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Industrial Society and its Future

This whole "industrial society" is just a strawman that Kaczynski is using as a conduit in his rant against society in general. He's literally repeating what Schopenhauer wrote more than a hundred years earlier. This particularly stood out to me:

technology exacerbates the effects of crowding because it puts increased disruptive powers in people's hands. For example, a variety of noise-making devices: power mowers, radios, motorcycles, etc. If the use of these devices is unrestricted, people who want peace and quiet are frustrated by the noise. If their use is restricted, people who use the devices are frustrated by the regulations. But if these machines had never been invented there would have been no conflict and no frustration generated by them.

Now here's virtually the same thought as expressed by Schopenhauer:

Hammering, the barking of dogs, and the screaming of children are abominable; but it is only the cracking of a whip that is the true murderer of thought. Its object is to destroy every favourable moment that one now and then may have for reflection. If there were no other means of urging on an animal than by making this most disgraceful of all noises, one would forgive its existence. But it is quite the contrary: this cursed cracking of whips is not only unnecessary but even useless. The effect that it is intended to have on the horse mentally becomes quite blunted and ineffective; since the constant abuse of it has accustomed the horse to the crack, he does not quicken his pace for it. This is especially noticeable in the unceasing crack of the whip which comes from an empty vehicle as it is being driven at its slowest rate to pick up a fare.

Schopenhauer was annoyed by people hammering and moving around in horse-drawn buggies and Kaczynski was annoyed by people mowing their lawn and moving around on iron horses. Technology doesn't even factor in, it's just two guys complaining about the noise of human activity in an urban environment. No doubt there were people in the Middle Ages annoyed by the sound of the blacksmith next door making armour, well before the Industrial Revolution.

The crux of the manifesto is that "industrial-technological" society can't be reformed and that primitive man has certain freedoms, blah blah blah. I wonder if Kaczynski was aware of Hobbes' Leviathan before publication of the manifesto, it's hard to know given that someone mailing bombs around is probably a bit rigid in their beliefs...

Anyway, I'm not saying there aren't any idea worth discussing in the Unabomber Manifesto, but there are definitely much better segues into a discussion about AI, social credit, social media and the digital panopticon that hangs over society today.
 
This whole "industrial society" is just a strawman that Kaczynski is using as a conduit in his rant against society in general. He's literally repeating what Schopenhauer wrote more than a hundred years earlier. This particularly stood out to me:



Now here's virtually the same thought as expressed by Schopenhauer:



Schopenhauer was annoyed by people hammering and moving around in horse-drawn buggies and Kaczynski was annoyed by people mowing their lawn and moving around on iron horses. Technology doesn't even factor in, it's just two guys complaining about the noise of human activity in an urban environment. No doubt there were people in the Middle Ages annoyed by the sound of the blacksmith next door making armour, well before the Industrial Revolution.

The crux of the manifesto is that "industrial-technological" society can't be reformed and that primitive man has certain freedoms, blah blah blah. I wonder if Kaczynski was aware of Hobbes' Leviathan before publication of the manifesto, it's hard to know given that someone mailing bombs around is probably a bit rigid in their beliefs...

Anyway, I'm not saying there aren't any idea worth discussing in the Unabomber Manifesto, but there are definitely much better segues into a discussion about AI, social credit, social media and the digital panopticon that hangs over society today.
Exactly.
 
To me it seems like the same human tropes play out over and over again, throughout all of human history. The current technological climate is just the costume of the current drama, and it has the unique features of making it a global problem.

Humanity's problems are all social. I believe we have the capacity to live in any kind of society harmoniously, whether it's technocratic, industrial, agrarian, or whatever. But if the humans of such societies don't "know thyself" then nothing can be workable long-term.

In practically every civilization collapse in history you can witness the edges of humanity's social consciousness limitations being played out. You can see all the ways that repair and regeneration would be possible if they would just stop doing X Y & Z and start doing A B & C. Usually the things they should stop doing are social ills that are repeated endlessly throughout history.

I don't believe industrialization is to blame for our current failures, but once again human nature. We have a very small social and financial elite artificially limiting the progress of humanity for their own personal benefit, no different from an ape who hordes a pile of bananas so he can try and procure all the females. The majority of the population is neutered of any real power, kept impotent, and made to be instruments of their own demise through lack of agency.

The solutions are all around us, but for them to be implemented harmoniously it would require the deconstruction of structural power. Usually when we get to the point when the majority of the population clues into who/what is to blame, the people in power are already hard at work undermining the population's resources and power base so that a revolution can't happen. That's what the 2008 financial crisis was about. When the population gets too smart and too bold, the resources get strangled so that the survival struggle begins, and then people can't rise up. It's classic.

For all intents and purposes, humanity is living in the exact same paradigm that we were in 2000 years ago. Our civilization has changed very little because with each turn of the wheel, the old power ensures no paradigm shift happens so that their power can be transferred safely into the next cycle.

The TL;DR version of everything I just said is: we have to find the 100 or so families who have held power in the world for the past 500-1000 years, seize their assets and seize their lives if necessary. We can't do anything as long as the old power holds humanity hostage and stagnant. They've created huge, complex industries of elaborate smoke and mirrors to hide themselves, but they have names and addresses and we should find all of them. They are human and frail just like the rest of us.
 
To me it seems like the same human tropes play out over and over again, throughout all of human history. The current technological climate is just the costume of the current drama, and it has the unique features of making it a global problem.

Humanity's problems are all social. I believe we have the capacity to live in any kind of society harmoniously, whether it's technocratic, industrial, agrarian, or whatever. But if the humans of such societies don't "know thyself" then nothing can be workable long-term.

In practically every civilization collapse in history you can witness the edges of humanity's social consciousness limitations being played out. You can see all the ways that repair and regeneration would be possible if they would just stop doing X Y & Z and start doing A B & C. Usually the things they should stop doing are social ills that are repeated endlessly throughout history.

I don't believe industrialization is to blame for our current failures, but once again human nature. We have a very small social and financial elite artificially limiting the progress of humanity for their own personal benefit, no different from an ape who hordes a pile of bananas so he can try and procure all the females. The majority of the population is neutered of any real power, kept impotent, and made to be instruments of their own demise through lack of agency.

The solutions are all around us, but for them to be implemented harmoniously it would require the deconstruction of structural power. Usually when we get to the point when the majority of the population clues into who/what is to blame, the people in power are already hard at work undermining the population's resources and power base so that a revolution can't happen. That's what the 2008 financial crisis was about. When the population gets too smart and too bold, the resources get strangled so that the survival struggle begins, and then people can't rise up. It's classic.

For all intents and purposes, humanity is living in the exact same paradigm that we were in 2000 years ago. Our civilization has changed very little because with each turn of the wheel, the old power ensures no paradigm shift happens so that their power can be transferred safely into the next cycle.

The TL;DR version of everything I just said is: we have to find the 100 or so families who have held power in the world for the past 500-1000 years, seize their assets and seize their lives if necessary. We can't do anything as long as the old power holds humanity hostage and stagnant. They've created huge, complex industries of elaborate smoke and mirrors to hide themselves, but they have names and addresses and we should find all of them. They are human and frail just like the rest of us.
This sounds so much like totalitarianism its uncanny.
 
This whole "industrial society" is just a strawman that Kaczynski is using as a conduit in his rant against society in general. He's literally repeating what Schopenhauer wrote more than a hundred years earlier. This particularly stood out to me:



Now here's virtually the same thought as expressed by Schopenhauer:



Schopenhauer was annoyed by people hammering and moving around in horse-drawn buggies and Kaczynski was annoyed by people mowing their lawn and moving around on iron horses. Technology doesn't even factor in, it's just two guys complaining about the noise of human activity in an urban environment. No doubt there were people in the Middle Ages annoyed by the sound of the blacksmith next door making armour, well before the Industrial Revolution.

The crux of the manifesto is that "industrial-technological" society can't be reformed and that primitive man has certain freedoms, blah blah blah. I wonder if Kaczynski was aware of Hobbes' Leviathan before publication of the manifesto, it's hard to know given that someone mailing bombs around is probably a bit rigid in their beliefs...

Anyway, I'm not saying there aren't any idea worth discussing in the Unabomber Manifesto, but there are definitely much better segues into a discussion about AI, social credit, social media and the digital panopticon that hangs over society today.

Yeah I said that in my OP too, the whole theme of the individual vs. society has been played out by philosophers for hundreds of years if not longer. I also noticed parts of this are very similar to criticisms made by Nietzsche, he even directly criticised industrial society in the same way:

“The most industrious of all ages—ours—does not know how to make anything of all its industriousness and money, except always still more money and still more industriousness; for it requires more genius to spend than to acquire. —Well, we shall have our “grandchildren”!”

“In the glorification of 'work', in the unwearied talk of the 'blessing of work', I see the same covert idea as in the praise of useful impersonal actions: that of fear of everything individual. Fundamentally, one now feels at the sight of work - one always means by work that hard industriousness from early till late - that such work is the best policeman, that it keeps everyone in bounds and can mightily hinder the development of reason, covetousness, desire for independence.”


From The Gay Science and Daybreak, respectively.

I'm certainly not contesting that these ideas are novel, only that they're worthy of discussion.
 
^ agreed. What Foreigner was just saying also resonates with me along the topic at hand:

Humanity's problems are all social.

Here is an example especially relevant to my work: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_of_cryptography_in_the_United_States

Typically the U.S. is on the leading edge of software technologies but because of export control regulations, the most commonly used remote administration protocol ended up being developed by a Canadian organization (OpenBSD). This is critical software that incidentally can enable people to circumvent information blockades such as China's GFW.

The more technology pervades our life, the more important social solutions become because the problem here is not technology dictating how we live but rather technology being used as a force multiplier for people that want to dictate how we live.

A salient example is the ongoing struggle for right-to-repair legislation, being spearheaded by farmers in Nebraska that are tired of not being able to fix their own tractors because John Deere doesn't want to cede control over the machinery's software. AFAIK this whole right to repair thing has already been ruled on by the SCOTUS

There are other weird regional laws to contemplate that are entirely social problems, like the U.S. DMCA and the UK internet porn bill ... digital networks are now considered a domain of war, even. Armies are recruiting "cyberoperators" and other such nonsense.

There was a good book from the 70s that I think is most relevant in today's social climate, it described the social problems of today as being a consequence of "future shock", a state in which individuals are disoriented by the accelerating rate of technological change. There was even a documentary made, Orson Welles narrates!

 
This sounds so much like totalitarianism its uncanny.

It's about restoring balance. The cycles of civilization don't adhere to strict ideologies like democracy vs. totalitarianism. Civilizations wax and wane according to balances and imbalances. When injustice goes on long enough, the entire system will collapse in the human pursuit of its repair.

This is why I'm saying that the root of all problems are social. We can word-smith the most ingenious Constitutions and legal structures all we want, but if the underlying common trust is corrupted, none of that will matter.
 
It's about restoring balance. The cycles of civilization don't adhere to strict ideologies like democracy vs. totalitarianism. Civilizations wax and wane according to balances and imbalances. When injustice goes on long enough, the entire system will collapse in the human pursuit of its repair.

This is why I'm saying that the root of all problems are social. We can word-smith the most ingenious Constitutions and legal structures all we want, but if the underlying common trust is corrupted, none of that will matter.
You're assuming that at some point there was a 'balance' that needs to be 'restored'. I think the semantics of that are misleading because it lets the author dictate what the 'balance' was and how it needs to be 'restored'. In any political system there are going to be multiple actors and stakeholders with entirely different ideas of what 'balance' is and how it should be 'restored'. Trump's MAGA rhetoric is an example, half the USA probably thinks America was already great and virulently disagree with Trump's plans to make America great again.

System collapse, which is a different concept, equates to a failed state, and there are many different factors, internal and external, how and why states fail. The closest examples I can think of today would be Syria and Afghanistan.
 
Ever spoken to a Jeremy Corbyn supporter? Most horrid group of people I've ever had the displeasure of meeting.

No. But I don't live in the UK.

One major difference I see with the left of ages past, and the left of today, are the segments of society that the left bases its power on. In today's era, it's colleges and universities (in the USA, this has been the case since the 60s/70s). In previous eras, it was trade & industrial unions, organized labor, etc.

I think this was actually quite significant in regards to the perspectives of people voicing opinions which would be labeled "leftist". A lot of the change was outside of activist's control, and had to do with an international decline in the fortunes of organized labor folliowing the 1970s, deindustrialization, automation, etc. And I'm not even saying that it was great then, and bad now, in regards to the mindset of "the left"...communists and far left parties/individuals in previous eras were often homophobic / sexually conservative, for example, positions that a modern left wing person would not sign unto in today's era (and that's a good thing IMO)

But, on the other hand, the SJW/(post)modern left in this country...faces serious problems. TBH I'm often skeptical of the claim that SJWs are really even part of the left as it's traditionally understood...often to me it seems like a body of thought that's analoguous in its origins to primitivism, actually, which had clear roots to the historical far left in figures like Jacques Camatte and Fredy Perlman, but eventually morphed into something new (and opposed to the left). I'm less familiar with the foundations of "SJW-ism" as a body of thought but I'm sure you could probably find it's roots in the "new left" of the 60s/70s.
 
You're assuming that at some point there was a 'balance' that needs to be 'restored'. I think the semantics of that are misleading because it lets the author dictate what the 'balance' was and how it needs to be 'restored'. In any political system there are going to be multiple actors and stakeholders with entirely different ideas of what 'balance' is and how it should be 'restored'. Trump's MAGA rhetoric is an example, half the USA probably thinks America was already great and virulently disagree with Trump's plans to make America great again.

System collapse, which is a different concept, equates to a failed state, and there are many different factors, internal and external, how and why states fail. The closest examples I can think of today would be Syria and Afghanistan.

I'm not assuming anything. In actual fact, imbalance and re-balancing are determined by nature... by the aggregate of all the failed systems and actors in that system. It has nothing to do with what one person wants, or totalitarianism as you suggest.

Some of these cycles are predictable.
 
I'm not assuming anything. In actual fact, imbalance and re-balancing are determined by nature... by the aggregate of all the failed systems and actors in that system. It has nothing to do with what one person wants, or totalitarianism as you suggest.

Some of these cycles are predictable.
Yes you are. Whatever is balanced or imbalanced is defined by you, or, is completely undefined rendering what you are saying as meaningless. As to predictability I highly doubt that you can accurately predict anything. If that were possible you'd be a billionaire, not posting on bluelight.
 
^The qualities of spoonbending. The dim.


Are we not in a post-industrial era...what is the point of a manifesto based on "industrial society and its future", in isolation - with no reference to any other text on post-industrial society?

 
Very interesting topic and high-quality discussion, thanks for posting it Wilson. :)

For a very literal example of a society becoming a slave to technology you need look no further than China. As of next year the state run social credit system, which already exists as a series of pilot programmes, goes into action fully. Every single Chinese citizen will be electronically ranked by the government on their obedience to the state. A high ranking will net you everything from access to exclusive hotel rooms and luxury taxis to priority treatment in hospitals. A low ranking, on the other hand, can lead to you being banned from buying property, travelling by train or plane, and have your kids kicked out of school.

Yes China will soon be a society where people will have to check the social rating app on their smartphones before they can buy property or travel. The stated goal is to "allow the trustworthy to roam everywhere under heaven while making it hard for the discredited to take a single step."

Make no mistake that the building blocks exist to create this in the US and across the Western world as well. All you'd need to do is combine the records held by credit referencing agencies - which already take as much personal info as they can get and use machine learning algorithms to create a profile of absolutely everyone - with social media profiles, and boom, you would have a system virtually identical to China's social credit system.

The social credit system is so dystopian, I hope that it never reaches our shores. There is a really good episode of Black Mirror about this very thing.

At the same time, though, I sometimes wonder if these sorts of systems of social control (not specifically a social credit system, but any system of social control that places the value of the whole over the rights of the individual to be and act however they want) wouldn't be a good thing in the end. I was watching something about Singapore a while ago. In Singapore they enjoyed a peaceful and stable existence, there is very little crime, a high amount of safety, and a high standard of living. To accomplish this, they have very strict laws and harsh punishments for breaking those laws, and they do not allow as many personal freedoms as we enjoy. However, many people there say they are not interested in having more freedom, because they have peaceful and satisfying lives without many of the problems that face most of the world.

As a westerner through and through, I like being able to be who I am and do whatever I want (for the most part). But it is thought-provoking. A lot of the problems we face are from people doing whatever they want, and from people putting themselves above society as a whole in destructive ways. In some ways, successfully implementing a system to exert control over the behavior of a population is the point of society.

I'm playing devil's advocate... I'm not calling for a social credit system and I;m not saying Singapore is more right than anyone else. Just some thoughts.

Exactly right. That's one of the main points put forward. The increase in technology has lead to a breakdown of small communities, and small communities are how humans lived in most of history. Additionally, it's now impossible for small communities to be autonomous, because they still rely on technology which is controlled by the government and corporations.

I have to say this is more or less true. There's data showing people feel more lonely compared to even just a few decades ago. No way that large cities where no one knows each other, combined with over-reliance on social media for communication, has not played a significant role in this.

I have often said that the biggest reason for all the strife we have in the world is simply our numbers. When you increase the number of humans living amongst each other, you decrease the sense of community between those people, as rather than a small collection of people who all know each other intimately, and who all rely on each other for survival, you have hordes of people you don't know, who are competition. Instead of accountability, you have anonymity within the horde, and those who are less self-policing in terms of morality towards others feel much more free to prey upon their competition. Also, sociopathic power mongers are able to use that anonymity to successfully gain and maintain control over the population. Whereas in small societies of hundreds of people, this would be far more difficult.

It's certainly true that the communication technology that connects the whole world has only increased the vastness of the population co-existing in the same "space". That space is not even physical anymore.

I actually agree with the criticism that it's romanticising the past and looking at it through rose tinted glasses. There's a lot of ideals that effectively do this with different periods throughout history. That's why I say I don't really agree to the all or nothing approach he takes. I think he is certainly right that to be a member of modern society you must give up freedoms. But I then think most individuals find that compromise fair. I have concerns about the extent to which the state wishes to control our private lives, but I think ending society is kinda throwing the baby out with the bath water as far as solutions go.

I also agree. The entire reason that we moved away from hunter-gatherer bands and into agrarianism and then industrialism is because it affords us a higher quality of life, at least in many ways. The human lifespan used to be 35, 40 tops. Most people did not live that long. Hunger and pain and cold and heat and disease were constant battles in life. My guess is that if you were able to somehow go back and complain to ancient humans about the ills of modern society, they would be flabbergasted at how we could complain. Humans, like all animals, seek to survive. Our ability to survive is so vastly greater than it was at other points in history that it's not even comparable. Most of us wake up every day and don't even consider that we might die. Most of us are able to eat when we're hungry and we take that for granted. Yes, we have a whole host of problems that are existential that hunter-gatherers probably didn't have. And that spiritual pain is a different kind of pain. But I think we tend to severely over-romanticize the past. There is a reason we have always pushed for progress. If we dismantled society and reverted to hunter-gatherer tribes, my guess is that, given sufficient time, we would repeat the same path, for the same reasons.
 
Very well said @Xorkoth, quality contribution.

Interesting about Singapore too, I'll have to do some reading on that.

There is a reason we have always pushed for progress. If we dismantled society and reverted to hunter-gatherer tribes, my guess is that, given sufficient time, we would repeat the same path, for the same reasons.

I agree. Even if we could destroy all technology today, we'd end up building it all again anyway.

Even the caveman used tools. He crafted spears out of wood, used wood to make fire, and used animal skin to make clothes. It seems to be a basic human urge to develop tools. So then one could ask at what point does this become superfluous? That's a matter of subjectivity. I suspect Kaczynski would say when the tools are not required for survival, but then we don't need clothes, shelter, and warmth to just strictly survive either, yet even the caveman had those because we still seek to be comfortable.

Speaking of the most primitive man going towards the most advanced technology I'm reminded of the famous match cut in the opening scene of 2001:



The more technology pervades our life, the more important social solutions become because the problem here is not technology dictating how we live but rather technology being used as a force multiplier for people that want to dictate how we live.

This is certainly true yes, you can see it in China right now. Or in the West by social media companies. But I wonder how AI will change things? Sufficiently advanced AI could be developed within my own lifetime. I suspect the development of AI will depend largely on how quickly we can develop quantum computing, since a Turing machine is too limited to run an AI of human intelligence or above, but with Google, IBM, and governments throwing money at developing the things I can see it happening in my lifetime.

the UK internet porn bill

Thankfully this got binned when Theresa May did. Good riddance to both!

One major difference I see with the left of ages past, and the left of today, are the segments of society that the left bases its power on. In today's era, it's colleges and universities (in the USA, this has been the case since the 60s/70s). In previous eras, it was trade & industrial unions, organized labor, etc.

I can't really speak on anything US specific but over here academia and unions are both very leftist organisations.

And SJW's are absolutely not brand new at all, here's a sketch from 1993 which is literally mocking SJW's in all but name:



Doubt it was anything new back then either, universities have long been a hotbed for this kind of ideology. When I went to university they were not even subtle about their biases, they did entire lectures trying to convert us to leftie thinking, fucking joke.

A particularly funny one I remember is a male lecturer doing one on feminism. At the beginning he ask the (majority female) students to raise their hands if they're a feminist. Two hands went up. He then did a whole lecture telling us how great feminism is. At the end he said put your hand up if you're a feminist now. Same two hands went up. You could see the disappointment in his face, it was hilarious.

Man I hear people say shit like universities encourage free thinking blah blah... I wanna know when that was true, if it ever was, so I can go and see it for myself. My experience of university it is a leftist brainwashing camp.
 
I had a pretty broad experience in university. Mostly I just had professors teaching me about computer science or math or whatever. I suppose it might have been different if I had decided to study, say, women's studies or something. I mean I think it makes sense that universities would have cultures that are predominantly left/liberal, as generally an increased level of education correlates with an increase in the tendency and ability to break through default/traditional modes of thinking, and the age at which people to the university is the age at which they tend to be really pushing out and challenging whatever ideas they've been ingrained with, and exploring new ways of seeing the world. Of course, I went to college in 2001-2005, not sure when you did. I'd also consider myself a "feminist" in the original sense of the word since I think women should be able to be regarded on the same level as men in terms of professional/intellectual/etc ability. Anyway that's pretty off-topic.

I agree. Even if we could destroy all technology today, we'd end up building it all again anyway.

Even the caveman used tools. He crafted spears out of wood, used wood to make fire, and used animal skin to make clothes. It seems to be a basic human urge to develop tools. So then one could ask at what point does this become superfluous? That's a matter of subjectivity. I suspect Kaczynski would say when the tools are not required for survival, but then we don't need clothes, shelter, and warmth to just strictly survive either, yet even the caveman had those because we still seek to be comfortable.

I had a pretty impactful experience back in the winter of 2010. At the time I was very much in the "I wish society would collapse, and in December 2012 there will be a global consciousness ascension" sort of place. I was actively wishing that our infrastructure would fall apart and we could go back to "peacefully" living off the land, our "only concerns" being whether or not we have food, water, and shelter for the day. Now as an aside, I do love going on multi-day backpacking trips, for this very reason. There is something very centering and clarifying about putting yourself (temporarily) into a place where you're removed from our modern worldly concerns, and where, if you've fed yourself and have warmth and shelter, there is nothing else in the world to worry about. It's deeply therapeutic to do this sometimes.

However in the winter of 2010, I was convinced I wanted life to be that way always, because at the time my existential angst about whether I was sufficiently "successful" was very great. One night, it snowed 16 inches overnight, and the power went out for like 200,000 people in my county, including me. Not only does my house require electricity to heat it, but I also live in the mountains on a steep road and an even steeper driveway, and neither get plowed, so I was unable to leave my house. I had little food, and was unprepared. The power ended up being out for a full 4 days/~96 hours. At first it was kinda fun/exciting. We burned candles for light and a tiny bit of warmth. But by the end of the second day, I was very hungry and consumed with 'this awful feeling of fear about how I could stay warm. By the last day it was down to 34 degrees F (just above freezing) inside. My wife at the time and cats and I spent the whole last day laying in bed curled up together inside a down comforter. The feeling was so awful, I can't even describe it. When I woke the next day and saw that the light in the bedroom was on, I literally cried with joy.

What I learned is that we developed our infrastructure/technology for a reason, and to not take it for granted. Besides life-giving warmth and the ability to provide for our survival, without an infrastructure we would be subject to roving bands of people who are armed/strong and looking to take what they want from whoever they want. As much as many on here rail against police, the police are a necessary force. Without it, we'd be consumed with random aggression and defense against that aggression.

I also learned that there are many ways to define success, besides having as much money as possible. I didn't learned that then, but over the course of my twenties.
 
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