qwe said:
i think meth is already a "problem"
they always say "new problem" "this problem is GROWING!" because it makes it seem like you have to stop the impeding tidal wave, doesnt imply the problem was there for a long time and if you dont give the govt more power to "stop it" itll just be the same as it is now
It's growing like crazy.
But there is a problem with the "problem" reports, and no one appears to be look at it. At least not dispassionately . 8)
The overall market for the drug greatly exceeds the economic demand of the population of those showing up on radar as problematic users. Add all of these people together, and they can not account for the size of the current market.
My theory is that there is a large group of periodic and functional users, and I am basing this on two factors:
- That the methamphetamine confiscated in drug busts constitutes roughly 5% or less of the total market (so far, you never hear of the meth market drying up for any length of time).
- That the population with management problems (I refer to them as "positives") is unable to be the sole consumers to be able to support the existing methamphetamine market. They are far too small a group, and the market is far too large.
So my theory is concerned with one thing that we can see: the "positives" and the size of the overall underground black market.
And something else that we can not see, except indirectly: the invisible users (who I refer to as the "invisibles"). These folks are kind of like the "dark matter" of the methamphetamine using population and appear to fund the bulk of the methamphetamine market through their consumption.
I am asserting that the invisibles are functional because once they've lost their ability to be functional, they would become marginalized within society (due to personal tragedy: no job, no home, no savings, no family, etc.), and would have a high likelihood of showing up as a "positive" at some point there after.
The rate at which they would show up would be variable: but when dysfunctional, all roads lead to the "positives" (due to health care, arrests, domestic disturbances, etc.).
One other option for dysfunctionality
(sp?) is to seek treatment (with the support of gamily, friends, employers, etc.). But there again, there is not a large enough population combined with the "positives" to account for the large market. And hopefully, anyone in treatment is not a methamphetamine consumer (or at least has greatly limited consumption). So these would represent a population which is not supporting the current market.
So I am not without some degree of evidence concerning this "invisible" group. It just isn't possible to have data showing usage patterns and cross section profiles.
The supply of a market (legal or illegal) is controlled by its demand. And, even without applying economics and market theory, it is just common sense that someone is not going to produce something if there are no buyers. And that those who do, quickly go out of business.
There is far more to this story than is being revealed through population statistics taken solely from a pathological cross sampling. The problem users would most certainly show up visibly (they really can't help it). It is just that this group is not capable of accounting for the whole of the market.