoint one."

Jordan listed off a number of reasons why he believed a special counsel should be appointed, pointing to issues stemming from the Fusion GPS dossier on President Donald Trump's ties to Russia, which has been partially substantiated and partially discredited; former FBI Director James Comey's handling of the investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server as secretary of state; and the 2010 Uranium One deal, which involved a Russian energy business acquiring a controlling stake in the Canadian company by that name which, at that time, controlled 20% of US uranium extraction ability, The New York Times reported.

The Uranium One deal was approved by a committee that included representatives of nine government agencies, one of which was the Clinton-led State Department.

As The Times reported, "Donors related to Uranium One and another company it acquired contributed millions of dollars to the Clinton Foundation, and Bill Clinton received $500,000 from a Russian bank for a speech." But there is no evidence that Clinton herself was involved in the US government's approval of the deal.

Republicans have said special counsel Robert Mueller cannot impartially investigate the matter because he led the FBI at the time of the deal.

"I appreciate yesterday's letter saying you were considering appointing a special counsel that you sent to us," Jordan said. "But my concern is we sent you a letter three and a half months ago asking for a second special counsel. And if you're now just considering it, what is it going to take to get a special counsel?"

"It would take a factual basis that meets the standards of the appointment of a special counsel," Sessions responded after Jordan read off a list of reasons why he believed an appointment was necessary. "We will use the proper standards, and that's the only thing I can tell you, Mr. Jordan. You can have your idea but sometimes we have to study what the facts are and to evaluate whether it meets the standard that requires a special counsel."

After another heated exchange, Sessions said, "'Looks like' is not enough basis to appoint a special counsel."

He did not, however, rule out that a special counsel could be appointed if the proper standards were met.

The line of questioning came weeks after Trump publicly called for the Justice Department to investigate Clinton, lamenting that the "saddest thing is that because I'm the president of the United States, I am not supposed to be involved with the Justice Department. I am not supposed to be involved with the FBI."

"Everybody is asking why the Justice Department (and FBI) isn't looking into all of the dishonesty going on with Crooked Hillary & the Dems." Trump tweeted earlier this month.
 
What Mueller's org chart reveals about his Russia probe

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Workload for the special counsel’s team — now 17 prosecutors — shows how he’s conducting the probe and what may come next.

By DARREN SAMUELSOHN
11/13/2017 05:05 AM EST

Special counsel Robert Mueller has not publicly uttered a single word about the direction of his high-stakes Russia probe.

But the way he’s assigned the 17 federal prosecutors on his team — pieced together by POLITICO from court filings and interviews with lawyers familiar with the Russia cases — gives insight into how he’s conducting the investigation and what might be next.

His most experienced attorneys have discrete targets, such as former Donald Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort, former national security adviser Michael Flynn and current White House aides. Mueller’s longtime chief of staff is coordinating all the lawyers, including some who cover multiple topics. Select FBI special agents have been tapped to question witnesses.

Spearheading the criminal case against Manafort and his longtime deputy Rick Gates are three prosecutors schooled in money laundering, fraud, foreign bribery and organized crime: Andrew Weissmann, Greg Andres and Kyle Freeny.

And at the center of the investigation into Flynn is Jeannie Rhee, a former Obama-era deputy assistant attorney general who most recently worked with Mueller at the WilmerHale law firm — and whose name has so far appeared only on publicly available court documents relating to the guilty plea of former Trump campaign adviser George Papadopoulos. Assisting Rhee on the Flynn case is Zainab Ahmad, an assistant U.S. attorney from New York with a specialty in prosecuting and collecting evidence in international criminal and terrorism cases — and whose name hasn’t yet appeared in Russia-related court filings.

Mueller’s org chart pulls back the curtain on how the special counsel’s relatively small team is handling an array of investigative targets ranging from campaign contacts with Russian operatives to possibly Trump himself.

“Division of labor is essential here,” said Samuel Buell, a Duke University law professor and former assistant U.S. attorney who worked with Weissmann in the prosecution of Enron executives in the early 2000s. “There’s got to be some carving up of this thing into nests of facts.”

Mueller’s investigation began with a focus on Russia’s role in the 2016 election, but he’s free to pursue any crimes he finds. Former Justice officials said the special counsel’s team needs to be flexible as it scrutinizes Trump aides’ contacts with Russians, Manafort’s overseas lobbying, Flynn’s firing due to his failure to disclose conversations with Russian officials, and the president’s decision to oust FBI Director James Comey. They could cast a still broader net; Trump and his lawyers have warned Mueller to stay away from the president’s real estate deals.

One lawyer in Mueller’s office has indicated publicly that the different parts of the special counsel’s work are interconnected. During Papadopoulos’ plea agreement hearing in October, Mueller prosecutor Aaron Zelinsky urged the federal judge to restrict Freedom of Information Act access to the court files because “there’s a large-scale ongoing investigation of which this case is a small part.”

While Mueller has assigned prosecutors to some of his biggest targets — some of whom, like Flynn, have not yet been publicly charged with a crime — they are still pulled in many directions. Rhee, the lead lawyer assigned to Manafort, was listed as the top attorney in the criminal charges and plea deal unsealed last month in the Papadopoulos case. Brandon Van Grack, a DOJ national security prosecutor who handled the Flynn investigation before Mueller’s appointment, represented the special counsel at the Papadopoulos arraignment hearing in July in federal court in Alexandria, Virginia, the day after the Trump campaign aide’s arrest at Dulles International Airport.

One former DOJ prosecutor familiar with Mueller’s efforts said the special counsel’s lawyers don’t appear to be arranged in any kind of “rigidly hierarchical” manner. “I don’t discount the fact there might be an org chart in a drawer somewhere,” the former prosecutor said. “But it’s far less relevant to these cases. … I’d fully expect everyone on this team is mature enough and skilled enough to take contributions as they come. It’s not a case of, ‘I’m in charge. You’re second in command.’”

Aaron Zebley, Mueller’s former FBI chief of staff, is helping coordinate the multiple lines of inquiry. Zebley has worked as an FBI special agent on counterterrorism cases, a top lawyer in Justice’s National Security Division and private practice work at WilmerHale on crisis management and cybersecurity issues.

Mueller’s liaison to the White House is James Quarles, a former Watergate prosecutor who has helped arrange an ongoing series of interviews with current and former Trump aides. Quarles was involved in the questioning of former press secretary Sean Spicer during a daylong interview last month, according to a person with knowledge of the interview, and he’s a primary point of contact for Trump’s personal attorney, John Dowd, as well as Ty Cobb, the lead White House lawyer handling the Russia investigation.

For all the complicated legal questions Mueller faces — from interpreting federal criminal statutes to the special counsel’s own boundaries for pursuing an obstruction-of-justice case against a sitting president — there’s Michael Dreeben, the deputy solicitor general and widely recognized criminal law expert who has argued more than 100 cases before the Supreme Court.

“Dreeben is everywhere,” said the former federal prosecutor familiar with Mueller's efforts. “Anything involving law will involve Dreeben.”


Mueller’s work isn’t confined to his team of prosecutors, which special counsel spokesman Peter Carr said grew last week to 17 with the addition of an undisclosed lawyer.

The FBI, which had opened an investigation into Russian election meddling in July 2016, continues to play a prominent behind-the-scenes role. FBI agents helped execute the no-knock, pre-dawn raid on Manafort’s home this summer, and they’ve taken the lead in questioning some of the key witnesses. A pair of special agents interviewed Papadopoulos about his Russia contacts in January after the president’s inauguration, a session that last month prompted the filing of a guilty plea on a charge of lying to the FBI, according to an affidavit filed by Robert Gibbs, an FBI agent and veteran counterespionage investigator.

More recently, FBI special agents Walter Giardina and William Barnett conducted an interview with Hank Cox, a freelance editor from suburban Washington, D.C., who helped Flynn publish a pro-Turkey essay on Election Day 2016, Cox confirmed in an email.

Like a U.S. attorney’s office, Mueller has the power to reach across Justice, the FBI and other federal departments to solicit issue experts on everything from cybersecurity to counterintelligence. He’s getting help from financial record and tax specialists at the Treasury Department and IRS, as evidenced by the indictment charging Manafort and Gates with 12 criminal counts, including money laundering and failing to disclose overseas bank accounts.

Carr said earlier this year that Mueller could increase his staff depending on “the needs of the investigation,” and he may need to bulk up inpreparation for a Manafort-Gates criminal trial. A federal judge has proposed a May 7 start date. While that schedule has not been formalized yet, it will eventually require full-time preparation from the attorneys assigned to the case, likely Weissmann, Andres and Freeny. Any indictments involving Flynn would also be an additional weight on the Mueller team if it had to handle a second trial.

Mueller’s team is already larger than that of its most immediate predecessor: Patrick Fitzgerald, the U.S. attorney tasked during the George W. Bush administration to be a special counsel investigating who leaked the identity of CIA operative Valerie Plame. Only a half-dozen Justice lawyers, plus FBI agents, worked on that case, which was much smaller in scope and led to only one criminal trial, involving I. Lewis “Scooter” Libby, the former chief of staff to Vice President Dick Cheney.

The Russia special counsel’s office, however, is nowhere near the size of the multipronged Clinton-era investigation that started out as a probe of the president and first lady’s Whitewater real estate deals in Arkansas but took several unexpected turns, ending with congressional impeachment proceedings over the president’s sexual affair with White House intern Monica Lewinsky.

That Clinton investigation — most famously led by independent counsel Kenneth Starr — ballooned over the course of eight years to include more than 225 employees from DOJ and other federal agencies, including at least 65 consultants and outside advisers, according to a final report released in 2002. Jay Apperson, a former deputy independent counsel under Starr, said he could envision Mueller’s probe growing significantly in size, “depending on the scope of the investigation.”

Mueller’s Manafort indictment “certainly suggests a broadened scope involving conduct well before his role in the Trump campaign,” Apperson said. But he also cautioned that any kind of major expansion likely will “depend on whether the targets of the investigation are cooperative and forthcoming, and that remains to be seen."

Summary: This legal team is fully capable of handling a sprawling investigation with multiple targets. The attorneys boast a wide range of expertise from cybersecurity to money laundering to witness flipping.

This investigation is not ending anytime soon, although Trump's lawyers say it will to keep him from losing it. And, as will be pointed out by other prosecutors in future posts, some of these lawyers left lucrative private practice jobs to join the team. They didn't leave for the sharp pay decrease; they will collect scalps.

In addition to their work around the Trump Administration, this is also an investigation into Russian influence over the election. Twitter, Facebook, and Google have been brought to task for their roles in perpetuating untrue stories to people who don't read very much. This aspect of the investigation is a critical and intertwined issue that doesn't get a great deal of attention.

Basically, you would not want this team investigating you, and you would be an idiot to not be intimidated if they were.
 
There is no there, there (yet). Consider this WAPO article from Jan 2016...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blog...ynn-is-in-quite-a-fix/?utm_term=.8d6db9d25553

Reuters reports, “Michael Flynn, President-elect Donald Trump’s choice for national security adviser, held five phone calls with Russia’s ambassador to Washington on the day the United States retaliated for Moscow’s interference in the U.S. presidential election, three sources familiar with the matter said.” Is this part of the investigation? Does the intelligence committee know the content of those calls, not merely the fact that they occurred?

The FBI has known from the beginning what he said or didn't. That he was charged with procedural violation could mean I'm wrong, or I am right...can't argue with my logic! He hasn't been charged with conspiracy and I am not an attorney and am way out of my league. But I believe if there was more there, he would have been charged with more than this.
 
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