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Mass Shootings and Gun Debate 2018 Thread

tathra

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Continuing on from the Vegas Mandalay Bay thread, since the threads like that always become threads for discussing gun policy in general rather than the event the thread is titled for and these discussions continue on pretty regularly, we're going to consolidate all the firearms discussions and future news into one thread.

Theres already been 11 school shootings this year.

If gun violence is an epidemic, why don?t we treat it like one?
What would happen if Chicago?s gun violence were treated like an infectious disease?

In 2016, gun violence in Chicago dramatically exploded with no apparent cause. Homicides increased by fifty-eight percent and nonfatal shootings went up forty-three percent. ?Gun Violence in Chicago 2016,? a January 2017 publication by the University of Chicago Crime Lab, asserted that the wave couldn?t be explained by the weather, changes in money allocated to social services, or by police activity. And the surge was concentrated in the city?s most disadvantaged neighborhoods on the South and West Side. The figures dropped in 2017?Chicago had 650 citywide homicides down from 771 the previous year. Shootings also declined between years, from 3,550 to 2,785. Still, even with the declines, the numbers aren?t rosy. While drops are encouraging, the numbers remain high enough that gun violence in Chicago is readily considered an ?epidemic.?

Andrew V. Papachristos, Ph.D., a professor of sociology at Northwestern University (and faculty fellow of the Institute for Policy Research), is one observer who embraces that label, and the approach to violence that it suggests. The research by Papachristos convinced him that gun violence indeed follows the traits of infectious disease.
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Read the story for more details.

What about discussing a very easy solution to the problem, which is independent of any specific tragedy?

don't be coy - what is "a very easy solution to the problem"?

alasdair

I'm curious about this too.
 
I for one welcome this thread. :)

I'd be curious to hear Apostacious's easy solution too, in my own masochistic kinda way. By which I mean I suspect like most proposed easy answers for gun control I'll find it misguided and frustrating.

Hardly much of a guess, it's always misguided and frustrating. Because the truth is... nobody is really interested in helping society. If they were, they'd be interested in finding out what the solution is. Almost nobody is interested in finding a solution. Nearly everyone already has their solution and fit reality around it. The fact and numbers aren't of much consequence to them.

I don't think it's even that conclusive if higher public gun ownership actually results in a society that much worse in an objective sense. I mean the real "am I more likely to die/be seriously injured?" kinda way, not the bullshit "We've had a 200% reduction in gun deaths!* (* And an identical increase in knife deaths) kinda way.

It might be true, I don't really know. Nobodies particularly interested in finding out, they've all already decided what they believe. Say it is true though, then the question is what the best policy is to solve it. People aren't interested in that either. It's a complex issue and virtually nobody is interested in being objective or sensible about it. And I find that's extremely depressing.

I don't have a definite solution. But I do have a solution to finding the solution.. if society were so inclined. Say if I were suddenly in charge of the world or something, here's what I'd do. I'd want research conducted to first actually confirm that widespread gun ownership actually is a measurable problem causing an objective problem beyond peoples perceptions. Then, I'd want to trial different solutions in different places to work out what to do about it. I'd want to preserve peoples rights to guns where possible. There's no reason to reduce peoples freedoms unless it's required to solve a problem, assuming society determines the problem is less desirable than the freedoms causing it. All stuff that would have to be worked out.

I strongly suspect that the best option, the one that enables the gun nuts to continue their past time while having the greatest effects on the statistics and public safety, is controlling who has the guns and little if any emphasis on what guns they can have. That's what I've come up with from all the research I've done on the subject with the available information. But it would be a lot more reliable if all the existing information weren't drawn from governments implementing policy with no interested in ever seeing it validated or not.

I will say this though, having another assault weapons ban is very very likely pointless, it didn't seem to do anything objectively good last time, it's all for show, there's no point doing it all over again.
I should note that by objectively good, I mean that I'm not interested in banning guns because of reasons like "People just shouldn't have them cause I think it's wrong", or "it reduced gun deaths and I don't care about anything except HOW I die and anyone who cares about total numbers can get fucked", or "a mass school shooting is clearly one of the worst things in all existence and must be stopped at all costs and I don't give a FUCK how many children die so long as I'm not seeing it in the news!". In other words, I'm very interested in the statistics and very uninterested in the media circus.

If you really care about saving people, you have to be cold enough to do what is right, not what feels right. Countless people have died because of people trying to help by doing what felt right.

Still. At least now it's really a gun control thread. With no suggestion that it's for thinking about the victims or writing consolations or the other stuff that lasts maybe a post or 2 before the gun subject, and only the gun subject starts in full. So for all the gun control stuff above which I find a depressing reminder of humanities flaws, I still take this as a win. :)
 
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I'd be curious to hear Apostacious's easy solution too, in my own masochistic kinda way. By which I mean I suspect like most proposed easy answers for gun control I'll find it misguided and frustrating.

Hardly much of a guess, it's always misguided and frustrating. Because the truth is... nobody is really interested in helping society. If they were, they'd be interested in finding out what the solution is. Almost nobody is interested in finding a solution. Nearly everyone already has their solution and fit reality around it. The fact and numbers aren't of much consequence to them.

I think there's a lot that are genuinely interested in helping society, but like with climate change theres too many that don't want there to be a discussion at all because allowing any discussion will lead to a rational solution that naturally opposes their personal and financial interests and goals. Its far too easy to straw man anyone that disagrees with them as somebody that wants to take away everyone's guns, and that's exactly what DOES happen, all the time. I don't know a single person that thinks everyone should unequivocally give up their right to own a firearm nor have i ever heard a single person honestly argue for that. Just like with another hot button issue, "gun control" is not "everyone should give up their guns", gun control is that there should be regulations to ensure people are responsible and trained enough to safely and responsibly own firearms before being allowed to own them, and that's it. Its not a perfect solution because those don't exist, but arguing that we shouldn't do anything because it won't be perfect and flawless is the nirvana fallacy.

Also, this isn't exactly a gun control debate thread, but general gun debate, which includes gun control but that's not the sole discussion.

And ofc the obvious and easy solution is for everyone to give up their guns, but that's an unworkable solution that isn't feasible.
 
Nothing will make me regret the 2nd amendment.

I used to think like that. Or, I thought I did. In hindsight I think my former more extreme pro gun beliefs were me falling victim to the kind of group think I now see so frequently in others. Everyone around me believed it so id slowly drift into believing it too. Difference is I kept questioning myself and eventually grew out of it.

Just to be clear, I'm not saying the 2nd amendment is a bad thing. I might not be fanatically pro 2nd amendment like I once was, but I still truly believe that nonviolent sensible people, and especially women, have a right to a weapon to defend themselves. I think society should make a way available for such people to defend themselves.

But, if I became convinced that ultimately more innocent people die from enforcing that right with firearm availability than are protected by it, and that the only way to solve that problem was to outlaw their possession, I'd support it.

Im just speaking hypothetically though, I don't think that's the case in reality, but truthfully I don't know for sure. I think it's more likely that such people's rights to possess weapons can be retained and still keep society safe by better gun control. Gun control that works, that is people focused and evidence based, as opposed to gun focused and emotion based.

One viewpoint I think is very naive and misguided is the suggestion that ordinary people shouldn't ever be allowed to own weapons as a general principle. I wonder how many of those people have ever actually been in a situation where someone was trying to hurt them, or worse. And that sensation of utter terror and powerlessness that goes with it. I wonder if they'd be so willing to give up their right to have a weapon to defend themselves so quickly if they had.

But of course, my whole point has been how emotions cloud your judgment and lead people away from making the best choices, and I admit that what I just said is entirely emotion driven. I'm not suggesting it's actually a food argument for opposing gun control or anything like that. I'm just talking about how apathetic some people are. Just as bad if not worse are the ones who express an attitude that if you have or want to have a gun then you're weak.

Honestly I find that sentiment borderline sexist in how totally oblivious it is to the fact that not all of us are strong 20something men able to hold our own against such a person. Not to mention such people usually don't know anything about self defense or fighting themselves, it's just a lazy and poorly thought out appeal to masculinity.

I think there's a lot that are genuinely interested in helping society, but like with climate change theres too many that don't want there to be a discussion at all because allowing any discussion will lead to a rational solution that naturally opposes their personal and financial interests and goals. Its far too easy to straw man anyone that disagrees with them as somebody that wants to take away everyone's guns, and that's exactly what DOES happen, all the time. I don't know a single person that thinks everyone should unequivocally give up their right to own a firearm nor have i ever heard a single person honestly argue for that. Just like with another hot button issue, "gun control" is not "everyone should give up their guns", gun control is that there should be regulations to ensure people are responsible and trained enough to safely and responsibly own firearms before being allowed to own them, and that's it. Its not a perfect solution because those don't exist, but arguing that we shouldn't do anything because it won't be perfect and flawless is the nirvana fallacy.

Also, this isn't exactly a gun control debate thread, but general gun debate, which includes gun control but that's not the sole discussion.

And ofc the obvious and easy solution is for everyone to give up their guns, but that's an unworkable solution that isn't feasible.

I would say there isn't much risk of discussion resulting in a rational course of action. Yes some people try to avoid the discussion entirely, but even when it's had it's virtually never sensible and rational.

Yes, in the US it's very rare for someone to outright say they think all guns should be banned, but that doesn't mean they aren't being unreasonable and extreme.

It's very common for the anti gun side to show profound disrespect to people on the pro gun side, by mocking their beliefs, mocking their hobby, etc. You can't get compromise if you show your political counterparts no respect.

Then there are the actual compromises that are suggested. They almost always involve stopping people from buying this sort of gun or that sort of gun. Usually arguing that "nobody needs" it and then mocking them for wanting it. It shouldn't matter if anyone needs it. If people want it, there should be some evidence that stopping them will serve a greater good. And there usually is no evidence. Just assumption.

On top of that, since the anti gun people don't know almost anything about guns, their ideas about what to prohibit often make no sense.

Say, wanting to ban high capacity magazines. It takes so little time to reload as to be of little consequence, but high capacity magazines are unreliable. It's not impossible that more people at the aurora theater killings might have died, but Holmes was using a high capacity magazine and it malfunctioned.

Now I'm not saying that's what happened, I'm saying it's possible, and I'm making the point that this is a complex issue that requires that the people making the laws understand it. It's not as simple as assuming reality is like a Hollywood movie.

Yes, the progun side creates strawmen, they have a vested interest and naturally only see options that don't involve more gun control as the only options. But the anti gun side are no saints either. They've been caught knowingly lying and distorting the evidence. They've been caught creating fake gun advocacy groups in an attempt to divide the gun lobby and splinter the membership of the NRA.

And it's a basic reality that in every place its been tried, it starts with small gun controls and keeps going till almost everything's banned. Death by a million cuts. They aren't entirely unfounded in strawmaning them.

There is much well earned mistrust on both sides, and unlike you I don't think most people are rational about this.

They might have a more moderate overall feel for the issue, but nothing they do or suggest tends to be with an eye towards discovering the solutions. No matter where they stand, they decide what they believe and try to make it happen. They don't discover the solution, they decide the solution then try to make reality fit with it. And that applies to nearly everyone.
 
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not much to debate, gun lobby bribes congress. Congress goes against what 90% of americans want. Congress laughs at people debating things that are not open for debate.
 
not much to debate, gun lobby bribes congress. Congress goes against what 90% of americans want. Congress laughs at people debating things that are not open for debate.

If you think 90% if Americans have the same gun control beliefs you're deluding yourself.
 
America.. what a screwed up place where people can get a gun from a shop and kill who they want and poor people die because they cant afford healthcare

The life expectancy and murder rates dont lie. Thank god for beautiful peaceful UK
 
America.. what a screwed up place where people can get a gun from a shop and kill who they want and poor people die because they cant afford healthcare

The life expectancy and murder rates dont lie. Thank god for beautiful peaceful UK


don't forget our massive appetite for drugs. America: you cant have codeine but take these 8 machine guns and bottle of booze
 
don't forget our massive appetite for drugs. America: you cant have codeine but take these 8 machine guns and bottle of booze

Great point.. no otc codeine anywhere in the US

war on drugs going too far and taking pain relief away from pain patients and opioids from addicts making them turn to heroin, good luck cleaning up a country that way
 
Right....

That argument seems so obviously flawed I don't think I should even need to point out why.

But just in case, you are aware that the gun control debate is quite a lot more involved than just that issue yes?

you said that 90 percent of americans don't share the same view on guns. I showed you a view which 90 percent of them share, which congress refuses to act on due to bribes. Nothing will happen until daily barrages of ammunation rain down on the capitol, and probably still, nothing would happen.
 
So, you're saying that right from the start your suggestion was that 90% of americans agreed on this one part of it? Cause I got the impression you were saying 90% of americans broadly agreed on the whole subject. That was the implication I got. And that parts not true.

Just, as an side question, and this is more of a genuine question rather than a one leading anywhere. Do the gun companies actually benefit from the lack of gun show background checks? I don't see how it would matter to them since they aren't the ones selling anything.

In which case, who's paying for the lobbyists and who are they exactly? Presumably the NRA-ILA are the ones most directly related to this particular issue, in which case most of their money comes from ordinary Americans whom are members.

Which makes the suggestion its all the gun companies a little insincere to me.

The "gun show loophole" is a bs issue anyway. It probably has the most universal agreement for it because it won't actually do anything real. Most gun show vendors already do NICS checks anyway, and enforcing all of them to do it wouldn't have prevented any of the recent major mass shootings and there's no evidence, that ive seen anyway, that it would reduce any other form of crime either.

It's seems like another one of those "I oppose it in principle" issues that have no greater purpose behind them. Which makes it a great bone for the pro gun side to throw the anti gun side as a way of preventing anything real from happening. Another fake compromise.
 
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Most gun show sales are second hand firearms and collectors... Unless those people are suddenly rich and powerful, I don't see how they could somehow lobby congress. New firearms are generally sold at stores that require rigorous checks. And like Jess said, many gun show sales still require background checks.

Have any of y'all been to a gun show before? When I first went to one, my friend saw a Luger and picked it up; the owner cussed him out and freaked out on us. You're not supposed to touch lol, it's actually a very serious setting. Not just a bunch of criminals selling cheap illicit firearms.
 
There are websites online that act as brokers for private sellers. Like craigslist for guns,no background check, no foid, nothing. So it is rather unregulated.
 
not much to debate, gun lobby bribes congress. Congress goes against what 90% of americans want. Congress laughs at people debating things that are not open for debate.

More than 10% of us want gun rights. Please don't over-exaggerate the amount of Americans who dislike guns.

you said that 90 percent of americans don't share the same view on guns. I showed you a view which 90 percent of them share, which congress refuses to act on due to bribes. Nothing will happen until daily barrages of ammunation rain down on the capitol, and probably still, nothing would happen.

A view on background checks before a gun sale is hardly the same thing as gun policy overall.

The federal government shouldn't have the power to make background checks mandatory for all gun sales. Each state should have the right to pass their own gun laws.

There are websites online that act as brokers for private sellers. Like craigslist for guns,no background check, no foid, nothing. So it is rather unregulated.

And guess what? I didn't get shot. I'm all right.

Surprised the democrats don't want to label this a gun EPIDEMIC... why so ready to throw the label on opiates though?
 
I've seen it called gun epidemic a few times.

I really wouldn't have any problem with enforcing background checks everywhere IF I thought it would actually do any good. Show me some real evidence that doing so might have had some beneficial outcome and I'd see no problem. But I'm really not OK with regulation for regulations sake or for purely ideological reasons.
 
The federal government shouldn't have the power to make background checks mandatory for all gun sales.
why not?

there is a case to which those who aggressively trumpet the importance of the 2nd amendment often point: district of columbia vs. heller

they point to it because they believe it takes their side on the issue of individual gun ownership depending on membership of a "well regulated militia". they believe the case proves that the 2nd amendment gives individuals the right to bear arms. that's some pretty important case law, right? i mean it went to the u.s. supreme court! and the opinion was written by republican antonin scalia. so this case is important right? and right right?

here's an excerpt from the opinion of the court. not the dissent - the opinion:

"E.III Like most rights, the right secured by the Second Amendment is not unlimited. From Blackstone through the 19th-century cases, commentators and courts routinely explained that the right was not a right to keep and carry any weapon whatsoever in any manner whatsoever and for whatever purpose. See, e.g., Sheldon, in 5 Blume 346; Rawle 123; Pomeroy 152–153; Abbott 333. For example, the majority of the 19th-century courts to consider the question held that prohibitions on carrying concealed weapons were lawful under the Second Amendment or state analogues. See, e.g., State v. Chandler, 5 La. Ann., at 489–490; Nunn v. State, 1 Ga., at 251; see generally 2 Kent *340, n. 2; The American Students’ Blackstone 84, n. 11 (G. Chase ed. 1884). Although we do not undertake an exhaustive historical analysis today of the full scope of the Second Amendment, nothing in our opinion should be taken to cast doubt on longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, or laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings, or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms."

that's a little hard to read with those inline footnotes so here is just the text:

"E.III Like most rights, the right secured by the Second Amendment is not unlimited. From Blackstone through the 19th-century cases, commentators and courts routinely explained that the right was not a right to keep and carry any weapon whatsoever in any manner whatsoever and for whatever purpose. For example, the majority of the 19th-century courts to consider the question held that prohibitions on carrying concealed weapons were lawful under the Second Amendment or state analogues. Although we do not undertake an exhaustive historical analysis today of the full scope of the Second Amendment, nothing in our opinion should be taken to cast doubt on longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill, or laws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places such as schools and government buildings, or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms."

there it is.

"...or laws imposing conditions and qualifications on the commercial sale of arms." it's right there in black and white in antonin scalia's opinion for the court.

so, for example, background checks are constitutional.

"curtail" means to "reduce in extent or quantity; impose a restriction on". the government could impose restrictions on the sale of arms which a pro-gun individual might characterize as severe curtailment but which the court could decide were perfectly legal based on the heller decision.

alasdair
 
Even if it is constitutional in 2nd amendment terms, what about the 10th amendment?

This is a real question, I don't know the answer.
 
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