• LAVA Moderator: Shinji Ikari

Speeding vs. law enforcement discussion

the problem is that there is more than one vehicle on the road and you can only drive your vehicle. you don't have any control over the other vehicles. so a set of rules is put into place to try to keep all the vehicles operating in a predictable manor. when one vehicle exceeds the parameters of the designed scenerio, it creates a variable that requires consideration. if all the vehicles operated within the parameters of the design theme, maximum safety and efficencey would be achieved. the main thing to consider and the scenerio that is to be avoided at all cost is the fact of pysical law that no two objects can occupy the same space at the same time. thank you and good day
 
i think we draw the line at posted speed limits. when they place those limits, they take into account elevation, line of sight, turns in the road, on ramps / off ramps, traffic density, and many more.
they also take into account that accidents happening at higher speeds will cause more damage. theres also less time for you to react to other drivers actions and freak accidents (such as something falling off a truck, or a tree falling down and blocking traffic).
at the same time they have to allow for people to get where they need to go in a reasonable amount of time. thats why we have speed limits and why they are usually limited to 70 or less.
 
Speeding in a 15-30mph area...

These areas have a lower speed limit specifically because there is a higher probability of the unknown. Should a child run out into the road or whatever and you hit them the odds are something like 80% that they'll survive (at 30mph) whereas at 40mph the odds are 20%.

Speeding in a 30-65mph area...

Same reason as above except usually reserved for places with blind curves, etc and focused more on safety of drivers than pedestrians. If you're going 60 in a 45mph area and you come around a blind curve to find a car broken down in the middle of the road or someone has turned out in front of you then you might be unable to stop in time.

Speeding at 65+

The limit here is higher due to containment of the unknown but it still exists. You won't come across a pedestrian in the road or a broken down car in the middle of the road almost ever. Consumer vehicles aren't equipped to handle certain situations at these speeds though. For example, someone changing lanes in front of you. Debris on the road including potholes. Mechanical failures or flat tires, etc. Here's an example of someone obviously going over 65 who blows a tire...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=okVCwoqxMgI

Now imagine everyone else going the same speed as him. The guy in the next lane over takes a full 2 seconds to even apply the brakes. The driver who crashes t-bones the truck to his right. Imagine that being another car going 80mph instead of a truck. Slamming on your brakes at high speed even with anti lock brakes can be hard to control. Then on top of that add in the typical tailgating drivers, etc, etc. Note the rubber from the tire in the road after. If you hit a chunk of rubber going 65-70 you could probably maintain control if you see it coming. However, I'd like to see someone going 80 in a typical commuter vehicle run over a blown tire and not lose control.
 
the problem is that there is more than one vehicle on the road and you can only drive your vehicle. you don't have any control over the other vehicles. so a set of rules is put into place to try to keep all the vehicles operating in a predictable manor. when one vehicle exceeds the parameters of the designed scenerio, it creates a variable that requires consideration. if all the vehicles operated within the parameters of the design theme, maximum safety and efficencey would be achieved. the main thing to consider and the scenerio that is to be avoided at all cost is the fact of pysical law that no two objects can occupy the same space at the same time. thank you and good day

Very good point. Good day to you too, sir ;)
 
Speeding in a 15-30mph area...

These areas have a lower speed limit specifically because there is a higher probability of the unknown. Should a child run out into the road or whatever and you hit them the odds are something like 80% that they'll survive (at 30mph) whereas at 40mph the odds are 20%.

Speeding in a 30-65mph area...

Same reason as above except usually reserved for places with blind curves, etc and focused more on safety of drivers than pedestrians. If you're going 60 in a 45mph area and you come around a blind curve to find a car broken down in the middle of the road or someone has turned out in front of you then you might be unable to stop in time.

Speeding at 65+

The limit here is higher due to containment of the unknown but it still exists. You won't come across a pedestrian in the road or a broken down car in the middle of the road almost ever. Consumer vehicles aren't equipped to handle certain situations at these speeds though. For example, someone changing lanes in front of you. Debris on the road including potholes. Mechanical failures or flat tires, etc. Here's an example of someone obviously going over 65 who blows a tire...


These are all reasonable points. I agree on the first two points, and I partly agree on the third. I just think that we could have 80 MPH Zones or highways in addition to the 65 Zones we currently have.

There are LONG stretches of the PA turnpike, NJ turnpike, and ohio turnpike that are flat , straight, with no exits. I think 80 MPH is a safe speed limit on those roads.
 
I guess the only way to solve this argument is to bring up some statistics of survival rates of crashes at certain speeds.. to see if there is a reliable cut off point of worth safety.

i can't believe it has taken this long for someone to say this. this is such a pointless argment which would be solved byexactly this data. and since none of us have access to it (or care enough to get access to it, with the exception of possibly fjones), everyone here is just going to keep arguing for no reason.

at this point, we are debating an EMPIRICAL ISSUE which could be resolved by simply looking it up. once we have those numbers, we could then argue about where the limit should be set (which would be a much more interesting discussion IMO).
 
isku_85th_1.gif


Speed variance and crash risk
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This graph shows that crash risk is minimized for those drivers travelling 10-15 km/h over the average speed. Contrary to popular belief, there are more crashes at slower speeds than at faster speeds.

source: http://www.sense.bc.ca/research.htm#1

The above study very much echos the paper I quoted a page or two back.

And it's often safe to assume that the average speed is over the speed limit (these statistics would be normalised across different types of driving conditions, so arguments about traffic-flow would already be discounted). So it is objectively safer to drive over the limits from an empirical, data/evidence-driven claim.

Now should this be an excuse to raise the laws?

Well, that comes down to two things:

1) An assessment of whether the merits of people saving money on the individual level from fewer tickets could be offset by a tricke-down type of argument from the revenue generated through tickets at current levels.

2) Whether people, by nature, want to "push the limits." In the case of speeding, how much of the above statistics are explained by the psychology people have surrounding existing limits - if laws were changed, how would people's psychological appreciations for speed limits change? New laws, new study, new data, etc. To those who need me to spell it out for them, this is the one that's analagous to the drug laws arguments.

To those who still don't get it, I'll draw up an analogy that is easy to understand. Let's say we have a large rave, where people will be taking a drug (we'll use ecstasy as that drug, but exclude any detailed medical arguments about how safe E is, as that's a disjoint issue - the analogy would be whether a Ford Junkbug owner should be ticked higher for the same speeding violation than the ower of a new BMW, since the latter's safer...). Let's say one hour in, some people are munted, some sober, some chasing, others wanting to kill their buzz. How safe is the situation for a given person right now? We don't know unless we select a person, but we can look at the overall dynamics of the rave and assign probabilities to where the average person would be mentally. We could make statistics on how much MDMA was in the average/marginal person's system, on average how much that person's MDMA level was chaging over time (mathematically, called a "derivative"), etc. And then, given some type of agreed upon psychological basis statistic, also create a derivative for how the marginal raver wants his MDMA level to change.

Now let's say that Person A wants to get higher, so he's running around desperately seeking more pills. This kills some people's moods, makes others suspect that he's LE, etc. His desperation may even trigger violence - he gets punched for killing someone's roll, gets jumped since someone thinks he's a cop, etc. The opposite could also be true, Person B could be crashing/wrecked from triple-dropping and could get irrate and cause chaos. Now at the same time, Persons C, D, ... are having a great time.

Now as the night evolves, all of these things change, but we can always look at how much MDMA the marginal person contains and what various derivatives on that amount look like.

The thesis of this all is that there is an amount of MDMA that the average person could bring in, say Xmg, which would minimise the amount of overall negativity in the rave. Finding X would amount to looking at derivatives such as those mentioned above, as well as with correlations between those derivatives and negative incidents - it's one huge math problem). Given that there WILL be drugs at the rave, the (harm-reduction-orientated) event managers set the legal amount of allowed MDMA per person to be such an amount so as to basically keep the average person minimised against resorting to negativity. Okay, to be fair, they set it to .85 x Xmg a la speed laws, again, with a built-in assumption that people will naturally push the boundaries a bit (it's actually safest to be rolling slightly more than the average raver, i.e be at Xmg when the average is .85 x Xmg, but clearly not everyone can do this [just like not everyone can drive 10% over the average speed).

Again, this says nothing about when people will dose, and some will always be higher/lower and rising/sinking verses others, but this is all discounted by the statistical techniques used to find Xmg.

This is EXACTLY what the study behind the above graph is doing. Two claims are made:

1) It's actually safest to drive a bit above average speeds. (It is safest for everyone to roll with Xmg)

2) Because people will push boundaries a bit, settling laws on the low side actually sets for speed limits to be levels of optimal safety. (The event organizers set the allowed amount of MDMA to be slightly less, in hopes that the minimal level of negativity can be acheived.)

So to conclude my own personal belief, I think speed laws are pretty good as they are, but I *imagine* that if they were raised around 5-10%, an alaogous study would prove that it's even safer to drive a bit over those new laws than it is to drive a bit over our current ones. But again, we wouldn't know until we tried the overhaul. As for ecstasy, well I'd imagine this hypothetical rave would be quite a good one indeed ;)
 
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Also, you don't think saving 3 minutes per 10 miles is significant? I do.

Yeah cause you sure dont have any precious time to waste, it can all be used to come on Bluelight, get angry and scream around to whoever will listen that your skillz are that of Micheal Schumacher...

I suggest you read this

''The effects of speed on pollution and traffic safety''

http://www.goudappel.nl/Site/basicsite.nsf/0/1FB37C466248B8D7C12573D1005723DA/$file/The%20effects%20of%20speed%20measures%20on%20air%20pollution%20and%20traffic%20safety.pdf

Or this article about a downgrade in speed limits in Spain resulting in a 30% drop in pollution

http://www.autobloggreen.com/2007/07/11/reducing-speed-to-reduce-pollution/



But wait.. thats of course if you give a shit about others!
 
I am not sure I know who Michael Schumacher is, though from context I assume he is an F1 driver or something. The name sounds vaguely familiar.

I'll take a look at your links. Thanks for providing them. Your snide remarks are not necessary. Let's try to remain polite and on topic.

Edit -- That first link failed.

Edit -- I read the second article. It was more of a snippet than an article, But it was interesting nonetheless.

I think the gasoline powered car will eventually be replace, so this is not a big concern for me in the long run. In the meantime though, it is hard to fault Spain for taking the action they did, assuming those statistics are accurate.
 
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I am not sure I know who Michael Schumacher is, though from context I assume he is an F1 driver or something. The name sounds vaguely familiar.

I'll take a look at your links. Thanks for prividing them. Your snide remarks are not necessary. Let's try to remain polite and on topic.

Edit -- That first link failed.

- He's a F1 multiple champion

- Stop, using caps, its just... rude lol

- Yeah ive noticed

http://www.google.com/search?hl=fr&...cd=1&q=effects+speed+pollution+safety&spell=1

3rd result
 
- He's a F1 multiple champion

- Stop, using caps, its just... rude lol

- Yeah ive noticed

http://www.google.com/search?hl=fr&...cd=1&q=effects+speed+pollution+safety&spell=1

3rd result

I have barely used caps redently, if at all. I am not sure to what you are referring. I occasionally emphasize a word or phrase with caps. This is done to show that if I were speaking, I would be using inflection on thosewords. Would you prefer italics?

I was not trying to convey Shouting. This is my mistake, as I believe italics is thep referred way to show emphasis. Caps are usually intererpreted as shuoting.

It will takesome time to look over that longer PDF file. I will do so at some point.
 
I was not trying to convey Shouting. This is my mistake, as I believe italics is thep referred way to show emphasis. Caps are usually intererpreted as shuoting.

It will takesome time to look over that longer PDF file. I will do so at some point.

Just read the conclusions than at page 14-15 or something
 
Fjones, just a quick thought:

If your concern is purely based on the manner with which speed laws are applied, then i think you would find that many of us actually may agree with you.

Perhaps the thread got off on the wrong foot with its subject line, which has nothing to do with law enforcement. It ONLY questions whether there is a correlation between speed and danger.


(you know i have actually asked you for this clarification at least three times prior to this)
 
I am exhausted from a long day. I do plan to review my posts and clarify exactly what it is I am saying.

Part of the confusion might lie in the fact that I shifted my aim slightly early on in the thread. I realized that I needed to compromise a little bit to bridge the gap between my views and those of other posters, so I shifted my focus from a broad stance to a more narrow and specific point.

I have a light day tomorrow so I will probably tackle this when I wake up.
 
I agree with you that speeding tickets for the most part are just a racket to bring in the dollars.

However, several western states like Wyoming, Montana and others I'm not positive on repealed their no speed limits several years ago. After the lifting of the national speed limit the speed recommendations for strips of interstate in these states was something like "prudent for driving conditions." I'm trying to find out exactly what the reason for again instituting a 75mph limit in these states was.
 
^^^ Yes, I believe so also. Yet another example of the federal overstepping its bounds and not recognizing states' rights and decisions.
 
The weird sound at 56 secs into the video is a tire blowing up

Now figure your car with regular tires and NO roll cage

Imagine a tire blowing on your regular car at 55mph. Now imagine it blowing at 65mph. Imagine all the possible outcomes of each scenario.

I'm pretty sure the possible outcomes from both are nearly identical.
 
Fjones, just a quick thought:

If your concern is purely based on the manner with which speed laws are applied, then i think you would find that many of us actually may agree with you.

Perhaps the thread got off on the wrong foot with its subject line, which has nothing to do with law enforcement. It ONLY questions whether there is a correlation between speed and danger.


(you know i have actually asked you for this clarification at least three times prior to this)

I will summarize my points here.

I believe that speeding on a highway is not nearly as dangerous as some people make it out to be. There are several why I feel this way.

1) Some highways have 55 MPH speed limits and other have 75 MPH. Though there are some differences, they aren't that great. People sometimes say, "yeah, well, those 75 MPH zones are out in Montana or something."

Maybe so, but there are long stretches of turnpike in NJ, PA, and Ohio that could just as easily be 75 MPH, but they are not. There is no apparent reason.

2) The Autobahn. I dno't think I really need to go into detail here.

3) Automotive technology has improved substantially in the last few decades. I find it difficult to believe that these advancements haven't enables us to safely go faster.

4) Having to come to a complete stop on a highway just doesn't happen often. When it does, there is usually more than enough time to come to a gradual stop. In the event that an emergency stop is required, full application of the brakes should be sufficient. After all, whatever obstacle is in the road was moving at a high speed also, so that obstacle is not going to come to an instantaneous stop. Cars do have highly advanced braking and steering systems that allow us to avoid hitting obstacles.

5) Perhaps most obvious of all, and one I have for some reason not mentioned yet, is that 18-wheel tractor trailers are permitted to drive the speed limit. Do you really think it is safer for a truck to go 65 than it is for me to go 85? People keep saying, “What if you have to stop? What if you have to avoid something? What if blah blah blah”
Well, a car at 85 MPH can certainly do any of those things better at 85 MPH than a truck can at 65 MPH. Also, people have said, “What if you hit something? The impact at 85 MPH is much worse than 65 MPH.
Ok, well, again, I bring up the truck example. What if a TRUCK hits something? Whatever it hits is going to be obliterated. If a truck weighs four times as much as a car, then the impact of that truck at 25 MPH is the equivalent of the impact of a car at 100 MPH.

Additionally, how often do cars hit things on the highway going FULL SPEED? Usually there is time to apply the brakes, and though not avoid the accident entirely, slow to enough of a speed that minimizes damage and injury. So, yes, hitting something at 80 or 85 MPH is likely to be disastrous, just like hitting things going 65 MPH is likely to be disastrous.

My second main point was that the Enforcement of the speed laws is arbitrary, unfair, and mostly about money and not safety. This is displayed in several ways –

1) Speeding is pretty much tolerated. Fines are relatively small, people usually get warnings and slaps on the wrist for first offenses and sometime second offense. People can get many tickets before having their license suspended. Harsh, draconian punishments would effectively end speeding, but would result in tremendous loss in income generated by the tickets.

2) Cops often hide in the bushes or otherwise out of sight. If they were in plain sight, people would not speed, and the roads would be “safe.” Instead, they hide, so that people do speed, and then get caught and get fined. A traffic stop takes 15 minutes. A cop could give 3 tickets per hour, 15 per 5 hour shift. That’s a lot of money.

3) Cops will sometimes follow a speeder before pulling him over, just to see if he does anything more dangerous so they can write him a bigger ticket. If speeding is dangerous, why is the cop ALLOWING the speeder to continue speeding? Pull him over already and get him off the road!

4) Speed limits often drop rather arbitrarily from 65 top 55, then back to 65, back to 55, etc. This is confusing, and places drivers at risk of violating the speeding rules without even meaning to. It also would, in theory, cause hundreds of cars to adjust increase and decrease speeds unnecessarily, and I do not see how that is safe. As it happens, many drivers ignore those random decreases in the speed limit. But those cars, who were driving safely a moment ago, are now suddenly a road hazard? I don’t understand that.

Yes, sometimes there are good reasons for the decreases, SOMETIMES. But not always.

5) Statistics show that deaths as a result of speeding on dry interstate highways are VERY low. The following are most likely or certainly more dangerous than speeding –

Tailgating
Cutting people off
Remaining in someone’s blind spot for an extended period of time
Merging onto the highway at 35 MPH
Slowing down abruptly for no good reason
Not paying attention to the road

And yet, police rarely write tickets for those things. Why? Probably because they are much harder to prove in court. Speed violations are an open and shut case in court. They get people in and out VERY fast, collect thousands of dollars in fines, and send people on their way. In traffic court (just like with parking tickets), you are guilty until proved innocent, and if the cop says you did it, that’s the end of the case. You are guilty, unless you can show that his radar detector was not calibrated properly.

But with the other violations, there is much more of a grey area. Or, in some cases, there is no way to prove it (such as not paying attention to the road).

When a cop is sitting there in a visible speed trap and someone slows down by 25 MPH rather abruptly, that is a serious hazard, and it is unnecessary. The person doing it is usually going 10 MPH over (which will never result in a ticket), and slows to 15 under. This is so much more dangerous than speeding. I am sure we all have witnessed what happens when cars do this. Dozens of people have to follow suit and slow down, people start changing lanes, etc.

Note that in all of this, I am talking about only highway speeding. In highly residential areas, I do not object to a 30 MPH speed limit, though I should point out that a tractor trailer going 30 MPH is still probably more of a threat than a car going 45 MPH.

In area that are sort of residential and sort of highway, such as state routes where houses are scattered on the sides and you have the occasional traffic light, I think a 45 MPH limit is okay, as people usually go 55 and that seems safe. Again though, I believe a car going 65 MPH in one of these zones is less dangerous than a truck going 45 MPH.

I do not think people should speed in the rain or snow, even on the highway.

Yet, many of these “safety” advocates who don’t speed (or don’t speed by very much) in dry weather, drive the same speed in the rain or snow. Do they really think the weather has no effect on what a safe speed is? I, conversely, since I am usually going 80 to 85 in the dry weather, do reduce my speed in the rain to around 65 or 70, and even slower in the snow. I am acknowledging that rain and snow are adverse driving conditions that require reducing your normal speed.

To bring up a similar point to one I mentioned earlier, the speed limits are designed for poor driving conditions. The signs do not say, “65 MPH but 50 MPH in the rain.” Yes, there is an offense for driving “too fast for conditions,” but what does that really mean? That is just a shady way for officers to pull people over for no reason. I have NEVER been cited for this traffic violation “too fast for conditions,” and I have been pulled over dozens and dozens of times. I have also been to traffic court dozens and dozens of times, and no one has EVER been in court for that.

SO, I ask this – If it is safe to drive 65 MPH in the rain, how is it not also safe to drive 75 MPH in dry weather? Or even 80 MPH? I’ll take my chances going 80 MPH on dry pavement than 65 MPH in the rain any day. Yet 65 MPH in the rain is acceptable and 80 MPH on dry pavement is not?

I do not understand this.

That is my piece. I am willing to discuss. However, I wish people would leave me out of it. Let’s have an objective discussion of the ideas and facts mentioned here. Whether I have 26 tickets or zero tickets is not relevant to the validity (or lack thereof) of my ideas and suggestions.
 
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