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2016 American Presidential Campaign

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I'm generally of the school of thought that nobody wins presidential debates. The debates are a show where both candidates just do more campaigning, just aimed at each other. It's not a real debate. Neither side argues merits or fully obeys the rules and almost never directly answer questions properly.

In parliamentary Westminster based systems, such as the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc, only the judiciary is truly a separate branch of government from the rest. Unlike the US congressional system where legislative, executive and judicial are all seperate, in Westminster parliamentary systems, the judiciary is separate but the executive is made up of a subset of the legislature. The two are linked and ministers of the government, like secretaries of departments in our system, all have a vote of their own in the legislature, as does the head of government... E.g. The prime minister in parliaments and the president in our system.

The reason I bring this up, is that parliamentary systems such as these generally have what's known as question time. A time of the day, every day, where members of the lower house in bicameral systems, (generally called the house of representatives like ours is, but called the house of commons in the UK) ask the members of the house who are part of the selection of members who also make up the executive, the cabinet, questions that they are supposed to have to answer. Now in practice they of course do everything they can to dodge embarrassing questions and spend a lot of time just outright attacking each other.

Our presidential debates are the closest thing we have, apart from some small similarities in the form of the state of the union address, to the question time in those systems. It's quite similar in actual practice. Both candidates are asked questions they routinely dodge the answer too, and frequently just go on the attack on their opponent. Our debates are much more like a parliamentary question time than they are like a real debate. We just call it a debate.

And there are no winners or losers. If you're a supporter of Clinton you think she win, if you're a supporter of trump you think he won, and that's the way its always been. How would you even to about objectively declaring a winner? Is the winner the one who made the best argument for their platform? Cause trump barely mentioned a platform and spent most of his time attacking Clinton. Clinton mentioned more in the way of plans but like all political plans preeleection they are vague and nonbinding. Is the winner whoever comes out of it with the biggest boost to their odds? In that case Clinton won.

Perhaps there should be a hundred supposedly undecided voters who until now have been paying little attention to the election, and whoever the majority of them declare the winner by the end of the debate is the winner? That's somewhat similar to how Australian prime ministerial debates have worked on some broadcast networks. But the network itself can be biased in choosing the audience. Should the moderators decide?

Who wins is whoever you already were leaning to anyway for most people. I pretty much hated both prior to the debates, my personal view is that if there is a winner,it was Clinton. The first debate was more of a toss up for me, but the second felt to me like brutal defeat for trump. Now obviously trump supporters won't see it that way. They see him on the attack against Clinton, which they love to see, and agree with everything trump says about her. But that's hardly an objective way to pick a winner. All the Clinton voters or trump haters will see what they want to see, and say the same unqualified victory only for Clinton.

Even I don't think I can be unbiased here. But to the best of my attempt to do so, going based on what I think their behavior in the debate did for their chances for victory, which seems to me to be the only sensible way to declare a winner given the whole point of the so called debate to start with, to convince the America people to vote for them. On that basis, I would have called the first debate, which I admir I didn't see all of, I missed the first 20 minutes,something of a toss up. But the second one was a major loss for trump. Not because Clinton did so well but because he did so poorly. Clinton DID do well IMO. I felt she came off as likable, relatable, personable, which is all the things I'm sure her campaign has been training her how to do leading up to it. It's all an act. But that combined with not letting trump get her too off message, she did fine. Good enough with what she had to work with.

Trump on other hand, I felt he did more damage to himself that she could have ever hoped to have achieved. All the things he has troubles with to begin with. Seeming arrogant, dictatorial, like a bully, like a disgusting person who's low attacks are unbefitting a man who would be president. And not only that, like a crybaby too. Dominating the debate. Neither of them completely stuck to the rules, but he went so far outside the rules it was impossible to ignore. Problem is. Clinton would go a little over time,so in his mind he had to one up her by going a little bit more over time. Then getting mad when the moderators stepped in. Getting off on tangents' about bill Clinton. But that was stupid. Bill Clinton's affair is long forgotten, all bringing it up did was to further cement the ideas of sexual assault, and Donald trump, as connected in the minds of the moderates and fence sitters and swing votees. The ones that matter.

All his worst liabilities, he reenforced. Maybe Clinton didn't win the debate, but trump definitely lost.

And indeed you're right. Trump is at a major disadvantage. Hillary Clinton is an expert politician, in the debates, this is her element. Her world. It's not trumps, and worse than that he doesn't seem to listen to his advisors to, even if he can't really win, at least not do more damage to his campaign than his opponent did.

I've watched every debate since I got into politics when I was about 15-16 or so, back with the second george w bush election in 04.

The second Clinton v trump debate is the only one where I felt someone truly won since Obama. And Obama only won because, and don't get me wrong, I hate Obama even more than Clinton. But Obama is nothing if not an excellent public speaker.

I mean... I felt Sarah palin did a better job in her vp debate than trump did in the last one.

God knows what train wreck will be in store for the final debate.
I completely see your viewpoint that Hilary won the second debate. On the surface it would have appeared that way. After that tape came out it was catastrophic. He was held up in trump tower, by himself, all weekend with no one Even wanting to be near him. All of the people too young to know about bills past sexual assaults or the Clinton foundations seedy dealings, got a taste. In any normal reasonable race, after that tape came out, that should have been the death blow. It isn't because he still has a decent shot at this. While it's hard to argue it was from the debate performance, idk what else it could have been. He laid on the line what the clintons are about to a massive audience. Many likely only knowing the clintons from the MSM narrative.
She won in performance, but he stopped the bleeding, which is the win. Again, very subjective
 
I have an open question to all the men on this thread above the age of 21. IS it really an accurate reflection of locker room talk? I was watching the news yesterday and they were talking about the controversy and one of the male panelists said he never hears adult men talking like that. That in his opinion, it's not locker room all, it's what high school age immature boys talk like. But mature grown men do not.

Not at all. There is a huge difference between being vulgar about women or objectifying them and bragging about using your position of power as a millionaire real estate heir to sexually assault women and get away with it. One case is typical of men who lack confidence overcompensating and the other is typical of sex offenders.

Men would notice if a filthy sex offender showed up in a locker room bragging about their sex crimes.

This has nothing to do with age. Immature men might be more vulgar or more prone to overcompensation, but it's not like they are commonly sex criminals and then grow out of it.

The right wing doesn't understand consent so they view this situation as simple vulgarity. The left doesn't care about vulgarity and is concerned that he is bragging about being a dirty sexual predator.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...h-limbaugh-reacts-to-trumps-sex-talk-scandal/
 
I dont think you get it imo.

I didn't ask for copy/pasting of something read online. I asked for someone to articulate specifically what the problems are. If you have a really good grasp of why you dislike her, this should be easy. Just a few bullet points that show egregious offenses that she has committed that put her on the same level as Trump.
 
Live in Tennessee. I was at the pool hall the other night and my buddy was talking about this girl he seeing and how she has her pussy lips pierced and how she was wearing a skirt the other day and he kept grabbing her by them to get her attention when she walked in front him. Granted they have known each other for a few weeks. If your average man had the same wealth as Trump they would make similar claims. I have certainly spoken equally as vulgar. Your male feminists, hard line liberals, shills are the only ones that are going to feed you the BS shock and awe outrage imho

You live in Tennessee. You can't exactly apply your experiences to cosmopolitan urban centers of the US, though Nashville seems to be a pretty progressive city. Anyway, there's a distinction that you're ignoring between "locker room talk" and saying that you get away with grabbing women because you're rich. If you've said worse than Trump, then you walk around claiming to molest women and get away with it.
 
I could go through the entire history, but it is just too much. So I'll leave you with the most recent concerns.
Her camps advisor, John podesta, had many of his emails released from the past couple of years. These emails, without a doubt, reveal that her campaign colluded with the DNC to prevent a sanders candidacy. They also reveal her camp working closely with the press. Also they had contact with a moderator from the primaries where they approved a question, that same question was Asked at the following primary debate.
Her emails reveal multiple examples of pay to play. Accepting money for influence. The clearest being one of the emails realized yesterday voices that Qatar gave Bill Clinton 1 million dollars for his birthday. All they asked was for five minutes at a meeting in NYC. If you look at all these things with no bias it is hard not to take issue with it.

My biggest problem with all of this is the fact that we have many examples of people going to prison for much smaller offenses in clearances and data breaching. The FBI director was affiliated with the Clinton foundation at one point in time. And there is clear dissent within the organization. Bill Clinton met with the AG to "discuss grandchildren" right before she made her ruling. Granted that is speculative, put together he pieces.

Those are the ATM biggest concerns I have. I think she should be brought up on charges/have her day in court, and they should let Biden step in. I say that knowing Biden would likely win.
 
You live in Tennessee. You can't exactly apply your experiences to cosmopolitan urban centers of the US, though Nashville seems to be a pretty progressive city. Anyway, there's a distinction that you're ignoring between "locker room talk" and saying that you get away with grabbing women because you're rich. If you've said worse than Trump, then you walk around claiming to molest women and get away with it.
Yep I'm in Nashville. I guess I took it for what it was and didn't take it literally. I make off color jokes about rape with my buddies often. If someone took a snipet, I would sound way worse than trump, beleive me. I am in no way that person and have never sexually assaulted a woman, nor would I ever. I will say you need to know your audience. I have some softer male friends I wouldnt say those types of things around. Know your audience, is usually the policy I go with. As with BL, in real life, I am also quite obtuse, sarcastic, and at times non PC with my jokes.
 
The clearest being one of the emails realized yesterday voices that Qatar gave Bill Clinton 1 million dollars for his birthday. All they asked was for five minutes at a meeting in NYC.

Wait, gave Bill Clinton a million or the awesome foundation that spends 87% of its donations directly on helping people? If you'd like to discuss how great the Clinton foundation is we can go line by line through their tax returns and audited financial statements.

My biggest problem with all of this is the fact that we have many examples of people going to prison for much smaller offenses in clearances and data breaching.

There's also one glaring example of Republicans being let off Scott free on an email breach. The Bush administration lost 733 times as many emails as Hillary. The deep minds of conservatism don't appear to care.
 
I'll keep my energy those with an open mind.

Wait we can't go line by line through tax returns and audited financial statements because you have to save your energy? That's about as low energy as it gets folks. Little Droppersneck.
 
I see your concerns, completely. When I listened to that i didn't hear that, but I can say that what he said approached a line. My head scratcher is how does the person, largely the media has characterized, have such strong- smart women all around him. Ivanca is clearly her fathers daughter. Do you think she could secretly despise him??
Look you are taking the bait. We have a candidate that said bad things while the other is a 30 year career criminal that wants to continue to do the same things the last two presidents have done. Like further eroding civil liberties, further dividing the class/electorate, giving into globalist demand, and so much more. Hilary's speeches to wallstreet tell you all this and more.

In trump you have the last chance at putting a person relatively outside of the political elite class to shake things up. Look at how badly both sides do not want him in there. And don't give me anything about other republicans being alter boys or altruistic lol. I personally think the man is terrible for the job, but the lesser of two evils. At the least he gets nothing done in four years and at the best he burns the office down so we rebuild with a completely different system.
There are already rumblings of the gop going to a superdelegate system. Much like the one that helped screw Bernie.
Jess it is hard, but you have to look big picture. You have to be at least slightly questioning why the media is in melt down mode and 247 attack. I bet if you turn it on CNN right now they are ripping apart trump.

I understand and agree that voting for Clinton is voting for more of the same, and the same is pretty horrible I entirely agree. I even agree that at least trump is different. But I don't know that I agree that this is our last chance.

And I also think part of your reasoning poses a risk of backfiring entirely. Say trump turns out to as bad as is feared. Trump may be outside the political class, but unlike what I think we both want, which is a candidate outside the political class that wants to serve the country rather than their political machine. I think trump probably has no loyalties at all except to trump. No loyalty to serving the country, or the party system. If trump crashes and burns while in office, it might well backfire by setting back any chance we have of a truly independent president, one that actually believes in and wants to defend the constitution, for possibly the next 50 years. I think the party politics machine will not only survive, but be strengthened by a trump presidential impeachment. Every candidate to follow him may distance themselves from looking too independent for fear of it reminding voters of what trump was like.

Trump has already gotten close, showing that it may be possible for an independent candidate, albeit one ostensibly on the republican ticket, to win. But if he loses in a landslide from these scandles. Or worse, gets in and has to be impeached. I don't think that will kill the two party system we both probably feel is harmful to the country. It may well secure and validate it.

I agree, we must look at the big picture, but even then I have grave reservations about a trump presidency. And even though the media is attacking him 24/7, that doesn't mean that trump hasn't given them legitimate ammunition to attack him with. It just means they don't want him elected. The enemy of my enemy is my friend doesn't work of if it enemies enemy is either worse, or will ultimately strengthen my enemy.

But if I'm understanding you, we both agree that the status quo is a cancer in our country. We just may have different ideas about how to go about solving it.
 
Yep I'm in Nashville. I guess I took it for what it was and didn't take it literally. I make off color jokes about rape with my buddies often. If someone took a snipet, I would sound way worse than trump, beleive me. I am in no way that person and have never sexually assaulted a woman, nor would I ever. I will say you need to know your audience. I have some softer male friends I wouldnt say those types of things around. Know your audience, is usually the policy I go with. As with BL, in real life, I am also quite obtuse, sarcastic, and at times non PC with my jokes.

They weren't jokes though. He was literally bragging about being able to grope women and get away with it.
 
I understand and agree that voting for Clinton is voting for more of the same, and the same is pretty horrible I entirely agree. I even agree that at least trump is different. But I don't know that I agree that this is our last chance.

And I also think part of your reasoning poses a risk of backfiring entirely. Say trump turns out to as bad as is feared. Trump may be outside the political class, but unlike what I think we both want, which is a candidate outside the political class that wants to serve the country rather than their political machine. I think trump probably has no loyalties at all except to trump. No loyalty to serving the country, or the party system. If trump crashes and burns while in office, it might well backfire by setting back any chance we have of a truly independent president, one that actually believes in and wants to defend the constitution, for possibly the next 50 years. I think the party politics machine will not only survive, but be strengthened by a trump presidential impeachment. Every candidate to follow him may distance themselves from looking too independent for fear of it reminding voters of what trump was like.

Trump has already gotten close, showing that it may be possible for an independent candidate, albeit one ostensibly on the republican ticket, to win. But if he loses in a landslide from these scandles. Or worse, gets in and has to be impeached. I don't think that will kill the two party system we both probably feel is harmful to the country. It may well secure and validate it.

I agree, we must look at the big picture, but even then I have grave reservations about a trump presidency. And even though the media is attacking him 24/7, that doesn't mean that trump hasn't given them legitimate ammunition to attack him with. It just means they don't want him elected. The enemy of my enemy is my friend doesn't work of if it enemies enemy is either worse, or will ultimately strengthen my enemy.

But if I'm understanding you, we both agree that the status quo is a cancer in our country. We just may have different ideas about how to go about solving it.
I agree with your line of thinking. There are two things that make this election crucial. The SCOTUS is paramount. I like most of the potential picks trump has announced. Most fall closer to the constitutional conservative side. Hilary will appoint very liberal justice that fit her world view. A few things we know about Hilary from the leaked emails/ wallstreet transcripts is that she wants open trade and borders, also she plans on using executive order to enact gun control measures. This may be fine with many, but what it tells us is the type of things she will look for when appointing justices. I don't think the constitution should be interepreted as a living breathing document. Though I wouldn't say it is set in stone.

Second the gop already has rumors going about setting up a super delegate system much like the democrats. You see where that got the favored democratIc candidate. This can never happen again for the political class IMO. Yt has put forth many new censorship rules for people's broadcast channels. Including knighting impromptu mods, demonetizing channels with politically sensitive material, and a few other rules. One of my favorite channels, Chinauncensored, is getting many of their videos demonetized. And that is a shame, but you see where the influence is coming from.
Twitter, fb, and all major social media outlets are falling in line. Obama hands over our DNS servers to the UN. Hilary has a cartoon frog labeled as racist by her buddy at the ADL because she can't handle being satirically mocked.
Trust me Jess you live in the nanny state now, which I can only assume has very controlled media. This is our last civil chance at an outside candidate. How many more bombastic billionaires are out there, with a message you approve of verbatim?
 
If you insist, could you go through the Clinton foundation 2014 tax return.

Oh you found some energy good. We'll go through whatever questions you have on it.

Including a photo of it?

A photo? What? No we'll use a PDF that has both the tax return and the audited financial statements on it.

This PDF: https://www.clintonfoundation.org/sites/default/files/clinton_foundation_report_public_2014.pdf

I questioned why 5 million went to charity and 50 million was listed as other?

Oh good, you've got your conservative accountancy school, "forwards from grandma" certification. That's probably why you are concerned about a shitpost by Carly Forina, an actual grandma.

If Carly Forina hadn't run every she ever touched into the ground you'd be in good company asking this question because it was the same question she had. If you've ever wondered how Carly could be as bad at business as her record shows you're about to wonder no more.

The two of you both asked an interesting question. Why does only 5 million go to charity and why did they list 50 million as other? PDF pg 28

We sent a team to investigate and you wouldn't believe what they're finding.

Turns out that's a fucking IRS tax form that every charity that needs to fill out a form 990 uses. The IRS wrote "other" not the Clinton Foundation. Every 990 form has a line for "other", because that is the level of detail the IRS wants on that page. If the IRS wanted more detail on that page you'd see lines for it, but they don't, so the lines for more detail aren't on that page.

Now being a deep conservative thinker, I'm sure you'll be asking yourself "well where did the money go then?"

Balance sheet (PDF p6) shows assets increasing by 88 million.

Cash Flows PDF p8 shows a 41m contribution to the endowment.

Then check out the statement of functional expenses (PDF p37) and audited notes to financial statements (PDF p22-23). These two places are where the IRS and GAAP happen to want the detail concerning how the money was spent and what percentage was actual charity and what percentage was actual overhead. If Carly wasn't so incompetent and low energy she'd know to look here to answer these questions, not attempt that analysis using the first page of the tax return. Then again, she was often fired for being terrible at her job.

Carly literally saw the 5 million marketed under charity (which represents what the Clinton Foundation gave to other charities) and thought that meant that was the only money they spent on charity. Like her low energy sex criminal competitor Trump, she was so low energy she couldn't even just read the return where even the dimmest bulb ought to be able to understand phrases like "Statement of Functional Expenses" and find the answers the these questions...you don't need to be an accountant to figure this stuff out. It's clearly labeled. You just can't be so low energy you can't actually get past the first page.

I guess the lesson here is when corporate American sends people to run for President they don't send their best. They send people with all sorts of problems, these people are lazy, they're stupid, they are too low energy to do their work. They make basic mistakes all the time and hurt companies. Some I'm sure are good people.
 
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No thinking person believes the Clinton foundation is completely legit. Why does the axis of evil contribute millions of dollars to it? I bet it's because the really beleive in the foundation :\

Haiti really got screwed by the foundation. And that isn't even disputed lol

That being said I don't think trumps foundation is without fault. Foundations seem to be the way rich people launder money.
 
The question is: if the foundation is an actual charity how do the Clintons benefit when someone donates?

That's where forward from grandma comes in if you are a conservative.
 
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trump describes himself as a uniter. he says he's the candidate who can unite america.

yet in his campaign he's insulted and abused almost every constituency. he's divisive, crass and ignorant.

so, a question for the trump supporters. do you agree and, if so, how specifically, do you see trump uniting america?
nobody?

alasdair
 
Hilary will appoint very liberal justice that fit her world view.
but you have no problem with trump appointing justices who fit his world view? that's what happens when you win.

Obama hands over our DNS servers to the UN.
lol. no. for somebody who claims to think freely, you sure do mindlessly parrot a lot of nonsense...

alasdair
 
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