ok, yeah with 10 days it would make 21 million, but i don't think that's what the graph shows.
No, I didn't start at the beginning since it makes no sense to do it like that, there's always the starting period on which is normally slower, once you start looking on the mid-high part of the graph you see it much more consistently.
fair enough re not starting at the beginning.
In anycase I would bet that it's gonna be between 10 and 14, mainly because if it's still more typical yet for homosexuals that could change, if enough bi-sexuals enter into the game.
we have to be extremely careful not to demonise gay men, we don't wanna end up with another generation of hurt like we did with HIV. though thankfully monkeypox is nothing near as devastating. though it is every individuals responsibility to practise safe sex, its not their fault if a virus finds it easier to spread through one population.
Do you think we are demonizing gay men?
i don't think we personally are because we are discussing a statement of fact without any moral implications. but, elsewhere i have seen people use this to demonise gay men and i don't want that to happen in S&T.
yeah exactly, its just a quirk of this virus and means nothing about anyone personally.
neither do i and that's why i am hoping people are working on understanding the mechanism of transmission better. especially given one of its key differences wrt the general west african clade should increase its ability to enter any type of cell. i'll do some more digging tomorrow about if there has been any functional interpretation of the genome, when i last looked it was just focused on assemblies (i.e. the actual genome sequences, strings of DNA). i feel like the anus is just epithelial cells, like many other parts of our body. there must be some key difference.
it could but that still wouldn't endanger too many people, as most people are in roughly monogamous relationships. but its very possible that one of the versions that infects a woman will find ways to ensure positive selection in females. then it will be a truly non-discriminatory virus. as always with viruses, the more hosts you have, the most replication cycles you have, the greater the chance of evolutionarily beneficial mutations. a dsDNA virus like monkeypox is pretty stable so the mutation rate is much lower than an ssRNA virus such as sars-cov-2, but it could still pose a threat if the right mutations arise in the right niche. i'm hoping they won't though.
I think that's true only for people over ~30 years old, younger people is not in "usually" in monogamous relationships, at least in my country...
www.npr.org
the article seems quite scare mongery and some things aren't explained- like how did they go from not being able to diagnose it in nigeria to diagnosing 200 cases... what happened? were all those samples sent away?This doctor warned about monkeypox back in 2017:
He discovered the origin of the monkeypox outbreak — and tried to warn the world
Dr. Dimie Ogoina detected monkeypox in an 11-year-old patient in 2017 and saw many other cases since. He's tried to warn health officials that the virus has changed the way it spreads — to no avail.