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Bluelighter
Afghanistan's opium dilemma
James Emery
Middle East Times
3.26.08
Afghanistan's annual opium crop is expected to rival last year's record yield to exceed a staggering 8,000 metric tons, or more than 90 percent of global production, according to a U.N. survey released in February, with the bulk being grown in Taliban strongholds.
Afghanistan grew 8,243 metric tons in 2007, according to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) in its winter assessment survey. Its forecast for 2008 suggests a flattening out of production, however, following hefty increases in each of the last two years in the war-torn country.
It takes about 10 kilograms of opium to make one kilogram of heroin. However, due to improved quality and higher morphine content, Afghan opium has been converted at a seven to one ratio the last three years. During 2007, 58.4 percent of Afghan opium (8,243 metric tons less 156 tons consumed locally and 105 tons seized) was refined to morphine or heroin, creating 666 tons for export.
Five predominantly Pushtun provinces, Helmand, Kandahar, Uruzgan, Nimroz, and, Farah, which are Taliban strongholds, were responsible for 77.7 percent of Afghanistan's opium cultivation last year. Helmand province alone produced 53 percent of the nation's total crop. Opium cultivation in Helmand is projected to stabilize this year following a 48 percent increase in 2007 and a 162 percent increase in 2006 after the Taliban regained control of the region.
When NATO forces pressed against Taliban insurgents in southern Afghanistan, many fled to the provinces of Nimroz and Farah, where they regrouped. The combined opium cultivation in these two provinces increased 121 percent during 2007 after the Taliban began using them as sanctuaries. Their yields will increase again during 2008, especially in the Khash Rod district of Nimroz province.
"It is quite obvious the Taliban are involved in the drug trade, particularly in the southern provinces," said Dr. Thomas Pietschmann, of the Research and Analysis Section of the UNODC in Vienna, Austria. "We also have information that the farmers were told by the Taliban to grow opium," he added.
The Taliban tax all aspects of the drug trade, from cultivation to processing and distribution. Many of these taxes are paid in drugs, which the Taliban sell. They also earn money by providing protection for opium fields, heroin labs, drug shipments, and narcotics traffickers.
The average wholesale price in 2007 for a kilo (2.2 pounds) of Afghan heroin was $4,500 in Central Asia, $3,206 in Pakistan, and $3,000 in Iran. A kilo of opium was $325, $175, and $600, respectively, in these areas.
Afghan poppy cultivation is a tale of two regions, the narco-terrorists' provinces controlled by the Taliban, and the rest of the country that is significantly more stable and is responding favorably to reconstruction efforts and eradication programs. This trend will continue in 2008. If the five problem provinces are factored out, the other 29 provinces of Afghanistan had a collective 32.4 percent decrease in opium poppy cultivation last year. Twelve provinces are now opium free and eight more are close to eradicating all of their opium.
The anti-opium programs funded by Western governments and supported by reconstruction and humanitarian projects are working and should be continued. The explosion in poppy cultivation is occurring in Taliban dominated provinces. If Western countries seriously want to eradicate this opium, they are going to have to allocate the troops and resources necessary to stabilize and secure these provinces.
Poppy cultivation is much more likely to take place in areas that lack security, as noted by the fact that 85 percent of the villages in southern Afghanistan grow opium, compared to just 1 percent in the central region of the country.
"The vast majority of southern Afghanistan is closed to U.N. operations," said Hakan Demirbuken, who ran the UNODC opium surveys in Afghanistan for several years. "U.N. people are only in the city centers," he added. "They cannot go to the villages. It is very dangerous."
Due to the lack of security, most of the non-governmental organizations shut down their southern operations or they operate only in the major cities. The Taliban have killed staff and aid workers of relief agencies who attempt to travel to rural villages.
"There is obviously a link between instability and opium cultivation," said Jen-Luc Lemahieu, UNODC's chief of Europe, Central Asia, and West Asia. "The linkage between terrorism and opium cultivation is one of agricultural tax as well as protection money in those areas where the Taliban would be a dominating factor."
Poppy cultivation and heroin refineries also strengthen the Taliban's ties with the Afghan population, because so many of them are employed in the drug trade.
NATO troops in Afghanistan, referred to as the International Security Assistance Force, generally avoid any involvement in eradicating opium. Fighting the Taliban is a full-time job and they are concerned that destroying poppy fields will alienate the population, making it more difficult to gain the cooperation necessary to root out insurgents.
The United States wants to implement aerial eradication, which is done by spraying the poppy fields with chemicals. This is one of the most effective methods to destroy opium, but the Afghan government won't allow it for fear that airborne chemicals will drift onto humans and livestock and contaminate the water supply.
It would also antagonize farmers unless alternative sources of income are in place, which is not likely to happen while the Taliban are in control. If opium crops are eradicated, economic desperation will force many farmers to join the primary employer in the region, the Taliban.
Cannabis cultivation is expected to increase again this year, making Afghanistan one of the world's leading suppliers of hashish. Cannabis production in 2007 was 70,000 hectares, a 40 percent increase over the previous year.
Most of the Afghan cannabis is processed into hashish. "In some areas, growing cannabis is as lucrative as growing opium poppy," Pietschmann said, adding, "Cannabis yields about twice the quantity of drugs per hectare as growing opium."
The Taliban and narcotics traffickers are killing Afghanistan. Regardless of what else is accomplished in 29 provinces, the "cancer" in the remaining five will consume and destroy the nation unless it is removed. Security is the single most important factor in eradicating opium. The Taliban must be soundly defeated. In order to achieve this, a significant influx of troops and supplies is needed. Destroying the drug trade will eliminate the Taliban's primary financial source, seriously diminishing their ability to wage a protracted insurgency.
--
Professor James Emery is an anthropologist and journalist who has reported on regional conflicts and the drug trade for more than 20 years, including five years overseas. He's made several trips into Afghanistan, Myanmar, and other drug-producing and transit countries. Emery lectures on Afghan and Arab culture and the use of applied anthropology in the stabilization of Afghanistan, global terrorism, and the war on drugs.
--
This is the first of eight articles that will appear in the coming months.
Link!
James Emery
Middle East Times
3.26.08
Afghanistan's annual opium crop is expected to rival last year's record yield to exceed a staggering 8,000 metric tons, or more than 90 percent of global production, according to a U.N. survey released in February, with the bulk being grown in Taliban strongholds.
Afghanistan grew 8,243 metric tons in 2007, according to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) in its winter assessment survey. Its forecast for 2008 suggests a flattening out of production, however, following hefty increases in each of the last two years in the war-torn country.
It takes about 10 kilograms of opium to make one kilogram of heroin. However, due to improved quality and higher morphine content, Afghan opium has been converted at a seven to one ratio the last three years. During 2007, 58.4 percent of Afghan opium (8,243 metric tons less 156 tons consumed locally and 105 tons seized) was refined to morphine or heroin, creating 666 tons for export.
Five predominantly Pushtun provinces, Helmand, Kandahar, Uruzgan, Nimroz, and, Farah, which are Taliban strongholds, were responsible for 77.7 percent of Afghanistan's opium cultivation last year. Helmand province alone produced 53 percent of the nation's total crop. Opium cultivation in Helmand is projected to stabilize this year following a 48 percent increase in 2007 and a 162 percent increase in 2006 after the Taliban regained control of the region.
When NATO forces pressed against Taliban insurgents in southern Afghanistan, many fled to the provinces of Nimroz and Farah, where they regrouped. The combined opium cultivation in these two provinces increased 121 percent during 2007 after the Taliban began using them as sanctuaries. Their yields will increase again during 2008, especially in the Khash Rod district of Nimroz province.
"It is quite obvious the Taliban are involved in the drug trade, particularly in the southern provinces," said Dr. Thomas Pietschmann, of the Research and Analysis Section of the UNODC in Vienna, Austria. "We also have information that the farmers were told by the Taliban to grow opium," he added.
The Taliban tax all aspects of the drug trade, from cultivation to processing and distribution. Many of these taxes are paid in drugs, which the Taliban sell. They also earn money by providing protection for opium fields, heroin labs, drug shipments, and narcotics traffickers.
The average wholesale price in 2007 for a kilo (2.2 pounds) of Afghan heroin was $4,500 in Central Asia, $3,206 in Pakistan, and $3,000 in Iran. A kilo of opium was $325, $175, and $600, respectively, in these areas.
Afghan poppy cultivation is a tale of two regions, the narco-terrorists' provinces controlled by the Taliban, and the rest of the country that is significantly more stable and is responding favorably to reconstruction efforts and eradication programs. This trend will continue in 2008. If the five problem provinces are factored out, the other 29 provinces of Afghanistan had a collective 32.4 percent decrease in opium poppy cultivation last year. Twelve provinces are now opium free and eight more are close to eradicating all of their opium.
The anti-opium programs funded by Western governments and supported by reconstruction and humanitarian projects are working and should be continued. The explosion in poppy cultivation is occurring in Taliban dominated provinces. If Western countries seriously want to eradicate this opium, they are going to have to allocate the troops and resources necessary to stabilize and secure these provinces.
Poppy cultivation is much more likely to take place in areas that lack security, as noted by the fact that 85 percent of the villages in southern Afghanistan grow opium, compared to just 1 percent in the central region of the country.
"The vast majority of southern Afghanistan is closed to U.N. operations," said Hakan Demirbuken, who ran the UNODC opium surveys in Afghanistan for several years. "U.N. people are only in the city centers," he added. "They cannot go to the villages. It is very dangerous."
Due to the lack of security, most of the non-governmental organizations shut down their southern operations or they operate only in the major cities. The Taliban have killed staff and aid workers of relief agencies who attempt to travel to rural villages.
"There is obviously a link between instability and opium cultivation," said Jen-Luc Lemahieu, UNODC's chief of Europe, Central Asia, and West Asia. "The linkage between terrorism and opium cultivation is one of agricultural tax as well as protection money in those areas where the Taliban would be a dominating factor."
Poppy cultivation and heroin refineries also strengthen the Taliban's ties with the Afghan population, because so many of them are employed in the drug trade.
NATO troops in Afghanistan, referred to as the International Security Assistance Force, generally avoid any involvement in eradicating opium. Fighting the Taliban is a full-time job and they are concerned that destroying poppy fields will alienate the population, making it more difficult to gain the cooperation necessary to root out insurgents.
The United States wants to implement aerial eradication, which is done by spraying the poppy fields with chemicals. This is one of the most effective methods to destroy opium, but the Afghan government won't allow it for fear that airborne chemicals will drift onto humans and livestock and contaminate the water supply.
It would also antagonize farmers unless alternative sources of income are in place, which is not likely to happen while the Taliban are in control. If opium crops are eradicated, economic desperation will force many farmers to join the primary employer in the region, the Taliban.
Cannabis cultivation is expected to increase again this year, making Afghanistan one of the world's leading suppliers of hashish. Cannabis production in 2007 was 70,000 hectares, a 40 percent increase over the previous year.
Most of the Afghan cannabis is processed into hashish. "In some areas, growing cannabis is as lucrative as growing opium poppy," Pietschmann said, adding, "Cannabis yields about twice the quantity of drugs per hectare as growing opium."
The Taliban and narcotics traffickers are killing Afghanistan. Regardless of what else is accomplished in 29 provinces, the "cancer" in the remaining five will consume and destroy the nation unless it is removed. Security is the single most important factor in eradicating opium. The Taliban must be soundly defeated. In order to achieve this, a significant influx of troops and supplies is needed. Destroying the drug trade will eliminate the Taliban's primary financial source, seriously diminishing their ability to wage a protracted insurgency.
--
Professor James Emery is an anthropologist and journalist who has reported on regional conflicts and the drug trade for more than 20 years, including five years overseas. He's made several trips into Afghanistan, Myanmar, and other drug-producing and transit countries. Emery lectures on Afghan and Arab culture and the use of applied anthropology in the stabilization of Afghanistan, global terrorism, and the war on drugs.
--
This is the first of eight articles that will appear in the coming months.
Link!