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Marijuana legalization wins majority support in poll (Pew)

panic_the_digital

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By David Lauter
April 4, 2013, 9:13 a.m.
WASHINGTON -- A majority of Americans support legalizing marijuana, a new poll indicates, with the change driven largely by a huge shift in how the baby boom generation feels about the drug of their youth.

By 52% to 45%, adult Americans back legalization, according to the survey released Thursday by the Pew Research Center. The finding marks the first time in more than four decades of Pew's polling that a majority has taken that position. As recently as a decade ago, only about one-third of American adults backed making marijuana legal.

Two big shifts in opinion go along with the support for legalization and likely contribute to it. Most Americans no longer see marijuana as a "gateway" to more dangerous drugs, and most no longer see its use as immoral. As recently as 2006, half of respondents said in a Pew survey that marijuana use was “morally wrong.” Now, only one-third do, while half say that marijuana usage is “not a moral issue.”

By an overwhelming margin, 72% to 23%, respondents said the federal government’s efforts against marijuana “cost more than they are worth.”

Similarly, by nearly 2-to-1, respondents said the federal government should not enforce its anti-marijuana laws in states that allow use of the drug.

The Obama administration has been vague on what stand it will take concerning federal law enforcement in states such as Washington and Colorado, which have legalized marijuana for recreational use, or in states such as California that allow medical use. Federal prosecutors in California have brought charges against some sellers of medical marijuana.

Read the full survey from Pew Research

In December, Atty. Gen. Eric H. Holder Jr. acknowledged a “tension between federal law and these state laws” and said that a clarification of federal policy would come “relatively soon.” That has not yet happened. So far, 24 states and the District of Columbia either have decriminalized personal use of marijuana, legalized it or allowed it to be used for medical purposes. Federal law currently treats marijuana as a dangerous drug with no legitimate medical uses.

The poll suggests a shift in federal law may be slow. A notable political split exists on the issue, with conservative Republicans heavily against legalization, while majorities of Democrats, independents and liberal and moderate Republicans back it. Conservatives have strong sway among Republicans in the House.

But on two issues, opinion is more uniform: the belief that current enforcement efforts are not worth the cost, and acceptance of the idea that marijuana has legitimate medical uses. By 77% to 16%, poll respondents said they agree on that, with support for medical marijuana cutting across partisan and generation lines.

Support for legalization is strikingly uniform among states, with the percentage virtually the same in the states that have decriminalized, legalized or allowed medical use and in the 26 where marijuana remains fully illegal. There is little variation among various regions of the country either -- a sharp contrast with other cultural issues, on which coastal states tend to be more liberal and the South more conservative.

That finding contradicts the strategy that supporters of marijuana legalization have followed over the past decade, in which they have pushed first to allow medical marijuana in the belief that states that have taken that step would more likely back full legalization. The new data suggest either that such careful strategizing was unnecessary or that a broader cultural shift in favor of full legalization has made it obsolete.

The percentage of people who say they have used marijuana in the last year (about one in 10) or at any point in their lives (about half) is virtually identical in states that have legalized some marijuana use and those that have not, suggesting that more liberal laws have simply made usage more visible, not increased it, as some have feared.

The main divisions on marijuana legalization are those of age: Younger Americans back legalization more than their elders, although the poll shows legalization gaining support among all generations.

Among those age 30 to 49, parents are less likely to support legalization than non-parents. Those with children 18 or younger at home are closely divided, 50% to 47%, while those without children at home support legalization by a 62%-35% margin.

The effect of parenthood may also be part of the most striking shift in opinion -- the change among members of the baby boom generation. During the 1970s, when baby boomers were in their teens and 20s, a plurality supported legalizing pot, with support hitting 47% in a 1978 survey. But as they aged, boomers changed their minds, with support for legal marijuana dropping to fewer than one in five baby boomers by 1990, when members of the generation were in their 30s and 40s. Since then, they've shifted again, and the new poll shows 50% now support legalizing the drug.

Contrary to the image of boomers turning to pot to assuage the aches and pains of middle age, however, only 7% of those age 50 to 64 said they had used marijuana in the past year.

Overall, 48% of poll respondents said they had used marijuana at some point in their life. Those who admit using the drug are far more likely to support legalization than those who say they never have used it, although support for legalization has grown among both groups.

The percentage now saying they have used marijuana at some point is up considerably from the 38% who said so a decade ago. The poll does not make clear how much of that shift involves an increase in recent usage versus people being more willing to admit past marijuana use or, simply, the passing of an older generation that was much less likely to have used the drug.

Just over one in 10 people in the current survey said they had used marijuana in the past year. Among those younger than 30, more than one in four said they had done so. Among those who had used marijuana in the past year, just over half said they had done so at least in part for medical reasons, with 47% saying they had done so “just for fun.”

The Pew survey was conducted March 13-17 by telephone, including cellphones and land lines, among 1,501 American adults. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

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http://www.latimes.com/news/politic...ion-majority-support-20130404,0,2533952.story
 
I wish someone would poll the US congress, anonymously. Would their opinions significantly differ from those of the people?

I think Gallup did a poll a few months ago that found majority support for legalizing cocaine!
 
Make marijuana legal says a new poll, but reality is more smoky than that

There's a reason most US politicians aren't coming out in favor of legalizing marijuana: the public support isn't there

Pew Research has found that a record high 52% of Americans believe marijuana should be legal. That's up from 45% in 2011 and just 41% in 2010. The charge has been led by 18 to 29 year olds. So does that mean that weed is on its way to becoming legal in more places than it is now? Perhaps, but the public's opinion of marijuana is a lot more murky than the Pew surveys indicate.

First, Pew Research is on its own with seeing a rapid rise in weed legalization over the past three years. Other pollsters show the percentage of Americans who want to legalize weed staying steady. Angus Reid has polled the question five times since 2009 and has come away with 53%, 52%, 55%, 52%, and 54% in November 2012 in favor of legalization. There's no trend there.

CBS News has surveyed seven times since 2009 and has been up and down with 41%, 31%, 41%, 44%, 40%, 45%, and 47% in November 2012 in favor. Perhaps there's a slight tick upward, though it's unclear and certainly not near what Pew found. Gallup has gone at the question four times since 2009 with 44%, 46%, 50%, and then 48% in November 2012 in favor. The percentage who said it should not be made legal was 50% in 2010 and again in 2012.

The ABC/Washington Post poll clocked marijuana legalization at 46% in 2009, 46% in 2010, and 48% in November. Perhaps most importantly, the General Social Survey (GSS) came in at 44% in 2010 and 43% in 2012. I say most importantly because the GSS is generally seen as the gold standard of survey research. Response rates are at about 70% as compared to just 10% for most telephone surveys. This ensures that blacks and Latinos are better polled. It's the reason that Pew Research uses GSS data as opposed to other pollsters when their own data is unavailable.

All the data together suggests that there may be a little bit of a rise in the percentage of those favoring marijuana legalization over the past few years, but not 11 pts. Whether or not a majority support weed legalization is a question I'm unprepared to answer.

Second, the percentage of people in favor marijuana legalization tends to track with the crime rate.

weedcrimerate_460.jpg


Eighty percent of the differences in support for marijuana legalization nationwide since 1975 is explained by the change in the overall crime rate through 2010 (the last year in which we have the crime rate and GSS data). Crime rates are currently at very low levels nationwide, which could explain why we saw the demonstrated upswing of marijuana legalization in all polling during the first decade of this century. If we were to see an increase in the crime rate in the future, there's a pretty decent chance we'd see a decrease in support for marijuana.

You can actually see the percentage of Americans in favor of marijuana legalization actually dropped during the 1980s from the 1970s as drug acceptance seems to have been linked linked to a higher overall crime rate.

Third, demographics don't promise anything. This is the most interesting part of the weed debate as far as I'm concerned. Millennials (those in their 20s and early 30s) are more likely to say marijuana should be made legal than any other age group. That is likely to hold.

weedgenerations_220.jpg


The baby boomer generation has pretty consistently been more likely to be okay with weed than the silent generation, while generation x members have been slightly more favorable to weed than the boomers.

cont at
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentis...s-support-marijuana?google_editors_picks=true
 
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^ and a heap more stats...

Appendix: State Marijuana Laws
Only medical marijuana is legal:
AZ, DE, DC, HI, MI, MT, NJ, NM, VT

Marijuana is decriminalized:
MN, MS, NE, NY, NC, OH

Medical marijuana is legal and marijuana decriminalized:
AK, CA, CO, CT, ME, MA, MS, NV, OR, RI, WA

Not decriminalized or medical:
AL, AR, FL, GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MO, NH, ND, OK, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, WY

Source: National Conference of State Legislatures and National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws, 2013.

http://www.people-press.org/2013/04/04/majority-now-supports-legalizing-marijuana/
 
Article on poll, notably found on my news "app" on windows
8 start screen as the Bing Daily Top Story.

http://www.kansas.com/2013/04/06/2750554/with-new-momentum-to-legalize.html

Opponents say the pro-marijuana leaders are deluding themselves.

“There must be something about marijuana that induces false optimism,” said John Lovell, a Sacramento, Calif.-based lobbyist for the California Narcotics Officers Association, which helped defeat a 2010 ballot measure to make pot legal in the Golden State. “They won two ballot measures, and there’s euphoria over that, but there are a whole host of ways this could play out.”
 
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