- Jan 7, 2013
Oh I believe he'll get a second term if he's not impeached and turned out of office (which I believe is a very real possibility). I read an analysis somewhere that someone could theoretically eke out an electoral college victory with only about a quarter of the popular vote. My friends looked at me like I was from Pluto when I said this, but I live in Florida and Rick Scott seemed to be the very definition of electoral buyer's remorse when he was elected governor in 2010 and he's now gone on to squeak by in three statewide elections, the second time against another popular former governor, Charlie Crist. Look at Wisconsin - Scott Walker not only survived a recall but went on to serve two full terms as governor. Paul LePage, a bonafide asshole, was elected to two terms as governor of Maine. Popularity doesn't mean squat when it comes to electoral successes.I honestly believe Trump will still be standing come 2020, and that he'll be a serious contender for a second term.
She's a "brand" and nothing of substance, much like Trump. Tom Perez called her the future of the Democratic Party. If that's the case, they only have to look to Trump to figure out their future.CFC said:Interesting that you find Cortez to be yet more tedious wrapping paper aihfl. I kinda had that feeling from what I saw after her victory, but I guess I tend to believe that quite a lot of politicians are little more than power-hungry narcissists anyway, so never believe the hype.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren talks to reporters outside her home in Cambridge, Mass., on New Year's Eve, accompanied by her husband, Bruce Mann, and their golden retriever, Bailey. Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images
After two months of behind-the-scenes jockeying since the midterms, the Democrats' race for president is about to burst into the open with a series of candidacy announcements and staff hires, 2020 operatives tell me.
What's happening: "This has been a slow dance," one top strategist said. "No one was in a rush ? people said they would make a decision over the holidays. Now, the pace is about to change fast."
A wave of announcements, like the one Sen. Elizabeth Warren made on New Year's Eve morning, is planned for the next few weeks.
I'm told that "the Bs" ? Biden, Bernie, Beto and the billionaires, including Mike Bloomberg ? can wait longer because they'll be able to quickly raise money.
- The hopefuls need to raise money, and need an organization for housing the aides they want to hire to take them off the hot 2020 job market.
- Look for announcements this month by Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey, Sen. Kamala Harris of California, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper and likely others.
- "They need a vehicle," the strategist said. That could include an exploratory committee or a full candidacy.
Go deeper: The Democrats' 2020 crowd jumps the gun
- Be smart: A veteran of Democratic presidential campaigns said top aides will start to jump to campaigns this month. But many of the "big-time consultants, many of whom have multiple possible 2020 clients," will take longer.
She's a "brand" and nothing of substance, much like Trump. Tom Perez called her the future of the Democratic Party. If that's the case, they only have to look to Trump to figure out their future.